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1215 Douglas Ave
F Composite 32.65
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Cash flow +4.9/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.7/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

1215 Douglas Ave · Des Moines, IA 50313
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 946 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1900 4,400 sqft lot $190/sqft · 9% below area Est $199k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this completely remodeled home with a corner lot and fenced yard. The house features too many updates to list but include: new electric and plumbing, new kitchen and appliances, new bathroom, new roof, windows and gutters, and new flooring. The home also has new trim, doors, and fixtures. This is a beautiful home and is move in ready.

Key facts

  • New plumbing
  • New kitchen
  • Fenced yard

Tags

REMODELED HOMECORNER LOTFENCED YARDNEW ELECTRICNEW PLUMBINGNEW KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-429 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $104k (42.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (43.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (43.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#63 in IA, #1,432 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Des Moines Independent Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #289 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $180k implies a 243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $101,808 (43.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.57%
Cap rate
3.43%
Cash-on-cash
-10.21%
DSCR
0.55
GRM
14.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$198,501
List price
$179,900
Delta
-9.37%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1126 Seneca Ave 0.15mi 2/1.0 918 (-3%) 1mo $204,900 $223 87
1300 Oak Park 0.22mi 2/1.0 892 (-6%) 0mo $165,000 $185 80
1106 Douglas Ave 0.16mi 2/2.0 884 (-7%) 0mo $226,685 $256 78
1125 Euclid Ave 0.17mi 2/2.0 880 (-7%) 1mo $118,000 $134 76
1424 Douglas Ave 0.13mi 2/1.0 816 (-14%) 1mo $77,000 $94 70
4143 11th St 0.51mi 2/1.0 936 (-1%) 8mo $220,000 $235 68
3809 11th St 0.19mi 3/1.5 (+1) 857 (-9%) 1mo $239,900 $280 67
4104 14th St 0.40mi 2/1.5 1,008 (+7%) 3mo $220,000 $218 66
4104 15th St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 902 (-5%) 3mo $185,000 $205 66
1135 Euclid Ave 0.15mi 2/1.0 804 (-15%) 9mo $142,500 $177 61
4030 8th Pl 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 842 (-11%) 1mo $171,000 $203 52
3919 4th St 0.71mi 2/1.0 814 (-14%) 7mo $110,000 $135 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.5%
Equity multiple
-0.01×
Total profit
$-51,070
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
-0.09×
Total profit
$-55,109
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50313

Rents YoY
13.1%
Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
14.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,018 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$215 /mo · $2,576/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$-429

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,561
Max offer price $104,158
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-327 -5% $-378 +0% $-429 +5% $-480 +10% $-531
Rent -10% $-509 -5% $-469 +0% $-429 +5% $-389 +10% $-348
Rate -1.0pp $-338 -0.5pp $-383 base $-429 +0.5pp $-475 +1.0pp $-523

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3905 8th St Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 675 $895 $1.33 24d 1 0.43mi
4124 3rd St Des Moines, IA 3.0 1.0 996 $1,595 $1.60 15d 1 0.81mi
3700 Martin Luther King Junior Pkwy Unit 18 Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 730 $750 $1.03 45d 1 0.88mi
3419 1st St Unit 2 Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 546 $650 $1.19 45d 1 0.89mi
2411 Welbeck Rd #11 Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 750 $745 $0.99 45d 1 0.89mi
2411 Welbeck Rd #7 Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 750 $845 $1.13 45d 1 0.89mi
2533 Lynner Dr Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 45d 1 0.94mi
2525 Clarkson Ave Unit 04 Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 775 $895 $1.15 45d 1 0.95mi
3623 Cambridge St Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 732 $1,145 $1.56 20d 1 0.99mi
2715 Douglas Ave Des Moines, IA 3.0 2.0 1109 $1,408 $1.27 15d 1 1.01mi
2501 24th St Unit 101 Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 750 $725 $0.97 24d 1 1.20mi
2501 24th St Unit 111 Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 750 $760 $1.01 24d 1 1.20mi
2501 24th St Apt 107 Des Moines, IA 3.0 2.0 950 $1,045 $1.10 15d 1 1.20mi
2501 24th St Unit 113 Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 750 $945 $1.26 45d 1 1.20mi
2501 24th St Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 910 $795 $0.87 24d 1 1.20mi
2501 24th St Unit 121 Des Moines, IA 3.0 2.0 950 $995 $1.05 24d 1 1.20mi
2413 24th St Unit 3 Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 600 $725 $1.21 45d 1 1.22mi
2901 Boston Ave Des Moines, IA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 707 $1,300 $1.84 15d 7 1.26mi
1914 10th St Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 740 $1,050 $1.42 24d 1 1.27mi
1914 10th St Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 740 $1,050 $1.42 45d 1 1.27mi
3120 Douglas Ave Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 850 $970 $1.14 15d 3 1.33mi
3103 E 7th St Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 960 $1,200 $1.25 45d 1 1.40mi
2110 26th St Apt 11 Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 628 $925 $1.47 20d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $179,900 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $179,900 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,900 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $179,900 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,900 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,900 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 44 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $179,900 Active 43 DOM
  18. 2026-04-30
    price $184,900 347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    Check out this completely remodeled home with a corner lot and fenced yard. The house features too many updates to list but include: new electric and plumbing, new kitchen and appliances, new bathroom, new roof, windows and gutters, and new flooring. The home also has new trim, doors, and fixtures. This is a beautiful home and is move in ready.

  19. 2026-04-16
    listed $189,900 Active 347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    Check out this completely remodeled home with a corner lot and fenced yard. The house features too many updates to list but include: new electric and plumbing, new kitchen and appliances, new bathroom, new roof, windows and gutters, and new flooring. The home also has new trim, doors, and fixtures. This is a beautiful home and is move in ready.

  20. 2024-01-18
    soldstatus $52,500 Closed 115-char remark
    Show marketing remark (115 chars)

    Ranch with finished attic on corner lot. Home has fenced yard and 1 car detached garage. 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.

  21. 2023-12-07
    status Pending 115-char remark
    Show marketing remark (115 chars)

    Ranch with finished attic on corner lot. Home has fenced yard and 1 car detached garage. 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.

  22. 2023-12-04
    listed $50,000 Active 115-char remark
    Show marketing remark (115 chars)

    Ranch with finished attic on corner lot. Home has fenced yard and 1 car detached garage. 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,576 · $215/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,700 · $225/mo
Expected delta
+$124/yr (+$10/mo · 4.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,217
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,576
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$977
− Management
−$977
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$8,524
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,046
After-tax cash flow
$-3,099/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Des Moines Independent Community School District
NCES district ID
1908970
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,905
Composite
37.83/100
National rank
#4331
State rank
#289 of 289 in IA

Livability — Des Moines

Score
81/100
State rank
#63
US rank
#1432

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Des Moines, IA
County
Polk County · 453,298 people
City population
203,612
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
Population (ZIP)
17,440
Household income
$68,361
Rent vs Own
23.1% rent · 76.9% own
Severe rent burden
454.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
548,042 people
By 2030
588,557 · +7.4%
By 2040
670,629 · +22.4%
By 2050
752,830 · +37.4%
By 2075
955,069 · +74.3%
By 2100
1,115,436 · +103.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Portuguese 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -162.17%
Current HPI
285.5708
Rent YoY
▲ 13.11%
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+269.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $184,900 DMMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $189,900 DMMLS
  • 2024-01-18 Sold (MLS) $52,500 DMMLS
  • 2023-12-07 Pending DMMLS
  • 2023-12-04 Listed $50,000 DMMLS

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,576 · +19.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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