7314 Misty Morning Dr · Atascocita, TX 77346

$199,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,820 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 110 Days on market

Built 1982 6,599 sqft lot $109/sqft · 22% below area Est $255k · 22% under $44/mo HOA · 2% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +14.6/30.0
• 1% rule +5.3/10.0
• DSCR +4.5/10.0
• Appreciation +4.5/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Charming one-story, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring vaulted ceilings in the spacious living and dining areas that create an open, airy atmosphere. The kitchen includes a breakfast area ideal for casual dining. Ceiling fans throughout enhance comfort, and the private courtyard with a security gate offers a wonderful space to relax or entertain. Walking distance to Timbers Elementary, Atascocita Middle, and Atascocita High School.

Key facts

• 6,599 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Community pool

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($589/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
• Recommended offer: $181k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.1% in Atascocita — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#346 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Humble ISD (urban): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #262 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 669 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($181k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $68k; list at $199k implies a 191% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $181,090 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 6.59%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.06%
• DSCR: 1.05
• GRM: 8.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $254,883
• List price: $199,000
• Delta: -21.92%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7403 Misty Morning Dr	0.07mi	3/2.0	1,628 (-10%)	3mo	$199,900	$123	77
7322 Logging Trail Dr	0.34mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,858 (+2%)	1mo	$249,990	$135	75
18823 Long Trace Dr	0.23mi	3/2.0	1,644 (-10%)	2mo	$249,100	$152	71
18718 Jodywood Dr	0.34mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,728 (-5%)	0mo	$225,000	$130	71
18614 Atasca Oaks Dr	0.61mi	3/2.5	1,820 (0%)	2mo	$244,000	$134	68
18811 Sandia Pines Dr	0.27mi	3/2.0	2,004 (+10%)	3mo	$265,000	$132	68
19014 Pine Trace Ct	0.11mi	3/2.5	2,065 (+14%)	4mo	$237,000	$115	68
18623 Polo Meadow Dr	0.67mi	3/2.0	1,822 (+0%)	3mo	$265,000	$145	66
18907 Jodywood Dr	0.22mi	3/2.5	2,055 (+13%)	1mo	$265,000	$129	66
6715 Atasca South Ct	0.61mi	3/2.0	1,872 (+3%)	4mo	$250,000	$134	64
18927 Sandia Pines Dr	0.15mi	4/3.0 (+1)	2,081 (+14%)	2mo	$209,000	$100	58
7006 Garnet Hill Ln	0.67mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,978 (+9%)	3mo	$272,000	$138	47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.95% appreciation · 0.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.69×
• Total profit: $-17,135
• Equity at exit: $48,474

10-year hold

• IRR: -3.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.71×
• Total profit: $-16,255
• Equity at exit: $51,276

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77346

• Home prices YoY: -0.4%
• Rents YoY: 0.1%
• Active inventory: 669
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,053 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,044
• Tax from tax record: −$402 /mo · $4,826/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• HOA: −$44
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$431
• Net cashflow: $49

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,991

Max offer price $199,000

Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,750
• Closing costs: $5,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 21 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7403 Misty Morning Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1628	$1,900	$1.17	17d	1	0.03mi
7131 Maple Walk Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1808	$1,895	$1.05	5d	1	0.21mi
7515 Echo Pines Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1655	$1,850	$1.12	43d	1	0.36mi
18718 Walden Forest Dr Humble, TX	4.0	2.0	2224	$2,600	$1.17	1d	1	0.50mi
7002 Echo Pines Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1738	$1,869	$1.08	15d	1	0.51mi
18810 Woodbreeze Dr Humble, TX	4.0	2.5	2200	$2,279	$1.04	24d	1	0.66mi
18835 Atasca Oaks Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1432	$1,829	$1.28	5d	1	0.69mi
7315 Wisteria Chase Pl Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1232	$1,232	$1.00	19d	1	0.81mi
6227 Spruce Bough Ct Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1432	$1,800	$1.26	43d	1	0.84mi
19119 Sprintwood Ct Humble, TX	4.0	2.5	2487	$2,425	$0.98	22d	1	1.04mi
6519 Kings Glen Dr Humble, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1255	$2,813	$2.24	1d	16	1.16mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Humble, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1040	$1,910	$1.84	12d	1	1.16mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 3174 Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1393	$1,910	$1.37	10d	1	1.19mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 14133 Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1393	$1,910	$1.37	43d	1	1.19mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 3165 Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1393	$1,867	$1.34	2d	1	1.19mi
20618 Carmine Oak Ct Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	2087	$2,195	$1.05	43d	1	1.27mi
17571 W Lake Houston Pkwy Humble, TX	2.0	1.0–2.0	922	$1,950	$2.11	1d	43	1.34mi
18103 Yellowstone Trl Humble, TX	4.0	2.5	2602	$2,371	$0.91	43d	1	1.41mi
17417 W Lake Houston Pkwy Humble, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	956	$1,795	$1.88	3d	12	1.45mi
17401 W Lake Houston Pkwy Humble, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1085	$2,163	$1.99	1d	42	1.46mi
17923 Diamond Peak Ct Humble, TX	4.0	2.0	2171	$2,336	$1.08	5d	1	1.47mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $44 · $528/yr
• Likely covers: security

Listing history 37 events

1. 2026-06-17
   days on market $199,000 Pending 110 DOM
2. 2026-06-16
   days on market $199,000 Pending 109 DOM
3. 2026-06-15
   days on market $199,000 Pending 108 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $199,000 Pending 106 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   statusdays on market $199,000 Pending 105 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $199,000 Active 102 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $199,000 Active 101 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $199,000 Active 100 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $199,000 Active 97 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,000 Active 96 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 95 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    pricestatus $199,000 Active 94 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $209,000 Pending 94 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $209,000 Pending 93 DOM
15. 2026-05-13
    status Active 433-char remark

    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Charming one-story, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring vaulted ceilings in the spacious living and dining areas that create an open, airy atmosphere. The kitchen includes a breakfast area ideal for casual dining. Ceiling fans throughout enhance comfort, and the private courtyard with a security gate offers a wonderful space to relax or entertain. Walking distance to Timbers Elementary, Atascocita Middle, and Atascocita High School.

16. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 433-char remark

    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Charming one-story, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring vaulted ceilings in the spacious living and dining areas that create an open, airy atmosphere. The kitchen includes a breakfast area ideal for casual dining. Ceiling fans throughout enhance comfort, and the private courtyard with a security gate offers a wonderful space to relax or entertain. Walking distance to Timbers Elementary, Atascocita Middle, and Atascocita High School.

17. 2026-04-29
    price $209,000 433-char remark

    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Charming one-story, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring vaulted ceilings in the spacious living and dining areas that create an open, airy atmosphere. The kitchen includes a breakfast area ideal for casual dining. Ceiling fans throughout enhance comfort, and the private courtyard with a security gate offers a wonderful space to relax or entertain. Walking distance to Timbers Elementary, Atascocita Middle, and Atascocita High School.

18. 2026-04-07
    price $219,000 433-char remark

    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Charming one-story, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring vaulted ceilings in the spacious living and dining areas that create an open, airy atmosphere. The kitchen includes a breakfast area ideal for casual dining. Ceiling fans throughout enhance comfort, and the private courtyard with a security gate offers a wonderful space to relax or entertain. Walking distance to Timbers Elementary, Atascocita Middle, and Atascocita High School.

19. 2026-02-27
    listed $230,000 Active 433-char remark

    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Charming one-story, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring vaulted ceilings in the spacious living and dining areas that create an open, airy atmosphere. The kitchen includes a breakfast area ideal for casual dining. Ceiling fans throughout enhance comfort, and the private courtyard with a security gate offers a wonderful space to relax or entertain. Walking distance to Timbers Elementary, Atascocita Middle, and Atascocita High School.

20. 2024-04-19
    historical $1,900
21. 2024-03-29
    listed $1,900
22. 2024-03-20
    historical $1,850
23. 2024-03-02
    price $1,850
24. 2024-02-09
    price $1,950
25. 2024-01-20
    price $2,000
26. 2024-01-02
    listed $2,100
27. 2022-09-15
    soldstatus
28. 2022-09-14
    soldstatus
29. 2013-11-26
    soldstatus Sold 467-char remark

    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    Charming 1 story three bedrooms, two full baths, formal dining, large living room with valuted ceiling, spacious galley style kitchen, breakfast nook, bonus room and ceiling fans throughout. Private court yard with security gate, low maintenance landscape with sprinkler system. large storage shed. Updates: Replaced front door, new dishwasher, light fixtures, 2'' blinds etc. Recent Hardee Siding and A/C System. .The floorplan feels spacious. .Call for a showing. .

30. 2013-11-11
    status Pending 467-char remark

    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    Charming 1 story three bedrooms, two full baths, formal dining, large living room with valuted ceiling, spacious galley style kitchen, breakfast nook, bonus room and ceiling fans throughout. Private court yard with security gate, low maintenance landscape with sprinkler system. large storage shed. Updates: Replaced front door, new dishwasher, light fixtures, 2'' blinds etc. Recent Hardee Siding and A/C System. .The floorplan feels spacious. .Call for a showing. .

31. 2013-11-08
    status Pending, Continue to Show 467-char remark

    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    Charming 1 story three bedrooms, two full baths, formal dining, large living room with valuted ceiling, spacious galley style kitchen, breakfast nook, bonus room and ceiling fans throughout. Private court yard with security gate, low maintenance landscape with sprinkler system. large storage shed. Updates: Replaced front door, new dishwasher, light fixtures, 2'' blinds etc. Recent Hardee Siding and A/C System. .The floorplan feels spacious. .Call for a showing. .

32. 2013-10-25
    status Option Pending 467-char remark

    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    Charming 1 story three bedrooms, two full baths, formal dining, large living room with valuted ceiling, spacious galley style kitchen, breakfast nook, bonus room and ceiling fans throughout. Private court yard with security gate, low maintenance landscape with sprinkler system. large storage shed. Updates: Replaced front door, new dishwasher, light fixtures, 2'' blinds etc. Recent Hardee Siding and A/C System. .The floorplan feels spacious. .Call for a showing. .

33. 2013-10-03
    status Active 467-char remark

    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    Charming 1 story three bedrooms, two full baths, formal dining, large living room with valuted ceiling, spacious galley style kitchen, breakfast nook, bonus room and ceiling fans throughout. Private court yard with security gate, low maintenance landscape with sprinkler system. large storage shed. Updates: Replaced front door, new dishwasher, light fixtures, 2'' blinds etc. Recent Hardee Siding and A/C System. .The floorplan feels spacious. .Call for a showing. .

34. 2013-10-02
    status Option Pending 467-char remark

    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    Charming 1 story three bedrooms, two full baths, formal dining, large living room with valuted ceiling, spacious galley style kitchen, breakfast nook, bonus room and ceiling fans throughout. Private court yard with security gate, low maintenance landscape with sprinkler system. large storage shed. Updates: Replaced front door, new dishwasher, light fixtures, 2'' blinds etc. Recent Hardee Siding and A/C System. .The floorplan feels spacious. .Call for a showing. .

35. 2013-08-11
    listed $122,500 Active 467-char remark

    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    Charming 1 story three bedrooms, two full baths, formal dining, large living room with valuted ceiling, spacious galley style kitchen, breakfast nook, bonus room and ceiling fans throughout. Private court yard with security gate, low maintenance landscape with sprinkler system. large storage shed. Updates: Replaced front door, new dishwasher, light fixtures, 2'' blinds etc. Recent Hardee Siding and A/C System. .The floorplan feels spacious. .Call for a showing. .

36. 2007-02-19
    soldstatus
37. 1993-06-28
    soldstatus $68,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,826 · $402/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,826 · $402/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,634
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,147
• − Property taxes: −$4,826
• − Insurance: −$995
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,971
• − Management: −$1,971
• − HOA: −$528
• − Depreciation: −$5,789
• Taxable loss: −$2,593
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$622
• After-tax cash flow: $1,211/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Humble ISD
• NCES district ID: 4823910
• Math proficiency: 38% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $83,946
• Composite: 38.55/100
• National rank: #4171
• State rank: #262 of 826 in TX

Livability — Atascocita

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #346
• US rank: #7586

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Atascocita, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 79,538
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 79,538
• Household income: $122,241
• Rent vs Own: 18.3% rent · 81.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1072.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 42% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.95%
• Current HPI: 218.0478
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.09%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+205.1% since first listed

23 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-13 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2026-05-04 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-04-29 Price Changed $209,000 HARMLS
• 2026-04-07 Price Changed $219,000 HARMLS
• 2026-02-27 Listed $230,000 HARMLS
• 2024-04-19 Rental Removed $1,900 HARMLS
• 2024-03-29 Listed for Rent $1,900 HARMLS
• 2024-03-20 Rental Removed $1,850 HARMLS
• 2024-03-02 Price Changed $1,850 HARMLS
• 2024-02-09 Price Changed $1,950 HARMLS
• 2024-01-20 Price Changed $2,000 HARMLS
• 2024-01-02 Listed for Rent $2,100 HARMLS
• 2022-09-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2022-09-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2013-11-26 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2013-11-11 Pending — HARMLS
• 2013-11-08 Pending — HARMLS
• 2013-10-25 Pending — HARMLS
• 2013-10-03 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2013-10-02 Pending — HARMLS
• 2013-08-11 Listed $122,500 HARMLS
• 2007-02-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1993-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,826 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.