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294 Berriman St Duplex
B- Composite 67.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$699,000

294 Berriman St · New York, NY 11208
6 bd · 2.4 ba · 1,764 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 190 Days on market
Built 1920 1,875 sqft lot Est $930k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all First-time home buyers for this fixer upper special or Great INVESTMENT opportunity for savvy investors that see East New York as the next hot neighborhood! Legal 2 family home on great block. Needs TLC but will be delivered vacant. Sellers are motivated/ Call Today this will not last!

Key facts

  • 1,875 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 190 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.2-bath units multifamily listed at $699k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $700/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $699k).
  • Recommended offer: $615k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,185/mo this rent would consume 139% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 7574% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $196k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($615k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $615,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.70%
Cash-on-cash
8.58%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$929,628
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
357 Elton St 0.31mi 6/3.0 1,748 (-1%) 10mo $810,000 $463 74
623 Ashford St 0.37mi 7/3.0 (+1) 1,786 (+1%) 1mo $1,120,000 $627 72
459 Berriman St 0.30mi 6/4.0 1,640 (-7%) 0mo $875,000 $534 68
545 Logan St 0.23mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,640 (-7%) 5mo $630,000 $384 66
278 Ashford St 0.45mi 6/3.0 1,676 (-5%) 4mo $830,000 $495 65
560 Jerome St 0.42mi 6/2.0 1,920 (+9%) 4mo $908,000 $473 61
74 Fountain Ave 0.52mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,728 (-2%) 8mo $910,000 $527 58
361 Chestnut Ct 0.56mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,680 (-5%) 10mo $999,990 $595 50
780 Hendrix St 0.72mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,848 (+5%) 2mo $889,000 $481 50
537 Miller Ave 0.60mi 6/5.0 1,620 (-8%) 2mo $1,100,000 $679 47
296 Arlington Ave 0.70mi 6/2.0 1,560 (-12%) 1mo $1,035,000 $663 46
733 Warwick St 0.49mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,000 (+13%) 9mo $720,000 $360 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-936
Equity at exit
$104,223
10-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$215,520
Equity at exit
$60,437

Cash invested: $195,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11208

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
16.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,185 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,666
Tax from tax record
$320 /mo · $3,834/yr
Insurance
$291
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,509
Net cashflow
$1,400

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,413
Max offer price $699,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,795 -5% $1,598 +0% $1,400 +5% $1,202 +10% $1,004
Rent -10% $832 -5% $1,116 +0% $1,400 +5% $1,684 +10% $1,967
Rate -1.0pp $1,752 -0.5pp $1,578 base $1,400 +0.5pp $1,219 +1.0pp $1,034

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $7,185

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$174,750
Closing costs
$20,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2023-10-27
    status Pending 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Calling all First-time home buyers for this fixer upper special or Great INVESTMENT opportunity for savvy investors that see East New York as the next hot neighborhood! Legal 2 family home on great block. Needs TLC but will be delivered vacant. Sellers are motivated/ Call Today this will not last!

  2. 2023-10-24
    status Pending
  3. 2023-04-18
    listed $699,000 Active 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Calling all First-time home buyers for this fixer upper special or Great INVESTMENT opportunity for savvy investors that see East New York as the next hot neighborhood! Legal 2 family home on great block. Needs TLC but will be delivered vacant. Sellers are motivated/ Call Today this will not last!

  4. 2023-04-17
    listed $699,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,834 · $320/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,824 · $652/mo
Expected delta
+$3,989/yr (+$332/mo · 104.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$86,220
− Mortgage interest
−$39,155
− Property taxes
−$3,834
− Insurance
−$3,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,898
− Management
−$6,898
− Depreciation
−$20,335
Taxable income
$5,606
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,345
After-tax cash flow
$15,452/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Kings County · 2,614,986 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
105,428
Household income
$62,077
Rent vs Own
75.1% rent · 24.9% own
Severe rent burden
7574.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,847,441 people
By 2030
2,937,006 · +3.1%
By 2040
3,095,491 · +8.7%
By 2050
3,228,968 · +13.4%
By 2075
3,321,723 · +16.7%
By 2100
3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 39% Asian 10% Two or more races 8% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 16%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
40% · Canada, China, Mexico
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Indo-European 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -546.38%
Current HPI
376.1489
Rent YoY
▲ 6.14%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2023-10-27 Pending BNYMLS
  • 2023-10-24 Pending BNYMLS
  • 2023-04-18 Listed $699,000 BNYMLS
  • 2023-04-17 Listed $699,000 BNYMLS

Property tax history

+14.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,834 · +18.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…