8115 Iris St · Oakland, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into the charm and possibilities of 8115 Iris St — a classic Oakland bungalow just waiting for its glow-up moment. Bursting with mid-century personality and nostalgic details, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,095 sq ft of opportunity for dreamers, designers, investors, and anyone who appreciates a home with character. From the moment you arrive, the classic gabled roofline, gated yard, and distinctive driveway set the tone for something special. Inside, original hardwood floors flow through a spacious living room anchored by a vintage tiled fireplace and oversized mirrored mantel, creating the perfect backdrop for cozy nights and creative vision. The kitchen is pure retro mag
Key facts
- Gated yard
- Distinctive driveway
- 3,610 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 covered space); 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Individual gas meter; Master electric meter
- Home design: Single-family residence (residential property); Built in 1925
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Back yard; Front yard; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range / cooktop; Refrigerator; Other kitchen features
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on street level
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms total (1 full, 1 partial)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fans for cooling
- Interior features: Has fireplace (brick hearth in living room); 2 bedrooms on street level; Basement level rooms included; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in an inside laundry room; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-80 ($-954/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $311k (4.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (23.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $248k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Melrose Leadership Academy (656 students, 47% FRL); Frick United Academy of Language Middle (334 students, 98% FRL); Castlemont High (680 students, 98% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 187 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.05%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $602,632
- List price
- $325,000
- Delta
- -46.07%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2749 Parker Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,089 (-0%) | 1mo | $580,000 | $533 | 77 |
| 2648 77th Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,078 (-2%) | 2mo | $599,500 | $556 | 75 |
| 2921 Parker Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 1,043 (-5%) | 1mo | $700,000 | $671 | 71 |
| 7818 Arthur St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,082 (-1%) | 2mo | $520,000 | $481 | 67 |
| 1927 83rd Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,040 (-5%) | 0mo | $600,000 | $577 | 67 |
| 2957 73rd Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 1,023 (-7%) | 0mo | $525,000 | $513 | 56 |
| 1707 78th Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 1,021 (-7%) | 0mo | $305,000 | $299 | 55 |
| 7808 Weld St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,118 (+2%) | 3mo | $560,000 | $501 | 55 |
| 7625 Hillside St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,234 (+13%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $267 | 52 |
| 1709 Auseon Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (-9%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $305 | 50 |
| 7114 Halliday | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,242 (+13%) | 1mo | $510,000 | $411 | 41 |
| 3649 Shone Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,253 (+14%) | 2mo | $835,000 | $666 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-63,555
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-84,686
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Oakland
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+62
ZIP-level market 94605
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,484 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,426/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$522
- Net cashflow
- $-80
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $104 | -5% $12 | +0% $-80 | +5% $-171 | +10% $-263 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-276 | -5% $-178 | +0% $-80 | +5% $19 | +10% $117 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $84 | -0.5pp $3 | base $-80 | +0.5pp $-164 | +1.0pp $-249 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8109 Hillside St Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1182 | $3,300 | $2.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2326 84th Ave Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,075 | $2.08 | 5d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2678 79th Ave Unit B Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 8522 MacArthur Blvd Apt A Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8521 Dowling St Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $2,575 | $2.93 | 3d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 8521 Dowling St Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $2,575 | $2.93 | 1d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2028 81st Ave Oakland, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 8600 MacArthur Blvd Apt C Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7911 Bancroft Ave Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,500 | $2.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 8394 Ney Ave Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $3,000 | $2.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 8653 Thermal St Oakland, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,200 | $2.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3210 82nd Ave Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $4,300 | $2.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2341 88th Ave Unit 2341 Oakland, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,595 | $2.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2339 88th Ave Unit 2339 Oakland, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,595 | $2.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1933 84th Ave Unit C Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,095 | $2.79 | 16d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8330 Birch St Unit C Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 7d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1715 82nd Ave Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $3,000 | $2.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9046 Hillside St Oakland, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,300 | $2.71 | 5d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 9046 E St Unit Hillside St unit Oakland, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,300 | $2.71 | 7d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7724 Crest Ave Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $3,300 | $2.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7630 Lockwood St Apt 41 Oakland, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,000 | $2.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 9220 Bancroft Ave Unit B Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $3,600 | $3.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2121 94th Ave Oakland, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,695 | $2.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3408 68th Ave Unit C Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,550 | $3.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3421 68th Ave Apt 6 Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,650 | $3.31 | 12d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3421 68th Ave Unit 3 Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $2,695 | $3.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1428 78th Ave Unit 1 Oakland, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,950 | $1.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6638 MacArthur Blvd Unit 6640-F Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,395 | $2.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1333 87th Ave Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1153 | $2,500 | $2.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9714 MacArthur Blvd Unit 9714 Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,100 | $2.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6618 Laird Ave Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,423 | $2.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7123 Holly St Unit d Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,795 | $2.56 | 16d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 9317 Walnut St Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,500 | $2.63 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2694 Havenscourt Blvd Unit A Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,995 | $2.49 | 7d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 9641 Birch St Apt 3 Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 780 | $2,490 | $3.19 | 26d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6625 Bancroft Ave Unit 6621 Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,950 | $2.66 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6621 Bancroft Ave Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,950 | $2.66 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8811 A St Unit 2 Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,990 | $1.95 | 26d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2600 Havenscourt Blvd Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $3,000 | $3.31 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2600 Havenscourt Blvd Oakland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $3,000 | $3.31 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-10$325,000 Active 1462-char remark
-
2022-08-05soldstatus $320,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,426 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,470 · $206/mo
- Expected delta
- +$44/yr (+$4/mo · 1.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,809
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$2,426
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,385
- − Management
- −$2,385
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable loss
- −$6,671
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,601
- After-tax cash flow
- $647/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oakland Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0628050
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,194
- Composite
- 29.52/100
- National rank
- #11769
- State rank
- #1007 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Oakland
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #7245
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oakland, CA
- County
- Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
- City population
- 385,993
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,103
- Household income
- $106,068
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2086.0
Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,928,884 people
- By 2030
- 2,069,146 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 2,338,405 · +21.2%
- By 2050
- 2,586,608 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 3,061,911 · +58.7%
- By 2100
- 3,234,133 · +67.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 27% White 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 21% Chinese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Alameda
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -793.09%
- Current HPI
- 294.5467
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.65%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+1.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-05-10 Listed $325,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2022-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,426 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…