3005 Louis Ave · Corsicana, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 53.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.8/30.0
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Clean and updated describes this 4 bedroom 2.5 bath home. This home has 2 large living areas that would be great for entertaining. Split bedrooms, storage building and more all this sitting on a nice oversized fenced corner lot. Wrap around covered front porch and covered back patio make this a home to relax in. Buyer and or buyer's agent to verify schools and square footage.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Wood-burning stove
- En-suite bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; Attached 2-car garage with double doors; garage faces side
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Located in a Municipal Utility District
- Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1983; Siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Covered patio/porch; Gutters; Storage; Chain link, partial and wood fencing; Corner lot with few trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Built-in cabinets; Pantry; Solid surface countertops (non-natural)
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom with ensuite bath and walk-in closet; Additional bedrooms designed with split-bedroom layout
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Wood stove; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Cable TV available; Decorative lighting; High-speed internet available; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room with utility closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (1.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $198k (1.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.5% in Corsicana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#283 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime F.
- Corsicana ISD (town): math 39% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #471 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 522 units permitted in Navarro County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Navarro County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.52%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $235,631
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -15.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3005 Louis Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 | 2,013 (-2%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $99 | 95 |
| 542 Forrest Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,078 (+1%) | 7mo | $280,000 | $135 | 77 |
| 2812 Winfield Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,038 (-1%) | 5mo | $285,000 | $140 | 69 |
| 1000 Bryn Mawr St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,076 (+1%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $106 | 68 |
| 316 Mckinney Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,904 (-8%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $116 | 67 |
| 721 Willow Creek Cir | 0.20mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,245 (+9%) | 4mo | $379,000 | $169 | 64 |
| 912 Northwood Blvd | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,787 (-13%) | 2mo | $248,900 | $139 | 60 |
| 1716 Dogwood Trl | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,021 (-2%) | 2mo | $328,500 | $163 | 57 |
| 2604 Forest Lane Cir | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,776 (-14%) | 7mo | $335,000 | $189 | 55 |
| 1004 Bryn Mawr St | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 | 2,285 (+11%) | 7mo | $389,900 | $171 | 54 |
| 628 Madison Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,787 (-13%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $140 | 50 |
| 2012 Fairfax Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,923 (-7%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $122 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-27,717
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-32,937
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75110
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 268
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,981 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$268 /mo · $3,220/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $164
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3120 Lafayette St Corsicana, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $2,300 | $1.40 | 7d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 421 Forrest Ln Corsicana, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $2,000 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3008 Winfield Dr Corsicana, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1468 | $1,450 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 303 E Thompson St Corsicana, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-17status Pending 1540-char remark
-
2026-05-08historical Active Option Contract 1540-char remark
-
2026-05-02$200,000 Active 1540-char remark
-
2015-03-16soldstatus
-
2008-09-02soldstatus
-
2008-09-01soldstatus
-
2008-08-29soldstatus 379-char remark
Show marketing remark (379 chars)
Clean and updated describes this 4 bedroom 2.5 bath home. This home has 2 large living areas that would be great for entertaining. Split bedrooms, storage building and more all this sitting on a nice oversized fenced corner lot. Wrap around covered front porch and covered back patio make this a home to relax in. Buyer and or buyer's agent to verify schools and square footage.
-
2008-08-23historical 379-char remark
Show marketing remark (379 chars)
Clean and updated describes this 4 bedroom 2.5 bath home. This home has 2 large living areas that would be great for entertaining. Split bedrooms, storage building and more all this sitting on a nice oversized fenced corner lot. Wrap around covered front porch and covered back patio make this a home to relax in. Buyer and or buyer's agent to verify schools and square footage.
-
2008-07-29$145,000 379-char remark
Show marketing remark (379 chars)
Clean and updated describes this 4 bedroom 2.5 bath home. This home has 2 large living areas that would be great for entertaining. Split bedrooms, storage building and more all this sitting on a nice oversized fenced corner lot. Wrap around covered front porch and covered back patio make this a home to relax in. Buyer and or buyer's agent to verify schools and square footage.
-
1996-01-16soldstatus
-
1986-12-24soldstatus
-
1985-06-04soldstatus
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1983-10-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,220 · $268/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,660 · $305/mo
- Expected delta
- +$440/yr (+$37/mo · 13.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,766
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,220
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,901
- − Management
- −$1,901
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$1,277
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$307
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,276/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corsicana ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815330
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,948
- Composite
- 31.89/100
- National rank
- #5862
- State rank
- #471 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corsicana
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #283
- US rank
- #6570
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corsicana, TX
- County
- Navarro County · 31,552 people
- City population
- 31,552
- Metro
- Corsicana, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,552
- Household income
- $57,370
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 663.0
Population outlook (Navarro County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,397 people
- By 2030
- 48,096 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 47,394 · -2.1%
- By 2050
- 46,541 · -3.8%
- By 2075
- 44,940 · -7.1%
- By 2100
- 42,288 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 13% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Navarro
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.7% · R 75.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -51.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.8 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+48.8 2012: R+42.4 2008: R+33.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -248.01%
- Current HPI
- 224.5566
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.47%
- Metro
- Corsicana, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+37.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-05-26 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2026-05-17 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-08 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-05-02 Listed $200,000 NTREIS
- 2015-03-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-09-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-09-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-08-29 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2008-08-23 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2008-07-29 Listed $145,000 NTREIS
- 1996-01-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1986-12-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1985-06-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1983-10-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,220 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…