1395 Main St · Southaven, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained 3-bedroom home with versatile living space and thoughtful updates throughout. Refinished hardwood flooring welcomes you into the main living areas, complemented by a ceiling fan for added comfort. The kitchen features LVP flooring, stainless steel appliances, and flows seamlessly into a dedicated breakfast area. A flexible entry space can serve as a home office or sitting area. The primary bedroom offers refinished hardwood flooring, while secondary bedrooms provide a mix of hardwood and LVP for easy maintenance. The bathroom includes a tub/shower combo with tile surround and a single vanity. A spacious den/bonus room with separate AC expands the living area--ideal for entertaining or relaxing. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio, large fenced backyard, and a substantial storage building.
Key facts
- Tile surround
- Flexible entry space
- Tub shower combo
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (7.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 5.2% in Southaven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#107 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Desoto County School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #20 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 193 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,155 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeSoto County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.04%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $181,856
- List price
- $169,900
- Delta
- -6.57%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1455 Town And Country Dr | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,279 (-3%) | 9mo | $162,000 | $127 | 79 |
| 1384 Whitworth Cv | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,236 (-6%) | 8mo | $199,900 | $162 | 76 |
| 9172 Forrest Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (+1%) | 5mo | $214,990 | $161 | 73 |
| 1500 Vicksburg Dr | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,169 (-11%) | 1mo | $209,000 | $179 | 71 |
| 1518 Town And Country Dr | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,166 (-12%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $142 | 68 |
| 1582 Vicksburg Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,131 (-14%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $133 | 60 |
| 1309 Staunton Dr | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,448 (+10%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $110 | 59 |
| 1597 Vicksburg Dr | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,457 (+10%) | 11mo | $189,900 | $130 | 58 |
| 1818 Whitehead Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,197 (-9%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $138 | 52 |
| 1843 Whitehead Dr | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-2%) | 11mo | $100,000 | $77 | 50 |
| 8590 W Cedar Cir | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+14%) | 4mo | $209,900 | $140 | 50 |
| 1583 Brookhaven Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,512 (+15%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $136 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-19,556
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-5,878
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38671
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,576 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,957/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $120
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1319 Stateline Rd W Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1189 | $1,395 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1449 Ticonderoga Dr Southaven, MS | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1447 | $1,623 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1296 Vicksburg Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1416 Moss Point Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1197 | $1,533 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5572 Lochinvar Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $1,090 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4896 Lochinvar Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1112 | $1,081 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1344 Brandywine Dr Southaven, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1473 | $1,595 | $1.08 | 12d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 8694 Yorktown Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $1,703 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1732 Carla Cv Southaven, MS | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1196 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1699 Whitehead Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8328 Dottley Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,573 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 8282 Fayette Cv Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1297 | $1,545 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 8297 Baldwyn Cv Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $1,323 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 842 Farmington Dr N Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 8228 Brooksville Cv Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1576 | $1,695 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1842 Brookhaven Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8349 Cedarbrush Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 8280 Hastings Cv Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1184 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8495 Charleston Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,345 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1210 Rasco Rd W Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1638 | $1,695 | $1.03 | 4d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1590 Custer Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 20d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8254 Pinebrook Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $1,385 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1984 Custer Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,523 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7087 Carrolton Dr W Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1594 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 7658 Davis Pkwy Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1513 | $1,995 | $1.32 | 17d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 7661 Ragland Pl Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,793 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 7605 Davis Pkwy Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1351 | $1,710 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1748 Newington Cv Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1124 | $1,500 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 7594 Rockingham Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1680 | $1,665 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1766 Dorchester Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,585 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-16$169,900 Active 821-char remark
Show marketing remark (821 chars)
Well-maintained 3-bedroom home with versatile living space and thoughtful updates throughout. Refinished hardwood flooring welcomes you into the main living areas, complemented by a ceiling fan for added comfort. The kitchen features LVP flooring, stainless steel appliances, and flows seamlessly into a dedicated breakfast area. A flexible entry space can serve as a home office or sitting area. The primary bedroom offers refinished hardwood flooring, while secondary bedrooms provide a mix of hardwood and LVP for easy maintenance. The bathroom includes a tub/shower combo with tile surround and a single vanity. A spacious den/bonus room with separate AC expands the living area--ideal for entertaining or relaxing. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio, large fenced backyard, and a substantial storage building.
-
2019-09-12soldstatus
-
2005-10-24soldstatus
-
1993-04-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,957 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,957 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,914
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,957
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,513
- − Management
- −$1,513
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$1,378
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$331
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,775/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desoto County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801320
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,272
- Composite
- 39.56/100
- National rank
- #3933
- State rank
- #20 of 130 in MS
Livability — Southaven
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #12584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Southaven, MS
- County
- DeSoto County · 176,513 people
- City population
- 53,755
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,319
- Household income
- $61,843
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1583.0
Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 203,338 people
- By 2030
- 217,692 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 245,320 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 270,133 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 323,341 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 348,742 · +71.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 36.7% · R 60.8% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.2pp toward D · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+38.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.08%
- Current HPI
- 220.7875
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.20%
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $169,900 MLSU
- 2019-09-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-10-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1993-04-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,957 · +51.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…