2952 N Buffum St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BANK OWNED: Large home. Some renovations have been done. Roof and some windows need replacement. Other renovations needed. Rooms are approx. Make an offer.
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 42 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Acreage: Less than 1/2
Exterior
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
- Home design: Single-family, multi-level home; Year built: Other — see remarks; Zoning: R-1
- Construction: Wood construction
- Exterior features: Wood exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (upper) — 18 x 10; Bedroom 2 (upper) — 12 x 12; Bedroom 3 (upper) — 12 x 12; Bedroom 4 (upper) — 12 x 14
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating/cooling: Other (see remarks)
- Interior features: Wood floors; Partially finished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $766 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Riverside High (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #423 of 483 statewide, top 88%, 1,229 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools at 78% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,552/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 2397% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $88k; list at $165k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.90%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $237,581
- List price
- $164,900
- Delta
- -30.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2651 N Palmer St | 0.42mi | 5/2.0 | 2,243 (-1%) | 13mo | $269,000 | $120 | 66 |
| 2910 N 1st St | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,198 (-3%) | 17mo | $187,000 | $85 | 63 |
| 3066 N 2nd St | 0.34mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,338 (+3%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $86 | 58 |
| 2653 N 2nd St | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,276 (+0%) | 14mo | $120,000 | $53 | 56 |
| 2633 N Hubbard St #2635 | 0.42mi | 5/2.0 | 2,536 (+12%) | 8mo | $265,000 | $104 | 52 |
| 2833 N Weil St | 0.38mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,046 (-10%) | 8mo | $385,000 | $188 | 48 |
| 2565 N Humboldt Blvd | 0.64mi | 5/2.0 | 2,517 (+11%) | 5mo | $525,000 | $209 | 46 |
| 3401 N Vel R Phillips Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,083 (-8%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $86 | 41 |
| 3264 N Richards St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,003 (-12%) | 18mo | $231,900 | $116 | 40 |
| 3460 N 1st St | 0.67mi | 5/2.0 | 2,079 (-8%) | 16mo | $117,500 | $57 | 40 |
| 2846 N Vel R Phillips Ave | 0.47mi | 5/4.0 | 1,931 (-15%) | 13mo | $245,000 | $127 | 32 |
| 106 E Meinecke Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,982 (-13%) | 16mo | $147,500 | $74 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $27,396
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $109,484
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53212
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,552 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$317 /mo · $3,804/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$536
- Net cashflow
- $766
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $859 | -5% $812 | +0% $766 | +5% $719 | +10% $672 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $564 | -5% $665 | +0% $766 | +5% $867 | +10% $967 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $849 | -0.5pp $808 | base $766 | +0.5pp $723 | +1.0pp $680 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2634 N Doctor M.L.K. Jr Dr Milwaukee, WI | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2512 | $3,700 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3131 N Bartlett Ave Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,750 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1814 E Linnwood Ave Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $3,100 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1902 E Linnwood Ave Unit 1902 05 Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1599 | $2,400 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1902 E Linnwood Ave Unit 1902 04 Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1599 | $2,400 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2937 N Frederick Ave Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,925 | $1.13 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2974 N Frederick Ave Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1626 | $2,600 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2579 N Frederick Ave Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2400 | $2,095 | $0.87 | 5d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2609 N Maryland Ave Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,050 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1703 N Astor St Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1645A N Astor St Milwaukee, WI | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,950 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1647 N Astor St Milwaukee, WI | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,950 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1645 N Astor St Unit A Milwaukee, WI | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $3,100 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $164,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $169,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-07$169,900 Active 727-char remark
-
2021-01-15soldstatus $88,000
-
2021-01-14soldstatus $67,000
-
2019-11-13soldstatus $35,000 Sold 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
BANK OWNED: Large home. Some renovations have been done. Roof and some windows need replacement. Other renovations needed. Rooms are approx. Make an offer.
-
2019-10-21historical Contingent 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
BANK OWNED: Large home. Some renovations have been done. Roof and some windows need replacement. Other renovations needed. Rooms are approx. Make an offer.
-
2019-09-20$39,900 Active 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
BANK OWNED: Large home. Some renovations have been done. Roof and some windows need replacement. Other renovations needed. Rooms are approx. Make an offer.
-
2018-09-30historical
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Renovated Harambee mini-mansion, five bedrooms, one and a half baths, natural fireplace, and hardwood floors (under laminate per seller). Updates include new water heater, new furnace, new Gen-Air filtration, all new venting and duct system, new insulation, new windows on second and third floors and kitchen. Whirlpool tub in full bath! Being sold as-is.
-
2018-06-09price $80,000
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Renovated Harambee mini-mansion, five bedrooms, one and a half baths, natural fireplace, and hardwood floors (under laminate per seller). Updates include new water heater, new furnace, new Gen-Air filtration, all new venting and duct system, new insulation, new windows on second and third floors and kitchen. Whirlpool tub in full bath! Being sold as-is.
-
2018-04-04status Active
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Renovated Harambee mini-mansion, five bedrooms, one and a half baths, natural fireplace, and hardwood floors (under laminate per seller). Updates include new water heater, new furnace, new Gen-Air filtration, all new venting and duct system, new insulation, new windows on second and third floors and kitchen. Whirlpool tub in full bath! Being sold as-is.
-
2018-04-02historical
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Renovated Harambee mini-mansion, five bedrooms, one and a half baths, natural fireplace, and hardwood floors (under laminate per seller). Updates include new water heater, new furnace, new Gen-Air filtration, all new venting and duct system, new insulation, new windows on second and third floors and kitchen. Whirlpool tub in full bath! Being sold as-is.
-
2018-03-13price $84,999
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Renovated Harambee mini-mansion, five bedrooms, one and a half baths, natural fireplace, and hardwood floors (under laminate per seller). Updates include new water heater, new furnace, new Gen-Air filtration, all new venting and duct system, new insulation, new windows on second and third floors and kitchen. Whirlpool tub in full bath! Being sold as-is.
-
2018-01-26price $99,950
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Renovated Harambee mini-mansion, five bedrooms, one and a half baths, natural fireplace, and hardwood floors (under laminate per seller). Updates include new water heater, new furnace, new Gen-Air filtration, all new venting and duct system, new insulation, new windows on second and third floors and kitchen. Whirlpool tub in full bath! Being sold as-is.
-
2017-12-18price $124,900
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Renovated Harambee mini-mansion, five bedrooms, one and a half baths, natural fireplace, and hardwood floors (under laminate per seller). Updates include new water heater, new furnace, new Gen-Air filtration, all new venting and duct system, new insulation, new windows on second and third floors and kitchen. Whirlpool tub in full bath! Being sold as-is.
-
2017-11-01price $129,900
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Renovated Harambee mini-mansion, five bedrooms, one and a half baths, natural fireplace, and hardwood floors (under laminate per seller). Updates include new water heater, new furnace, new Gen-Air filtration, all new venting and duct system, new insulation, new windows on second and third floors and kitchen. Whirlpool tub in full bath! Being sold as-is.
-
2017-10-03$139,900 Active
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Renovated Harambee mini-mansion, five bedrooms, one and a half baths, natural fireplace, and hardwood floors (under laminate per seller). Updates include new water heater, new furnace, new Gen-Air filtration, all new venting and duct system, new insulation, new windows on second and third floors and kitchen. Whirlpool tub in full bath! Being sold as-is.
-
2004-01-20soldstatus $90,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,804 · $317/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,804 · $317/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,626
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$3,804
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,450
- − Management
- −$2,450
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable income
- $7,064
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,695
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,494/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,938
- Household income
- $47,298
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2397.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -216.73%
- Current HPI
- 385.8225
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.00%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
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Price history
+83.2% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $164,900 METROMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $169,900 METROMLS
- 2021-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 2021-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 2019-11-13 Sold (MLS) $35,000 METROMLS
- 2019-10-21 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2019-09-20 Listed $39,900 METROMLS
- 2018-09-30 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2018-06-09 Price Changed $80,000 METROMLS
- 2018-04-04 Relisted — METROMLS
- 2018-04-02 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2018-03-13 Price Changed $84,999 METROMLS
- 2018-01-26 Price Changed $99,950 METROMLS
- 2017-12-18 Price Changed $124,900 METROMLS
- 2017-11-01 Price Changed $129,900 METROMLS
- 2017-10-03 Listed $139,900 METROMLS
- 2004-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.9%/yrLatest (2024): $3,804 · +102.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…