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5 Ranch Rd
B Composite 71.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$42,000

5 Ranch Rd · Lake Placid, FL 33852
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 688 sqft · Manufactured · 79 Days on market
Built 1974 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Updated single wide home with multiple parking, a utility shed and enclosed front porch. Perfect size for a winter getaway. Check out all the inside improvements starting with all new windows, new vinyl flooring throughout, updated kitchen with large island and updated bathroom. Open concept living features dining, kitchen and living room area open with lots of windows for natural lighting. Monthly lot rent includes water and sewer, trash pickup twice weekly in front of the home, yard irrigation and all park amenities. There is a once per year lawn mowing fee of $480 and the park staff will mow all lawns weekly. The park is pet friendly with a limit of 2 pets. This is an affordable winter h

Key facts

  • Vinyl flooring
  • Utility shed
  • Large island

Tags

UTILITY SHEDENCLOSED FRONT PORCHNEW WINDOWSVINYL FLOORINGUPDATED KITCHENLARGE ISLAND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Park name: Lakeside Village; Water body: Huntley; Paved road access; Other structure: workshop/shed
  • Financial info: Land is leased (land lease amount: $840)
  • HOA & community: Clubhouse; Community pool; Powered boats allowed; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured in park (Mobile Home); Single wide; One level; Located in Lakeside Village mobile home park; Zoned MH
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Awning(s); Enclosed front porch; Shed(s); Workshop; Waterfront access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; High-speed internet; Blinds; Furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $42k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $725 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.0% vs local median 3.8% in Lake Placid — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#525 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lake Country Elementary School (math 57% / reading 54%, grade C, #855 of 2,144 statewide, top 41%, 685 students, 73% FRL); Lake Placid Middle School (math 42% / reading 33%, grade F, #395 of 571 statewide, top 70%, 621 students, 75% FRL); Lake Placid High School (math 36% / reading 35%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 868 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1493 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $290 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,480 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.06%
Cap rate
27.00%
Cash-on-cash
73.94%
DSCR
4.29
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$10,320
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25 Armadillo Trl 0.12mi 1/1.0 703 (+2%) 2mo $10,500 $15 90
74 Pine Aire Cir 0.20mi 2/1.5 (+1) 672 (-2%) 1mo $7,000 $10 79
68 Pine Aire Cir 0.20mi 2/1.0 (+1) 672 (-2%) 6mo $5,000 $7 76
29 Pine Aire Cir 0.25mi 2/1.0 (+1) 672 (-2%) 6mo $8,000 $12 74
54 Pine Aire Cir 0.21mi 2/1.0 (+1) 672 (-2%) 19mo $39,900 $59 66
31 Pine Aire Cir 0.25mi 2/1.5 (+1) 672 (-2%) 16mo $22,500 $33 64
21 Ranch Rd 0.08mi 2/2.0 (+1) 624 (-9%) 17mo $28,000 $45 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
71.3%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$36,606
Equity at exit
$6,262
10-year hold
IRR
74.6%
Equity multiple
7.85×
Total profit
$80,547
Equity at exit
$3,631

Cash invested: $11,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33852

Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
1493
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,285 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$220
Tax est. 1.5%
$52 /mo · $630/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$725

Break-even live

Break-even rent $367
Max offer price $42,000
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $754 -5% $739 +0% $725 +5% $710 +10% $696
Rent -10% $623 -5% $674 +0% $725 +5% $775 +10% $826
Rate -1.0pp $746 -0.5pp $735 base $725 +0.5pp $714 +1.0pp $703

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,500
Closing costs
$1,260
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $42,000 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $42,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $42,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $42,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $42,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $42,000 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $42,000 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $42,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $42,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $42,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $42,000 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $42,000 Active 60 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $42,000 Active 59 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $42,000 Active 58 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $42,000 Active 57 DOM
  16. 2026-04-01
    listed $42,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,415
− Mortgage interest
−$2,353
− Property taxes
−$630
− Insurance
−$210
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,233
− Management
−$1,233
− Depreciation
−$1,222
Taxable income
$8,534
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,048
After-tax cash flow
$6,647/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-wide manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates, making it a good investment for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both painting exterior — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Both landscaping — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal
  • Resale upgrading appliances — newer appliances attract more buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both painting exterior — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Both landscaping — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal
  • Resale upgrading appliances — newer appliances attract more buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highlands
NCES district ID
1200840
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,276
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4672
State rank
#54 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lake Placid

Score
68/100
State rank
#525
US rank
#9813

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Highlands County · 98,898 people
City population
22,600
Metro
Sebring-Avon Park, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,600
Household income
$54,284
Rent vs Own
18.6% rent · 81.4% own
Severe rent burden
439.0

Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,674 people
By 2030
99,615 · -0.1%
By 2040
99,342 · -0.3%
By 2050
98,242 · -1.4%
By 2075
93,291 · -6.4%
By 2100
79,894 · -19.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 19% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Highlands

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -203.31%
Current HPI
224.8693
Rent YoY
▲ 0.82%
Metro
Sebring-Avon Park, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $42,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…