Duplex
294 Berriman St · New York, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$699,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all First-time home buyers for this fixer upper special or Great INVESTMENT opportunity for savvy investors that see East New York as the next hot neighborhood! Legal 2 family home on great block. Needs TLC but will be delivered vacant. Sellers are motivated/ Call Today this will not last!
Key facts
- 1,875 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 190 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.2-bath units multifamily listed at $699k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $700/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $699k).
- Recommended offer: $615k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,185/mo this rent would consume 139% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 7574% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $196k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($615k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.58%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $929,628
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 357 Elton St | 0.31mi | 6/3.0 | 1,748 (-1%) | 10mo | $810,000 | $463 | 74 |
| 623 Ashford St | 0.37mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 1,786 (+1%) | 1mo | $1,120,000 | $627 | 72 |
| 459 Berriman St | 0.30mi | 6/4.0 | 1,640 (-7%) | 0mo | $875,000 | $534 | 68 |
| 545 Logan St | 0.23mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,640 (-7%) | 5mo | $630,000 | $384 | 66 |
| 278 Ashford St | 0.45mi | 6/3.0 | 1,676 (-5%) | 4mo | $830,000 | $495 | 65 |
| 560 Jerome St | 0.42mi | 6/2.0 | 1,920 (+9%) | 4mo | $908,000 | $473 | 61 |
| 74 Fountain Ave | 0.52mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,728 (-2%) | 8mo | $910,000 | $527 | 58 |
| 361 Chestnut Ct | 0.56mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-5%) | 10mo | $999,990 | $595 | 50 |
| 780 Hendrix St | 0.72mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,848 (+5%) | 2mo | $889,000 | $481 | 50 |
| 537 Miller Ave | 0.60mi | 6/5.0 | 1,620 (-8%) | 2mo | $1,100,000 | $679 | 47 |
| 296 Arlington Ave | 0.70mi | 6/2.0 | 1,560 (-12%) | 1mo | $1,035,000 | $663 | 46 |
| 733 Warwick St | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,000 (+13%) | 9mo | $720,000 | $360 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-936
- Equity at exit
- $104,223
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $215,520
- Equity at exit
- $60,437
Cash invested: $195,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11208
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 16.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,185 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,666
- Tax from tax record
- −$320 /mo · $3,834/yr
- Insurance
- −$291
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,509
- Net cashflow
- $1,400
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,795 | -5% $1,598 | +0% $1,400 | +5% $1,202 | +10% $1,004 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $832 | -5% $1,116 | +0% $1,400 | +5% $1,684 | +10% $1,967 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,752 | -0.5pp $1,578 | base $1,400 | +0.5pp $1,219 | +1.0pp $1,034 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.2 | $7,186 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.2 | $3,593 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.2 | $3,593 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,185 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $174,750
- Closing costs
- $20,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2023-10-27status Pending 298-char remark
Show marketing remark (298 chars)
Calling all First-time home buyers for this fixer upper special or Great INVESTMENT opportunity for savvy investors that see East New York as the next hot neighborhood! Legal 2 family home on great block. Needs TLC but will be delivered vacant. Sellers are motivated/ Call Today this will not last!
-
2023-10-24status Pending
-
2023-04-18$699,000 Active 298-char remark
Show marketing remark (298 chars)
Calling all First-time home buyers for this fixer upper special or Great INVESTMENT opportunity for savvy investors that see East New York as the next hot neighborhood! Legal 2 family home on great block. Needs TLC but will be delivered vacant. Sellers are motivated/ Call Today this will not last!
-
2023-04-17$699,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,834 · $320/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,824 · $652/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,989/yr (+$332/mo · 104.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $86,220
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,155
- − Property taxes
- −$3,834
- − Insurance
- −$3,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,898
- − Management
- −$6,898
- − Depreciation
- −$20,335
- Taxable income
- $5,606
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,345
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,452/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 105,428
- Household income
- $62,077
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7574.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 39% Asian 10% Two or more races 8% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · Canada, China, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Indo-European 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -546.38%
- Current HPI
- 376.1489
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2023-10-27 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2023-10-24 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2023-04-18 Listed $699,000 BNYMLS
- 2023-04-17 Listed $699,000 BNYMLS
Property tax history
+14.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,834 · +18.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…