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Plan 4 Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 39.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$601,900

Plan 4 Plan · Spanish Springs, NV 89441
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,263 sqft · SingleFamily · 316 Days on market
Poor condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If you have been thinking that the time might be right to upgrade to a newer and perhaps even larger home, the community of Silver Canyon could be just the right choice. One of the most popular features here are the large, expansive homesites which provide space to keep your recreational "toys" right at home. Situated north of Silver Canyon Drive and Pyramid Highway in Sparks, Nevada, Silver Canyon is just a 20 minute drive from a fishing, boating and myriad of recreation at Pyramid Lake - one of the largest natural lakes in the state of Nevada. Just a short drive away is all of the amenities of Sparks and Reno, including shopping, entertainment, parks, and employment opportunities. Whether you enjoy relaxing at one of the many local parks, or taking the family for a day of fun at an amusement park, there is truly something for everyone in the nearby area. There are also several excellent golf courses not far from Silver Canyon, including Kiley Links Golf Course, Wildcreek Golf Course, and, most notable, Red Hawk Golf and Resort. We take great pride in building our homes to the highest level of quality. When you purchase a home in Silver Canyon, you are not just purchasing a home. You are investing in peace of mind and the knowledge that your family will have a place to call home and build memories for many years to come. All our homes are built for comfort and style, featuring exceptional finishes. Find out more about the beautiful homes in Silver Canyon. We would be pleased to introduce you and give you a tour.

Key facts

  • Amusement park
  • Golf courses
  • Local parks

Tags

LOCAL PARKSAMUSEMENT PARKGOLF COURSESKILEY LINKS GOLF COURSEWILDCREEK GOLF COURSERED HAWK GOLF AND RESORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $601,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $675,478.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $602k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($722/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $599k (0.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $530k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in Spanish Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#35 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Washoe County School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 17 in NV (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,085 units permitted in Washoe County in 2024 (1,634 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washoe County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 316 days — a 12% lower offer ($530k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $529,672 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 316 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.38%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$675,478
List price
$601,900
Delta
-10.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2282 Cloud Berry Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 2,262 (-0%) 7mo $615,000 $272 85
2324 Hickory Dr #61 0.10mi 3/2.0 2,136 (-6%) 5mo $666,239 $312 82
2330 Hickory Dr 0.11mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,458 (+9%) 2mo $668,929 $272 70
2271 Slater Mill Dr 0.30mi 3/3.5 2,138 (-6%) 3mo $650,000 $304 68
309 Coyote Xing 0.60mi 3/2.0 2,343 (+4%) 2mo $757,000 $323 65
2352 Millville Dr 0.56mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,226 (-2%) 2mo $707,000 $318 63
742 Mallard Crest Dr 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,200 (-3%) 3mo $725,000 $330 58
705 Tranquil Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 2,111 (-7%) 1mo $870,000 $412 56
430 Calle De La Plata 0.52mi 3/2.0 2,056 (-9%) 6mo $1,150,000 $559 55
55 Nives Ct 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,440 (+8%) 3mo $1,251,000 $513 51
25 El Caballo Trl 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,964 (-13%) 4mo $900,000 $458 43
1165 Mallard Crest Dr 0.70mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,554 (+13%) 7mo $745,000 $292 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-105,536
Equity at exit
$100,716
10-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-86,600
Equity at exit
$58,403

Cash invested: $189,134 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
71 Landlord-Friendly
State Nevada
71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; Clark County (Vegas) had pandemic backlogs; generally landlord-friendly but courts slow.

ZIP-level market 89441

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,985 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,542
Tax est. 1.5%
$844 /mo · $10,132/yr
Insurance
$281
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,257
Net cashflow
$60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,909
Max offer price $675,478
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$168,870
Closing costs
$20,264
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
430 Calle de la Plata Sparks, NV 3.0 2.0 2056 $7,900 $3.84 23d 1 0.53mi
640 Allerton Way Sparks, NV 3.0 2.0 2200 $3,200 $1.45 13d 1 0.83mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $601,900 Active 316 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $601,900 Active 315 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $601,900 Active 314 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $601,900 Active 313 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $601,900 Active 311 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $601,900 Active 308 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $601,900 Active 307 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $601,900 Active 306 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $601,900 Active 305 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $601,900 Active 302 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $601,900 Active 301 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $601,900 Active 300 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $601,900 Active 299 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $601,900 Active 298 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $601,900 Active 297 DOM
  16. 2025-08-06
    listed $601,900 Active 1548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1548 chars)

    If you have been thinking that the time might be right to upgrade to a newer and perhaps even larger home, the community of Silver Canyon could be just the right choice. One of the most popular features here are the large, expansive homesites which provide space to keep your recreational "toys" right at home. Situated north of Silver Canyon Drive and Pyramid Highway in Sparks, Nevada, Silver Canyon is just a 20 minute drive from a fishing, boating and myriad of recreation at Pyramid Lake - one of the largest natural lakes in the state of Nevada. Just a short drive away is all of the amenities of Sparks and Reno, including shopping, entertainment, parks, and employment opportunities. Whether you enjoy relaxing at one of the many local parks, or taking the family for a day of fun at an amusement park, there is truly something for everyone in the nearby area. There are also several excellent golf courses not far from Silver Canyon, including Kiley Links Golf Course, Wildcreek Golf Course, and, most notable, Red Hawk Golf and Resort. We take great pride in building our homes to the highest level of quality. When you purchase a home in Silver Canyon, you are not just purchasing a home. You are investing in peace of mind and the knowledge that your family will have a place to call home and build memories for many years to come. All our homes are built for comfort and style, featuring exceptional finishes. Find out more about the beautiful homes in Silver Canyon. We would be pleased to introduce you and give you a tour.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$71,821
− Mortgage interest
−$37,837
− Property taxes
−$10,132
− Insurance
−$3,377
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,746
− Management
−$5,746
− Depreciation
−$19,650
Taxable loss
−$10,668
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,560
After-tax cash flow
$3,282/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This home requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, exterior siding and paint, and interior updates. Significant improvements would be needed to increase its resale value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Significant damage and potential leaks.
  • Major exterior siding — Severe wear and discoloration.
  • Major interior walls/paint — No photos of interior walls or paint, but exterior condition suggests potential issues.
  • Major flooring — No photos of flooring, but exterior condition suggests potential issues.
  • Major systems — No photos of systems, but exterior condition suggests potential issues.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale new roof — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and reduce the risk of leaks.
  • Resale exterior siding and paint — A fresh coat of paint and new siding would greatly enhance the home's curb appeal.
  • Resale interior walls and paint — Fresh paint would improve the home's interior appearance and make it more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale flooring — New flooring would improve the home's overall appearance and make it more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale systems — Upgrading or replacing systems would improve the home's functionality and make it more appealing to potential buyers.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Significant damage and potential leaks. Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Severe wear and discoloration. Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · No photos of interior walls or paint, but exterior condition suggests potential issues. Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · No photos of flooring, but exterior condition suggests potential issues. Major $15,000–50,000
systems · No photos of systems, but exterior condition suggests potential issues. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale new roof — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and reduce the risk of leaks.
  • Resale exterior siding and paint — A fresh coat of paint and new siding would greatly enhance the home's curb appeal.
  • Resale interior walls and paint — Fresh paint would improve the home's interior appearance and make it more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale flooring — New flooring would improve the home's overall appearance and make it more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale systems — Upgrading or replacing systems would improve the home's functionality and make it more appealing to potential buyers.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washoe County School District
NCES district ID
3200480
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$55,025
Composite
32.44/100
National rank
#5721
State rank
#6 of 17 in NV

Livability — Spanish Springs

Score
67/100
State rank
#35
US rank
#11102

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Spanish Springs, NV
City population
13,854
Population (ZIP)
13,854

Population outlook (Washoe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
499,260 people
By 2030
523,429 · +4.8%
By 2040
564,420 · +13.1%
By 2050
595,548 · +19.3%
By 2075
652,375 · +30.7%
By 2100
661,518 · +32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Native American 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washoe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.3% · R 48.3% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: 12.7pp · 2024: 1.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.0 2020: D+4.5 2016: D+1.2 2012: D+3.6 2008: D+12.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.99%
Current HPI
330.2277
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.08%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-08-06 Listed $601,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…