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243 E Patterson St
A Composite 85.19
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$69,000

243 E Patterson St · Lansford, PA 18232
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1900 2,396 sqft lot Est $114k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Owner called today - 5/29/07 - and said he will listen to any offer. He wants to sell now. Call office for more details.

Key facts

  • 4-bedroom layout
  • 2,396 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

4-BEDROOM LAYOUTOUTDOOR RECREATION HUB

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: 200+ amp electrical service with circuit breakers; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 3-story building; Vinyl and wood siding exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass/slate roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Built with asphalt, fiberglass and slate roof
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.055 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on first level (approx. 10 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on third level (approx. 14 x 14); Bedroom on second level (approx. 10 x 12); Bedroom on second level (approx. 12 x 12); Bedroom on second level (approx. 10 x 12)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (second level, approx. 8 x 8)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Dining area; Separate/formal dining room; Walk-out basement access
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 9.5% in Lansford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#605 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, schools F, commute F.
  • Panther Valley SD (rural): math 14% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #477 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (9.1% local appreciation)).
  • Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $69k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
15.82%
Cash-on-cash
34.01%
DSCR
2.51
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$113,760
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
212 E Kline Ave 0.11mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,283 (-11%) 3mo $99,500 $78 69
529 Patterson St 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,400 (-3%) 16mo $106,000 $76 63
107 W Patterson St 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,557 (+8%) 8mo $89,100 $57 53
239 W Bertsch St 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,584 (+10%) 5mo $125,000 $79 51
341 W Ridge St 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,384 (-4%) 13mo $79,000 $57 49
124 E Hazard St 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,536 (+7%) 8mo $164,900 $107 49
24 W Fell St 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,645 (+14%) 2mo $161,000 $98 49
251 W Ludlow St 0.67mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,504 (+4%) 8mo $275,000 $183 48
35 Sharpe St 0.58mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,552 (+8%) 13mo $149,900 $97 42
216 Oak St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,232 (-14%) 10mo $100,000 $81 39
361 W Water St 0.70mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,365 (-5%) 17mo $65,000 $48 36
338-1/2 W Abbott St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,262 (-12%) 16mo $80,500 $64 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.0%
Equity multiple
4.54×
Total profit
$68,373
Equity at exit
$57,768
10-year hold
IRR
43.4%
Equity multiple
9.96×
Total profit
$173,143
Equity at exit
$120,181

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18232

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,355 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,590/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$548

Break-even live

Break-even rent $662
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
317 E Bertsch St Unit 1 Lansford, PA 2.0 1.0 1650 $1,400 $0.85 43d 1 0.11mi
323 E Bertsch St Unit A-1 Lansford, PA 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,450 $1.16 43d 1 0.12mi
10 Leisenring St Lansford, PA 3.0 1.0 1422 $1,100 $0.77 43d 1 0.32mi
546 E Kline Ave Lansford, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 2d 1 0.34mi
149 W Ridge St Unit 1A Lansford, PA 2.0 1.0 930 $1,350 $1.45 23d 1 0.44mi
149 W Ridge St Unit 2b Lansford, PA 2.0 1.0 875 $1,325 $1.51 23d 1 0.44mi
149 W Ridge St Unit 1B Lansford, PA 3.0 1.0 1654 $1,500 $0.91 19d 1 0.44mi
149 W Ridge St Unit 3A Lansford, PA 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,650 $1.06 43d 1 0.44mi
214 N Oak St Unit 2 Summit Hill, PA 3.0 1.0 940 $1,200 $1.28 2d 1 0.64mi
214 N Oak St Summit Hill, PA 3.0 1.0 940 $1,250 $1.33 2d 1 0.64mi
214 N Oak St Unit 2 Summit Hill, PA 3.0 1.0 940 $1,250 $1.33 43d 1 0.64mi
214 N Oak St Unit 2 Summit Hill, PA 3.0 1.0 940 $1,250 $1.33 19d 1 0.64mi
215 E High St Coaldale, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 21d 1 1.36mi
151 E High St Coaldale, PA 3.0 1.0 1312 $1,200 $0.91 43d 1 1.40mi
126 E High St Coaldale, PA 4.0 1.5 1000 $1,200 $1.20 14d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $69,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,590 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,590 · $132/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,263
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,590
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,301
− Management
−$1,301
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$5,854
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,405
After-tax cash flow
$5,166/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Panther Valley SD
NCES district ID
4218450
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$36,914
Composite
20.31/100
National rank
#8613
State rank
#477 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lansford

Score
72/100
State rank
#605
US rank
#5834

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lansford, PA
County
Carbon County · 13,404 people
City population
4,156
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
4,156
Household income
$44,713
Rent vs Own
48.0% rent · 52.0% own
Severe rent burden
123.0

Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,643 people
By 2030
59,840 · -2.9%
By 2040
55,413 · -10.1%
By 2050
50,843 · -17.5%
By 2075
43,326 · -29.7%
By 2100
37,126 · -39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 11% Two or more races 11% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Carbon

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.12%
Current HPI
262.3396
Rent YoY
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $69,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2007-06-28 Sold (MLS) $45,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2007-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2007-03-29 Listed $59,900 GLVRMLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,590 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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