432 Andrews Ave · Hartsville/Trousdale County, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
- 1% rule +0.7/10.0
$216,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located on a great in-town lot in Hartsville! This home features an open floor plan with new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint throughout, and a brand-new stove and refrigerator. Recent updates also include a new roof and gutters for added peace of mind. Enjoy outdoor living on the large back deck and a fully fenced backyard offering privacy, complete with an above-ground pool and a 200 sq ft storage building. The property is connected to public sewer, making the lot full of future potential and endless possibilities. Conveniently located near town amenities—this move-in ready home is a must-see! Will not go FHA
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- New stove
- Fresh paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $216k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-289 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (23.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (42.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (42.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.4% in Hartsville/Trousdale County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Trousdale County (rural): math 29% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #46 of 139 in TN (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 112 units permitted in Trousdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Trousdale County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.57% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.73%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 14.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $224,621
- List price
- $216,500
- Delta
- -3.62%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $99,353
- Equity at exit
- $195,040
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.06×
- Total profit
- $306,832
- Equity at exit
- $420,612
Cash invested: $60,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37074
- Home prices YoY
- 11.9%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 14.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,236 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,135
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $487/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $-289
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,125
- Closing costs
- $6,495
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Hayes St Unit A Hartsville, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 7d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 145 Shirley Ln Hartsville, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $1,300 | $1.64 | 1d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 314 Church St Apt 28 Hartsville, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 19d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $216,500 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $216,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $216,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $216,500 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $216,500 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $216,500 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $216,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $216,500 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $216,500 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $216,500 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $216,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $216,500 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $218,000 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
Check out this 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located on a great in-town lot in Hartsville! This home features an open floor plan with new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint throughout, and a brand-new stove and refrigerator. Recent updates also include a new roof and gutters for added peace of mind. Enjoy outdoor living on the large back deck and a fully fenced backyard offering privacy, complete with an above-ground pool and a 200 sq ft storage building. The property is connected to public sewer, making the lot full of future potential and endless possibilities. Conveniently located near town amenities—this move-in ready home is a must-see! Will not go FHA
-
2026-05-01price $218,999 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
Check out this 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located on a great in-town lot in Hartsville! This home features an open floor plan with new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint throughout, and a brand-new stove and refrigerator. Recent updates also include a new roof and gutters for added peace of mind. Enjoy outdoor living on the large back deck and a fully fenced backyard offering privacy, complete with an above-ground pool and a 200 sq ft storage building. The property is connected to public sewer, making the lot full of future potential and endless possibilities. Conveniently located near town amenities—this move-in ready home is a must-see! Will not go FHA
-
2026-02-07$219,999 Active 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
Check out this 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located on a great in-town lot in Hartsville! This home features an open floor plan with new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint throughout, and a brand-new stove and refrigerator. Recent updates also include a new roof and gutters for added peace of mind. Enjoy outdoor living on the large back deck and a fully fenced backyard offering privacy, complete with an above-ground pool and a 200 sq ft storage building. The property is connected to public sewer, making the lot full of future potential and endless possibilities. Conveniently located near town amenities—this move-in ready home is a must-see! Will not go FHA
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $487 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,537 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,050/yr (+$88/mo · 215.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,836
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,127
- − Property taxes
- −$487
- − Insurance
- −$1,082
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,187
- − Management
- −$1,187
- − Depreciation
- −$6,298
- Taxable loss
- −$7,533
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,808
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,666/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Trousdale County
- NCES district ID
- 4704170
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,474
- Composite
- 26.49/100
- National rank
- #7207
- State rank
- #46 of 139 in TN
Livability — Hartsville/Trousdale County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hartsville/Trousdale County, TN
- City population
- 11,690
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,999
Population outlook (Trousdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,557 people
- By 2030
- 8,766 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 9,076 · +6.1%
- By 2050
- 9,226 · +7.8%
- By 2075
- 9,391 · +9.7%
- By 2100
- 9,000 · +5.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 12% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Trousdale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.9) · D 20.1% · R 79.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -52.3pp toward R · 2008: -6.6pp · 2024: -58.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.9 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+12.8 2008: R+6.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 42.78%
- Current HPI
- 402.6507
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-0.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $218,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $218,999 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-07 Listed $219,999 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $487 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…