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3005 Louis Ave
C- Composite 53.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

3005 Louis Ave · Corsicana, TX 75110
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,061 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1983 10,411 sqft lot $97/sqft · 17% below area Est $236k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Clean and updated describes this 4 bedroom 2.5 bath home. This home has 2 large living areas that would be great for entertaining. Split bedrooms, storage building and more all this sitting on a nice oversized fenced corner lot. Wrap around covered front porch and covered back patio make this a home to relax in. Buyer and or buyer's agent to verify schools and square footage.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Wood-burning stove
  • En-suite bath

Tags

CORNER LOTSPLIT LAYOUTWALK-IN CLOSETEN-SUITE BATHWOOD-BURNING STOVEFULL BRICK SURROUND

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; Attached 2-car garage with double doors; garage faces side
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Located in a Municipal Utility District
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1983; Siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Covered patio/porch; Gutters; Storage; Chain link, partial and wood fencing; Corner lot with few trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Built-in cabinets; Pantry; Solid surface countertops (non-natural)
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom with ensuite bath and walk-in closet; Additional bedrooms designed with split-bedroom layout
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Wood stove; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; Decorative lighting; High-speed internet available; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room with utility closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (1.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $198k (1.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.5% in Corsicana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#283 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime F.
  • Corsicana ISD (town): math 39% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #471 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 522 units permitted in Navarro County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Navarro County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $198,052 (1.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.28%
Cash-on-cash
3.52%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$235,631
List price
$200,000
Delta
-15.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3005 Louis Ave 0.00mi 4/2.5 2,013 (-2%) 1mo $200,000 $99 95
542 Forrest Ln 0.24mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,078 (+1%) 7mo $280,000 $135 77
2812 Winfield Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,038 (-1%) 5mo $285,000 $140 69
1000 Bryn Mawr St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,076 (+1%) 5mo $220,000 $106 68
316 Mckinney Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,904 (-8%) 0mo $220,000 $116 67
721 Willow Creek Cir 0.20mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,245 (+9%) 4mo $379,000 $169 64
912 Northwood Blvd 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,787 (-13%) 2mo $248,900 $139 60
1716 Dogwood Trl 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,021 (-2%) 2mo $328,500 $163 57
2604 Forest Lane Cir 0.25mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,776 (-14%) 7mo $335,000 $189 55
1004 Bryn Mawr St 0.42mi 4/3.0 2,285 (+11%) 7mo $389,900 $171 54
628 Madison Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,787 (-13%) 0mo $250,000 $140 50
2012 Fairfax Dr 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,923 (-7%) 8mo $235,000 $122 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-27,717
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-32,937
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75110

Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
268
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,981 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$268 /mo · $3,220/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$416
Net cashflow
$164

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,773
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3120 Lafayette St Corsicana, TX 3.0 2.0 1640 $2,300 $1.40 7d 1 0.23mi
421 Forrest Ln Corsicana, TX 3.0 2.0 1528 $2,000 $1.31 43d 1 0.32mi
3008 Winfield Dr Corsicana, TX 3.0 1.0 1468 $1,450 $0.99 24d 1 0.44mi
303 E Thompson St Corsicana, TX 4.0 2.0 1450 $1,750 $1.21 1d 1 0.94mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    status Pending 1540-char remark
  2. 2026-05-08
    historical Active Option Contract 1540-char remark
  3. 2026-05-02
    listed $200,000 Active 1540-char remark
  4. 2015-03-16
    soldstatus
  5. 2008-09-02
    soldstatus
  6. 2008-09-01
    soldstatus
  7. 2008-08-29
    soldstatus 379-char remark
    Show marketing remark (379 chars)

    Clean and updated describes this 4 bedroom 2.5 bath home. This home has 2 large living areas that would be great for entertaining. Split bedrooms, storage building and more all this sitting on a nice oversized fenced corner lot. Wrap around covered front porch and covered back patio make this a home to relax in. Buyer and or buyer's agent to verify schools and square footage.

  8. 2008-08-23
    historical 379-char remark
    Show marketing remark (379 chars)

    Clean and updated describes this 4 bedroom 2.5 bath home. This home has 2 large living areas that would be great for entertaining. Split bedrooms, storage building and more all this sitting on a nice oversized fenced corner lot. Wrap around covered front porch and covered back patio make this a home to relax in. Buyer and or buyer's agent to verify schools and square footage.

  9. 2008-07-29
    listed $145,000 379-char remark
    Show marketing remark (379 chars)

    Clean and updated describes this 4 bedroom 2.5 bath home. This home has 2 large living areas that would be great for entertaining. Split bedrooms, storage building and more all this sitting on a nice oversized fenced corner lot. Wrap around covered front porch and covered back patio make this a home to relax in. Buyer and or buyer's agent to verify schools and square footage.

  10. 1996-01-16
    soldstatus
  11. 1986-12-24
    soldstatus
  12. 1985-06-04
    soldstatus
  13. 1983-10-28
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,220 · $268/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,660 · $305/mo
Expected delta
+$440/yr (+$37/mo · 13.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,766
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$3,220
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,901
− Management
−$1,901
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$1,277
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$307
After-tax cash flow
$2,276/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corsicana ISD
NCES district ID
4815330
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$39,948
Composite
31.89/100
National rank
#5862
State rank
#471 of 826 in TX

Livability — Corsicana

Score
71/100
State rank
#283
US rank
#6570

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corsicana, TX
County
Navarro County · 31,552 people
City population
31,552
Metro
Corsicana, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,552
Household income
$57,370
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Navarro County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,397 people
By 2030
48,096 · -0.6%
By 2040
47,394 · -2.1%
By 2050
46,541 · -3.8%
By 2075
44,940 · -7.1%
By 2100
42,288 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 13% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Navarro

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.7% · R 75.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -51.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.8 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+48.8 2012: R+42.4 2008: R+33.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -248.01%
Current HPI
224.5566
Rent YoY
▼ -1.47%
Metro
Corsicana, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2026-05-26 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2026-05-17 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-08 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $200,000 NTREIS
  • 2015-03-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-09-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-09-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-08-29 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2008-08-23 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2008-07-29 Listed $145,000 NTREIS
  • 1996-01-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1986-12-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1985-06-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1983-10-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,220 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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