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2481 Zims Trl NE
B- Composite 69.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$131,500

2481 Zims Trl NE · Bolivia, NC 28422
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 94 Days on market
Built 2007 0.33 ac lot ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3BR/2BA home situated on a spacious lot in Bolivia offering plenty of potential! This property is owned by the US DEPT OF HUD. HUD case ID-381-847379. Seller makes no representations, warranties as to properties current condition and buyer must verify and confirm all property information. This property is FHA (IE) insurable. HUD homes are sold AS IS and are an equal housing opportunity. Now open to investor offers!

Key facts

  • 0.33 acre lot
  • Built 2007
  • Listed 94 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Utilities: see remarks
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property; One story; Entry level: 1; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: No patio or porch; No fencing; City street and state road frontage

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Heat pump (heating and cooling); Electric heating
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Has view

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $132k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $848 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $132k).
  • Recommended offer: $120k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 4.8% in Bolivia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#549 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Supply Elementary (math 46% / reading 39%, grade F, #625 of 1,410 statewide, top 45%, 539 students, 99% FRL); Cedar Grove Middle (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #305 of 475 statewide, top 65%, 434 students, 99% FRL); South Brunswick High (math 62% / reading 57%, grade C+, #216 of 535 statewide, top 43%, 1,172 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 569 active listings in the ZIP; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $909 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($120k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,665 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
14.64%
Cash-on-cash
29.81%
DSCR
2.33
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$32,713
Equity at exit
$19,607
10-year hold
IRR
29.8%
Equity multiple
3.66×
Total profit
$98,055
Equity at exit
$11,370

Cash invested: $36,820 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28422

Home prices YoY
-23.8%
Active inventory
569
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,162 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$690
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $585/yr
Insurance
$55
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$454
Net cashflow
$848

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,088
Max offer price $131,500
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,875
Closing costs
$3,945
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $131,500 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $131,500 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $131,500 Active 92 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $131,500 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $131,500 Active 89 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $131,500 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $131,500 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $131,500 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    price $131,500 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $146,000 Active 84 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $146,000 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $146,000 Active 80 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $146,000 Active 79 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $146,000 Active 78 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $146,000 Active 77 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $146,000 Active 76 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $146,000 Active 75 DOM
  18. 2026-04-28
    price $146,000
  19. 2026-03-14
    listed $161,400 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$585 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,078 · $90/mo
Expected delta
+$493/yr (+$41/mo · 84.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,941
− Mortgage interest
−$7,366
− Property taxes
−$585
− Insurance
−$1,455
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,075
− Management
−$2,075
− Depreciation
−$3,825
Taxable income
$8,559
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,054
After-tax cash flow
$8,124/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brunswick County Schools
NCES district ID
3700420
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$47,494
Composite
39.23/100
National rank
#4011
State rank
#82 of 178 in NC

Livability — Bolivia

Score
59/100
State rank
#549
US rank
#20206

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B- Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Brunswick County · 131,536 people
City population
10,059
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
Population (ZIP)
10,059
Household income
$69,412
Rent vs Own
13.7% rent · 86.3% own
Severe rent burden
243.0

Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,111 people
By 2030
165,705 · +8.9%
By 2040
188,494 · +23.9%
By 2050
206,228 · +35.6%
By 2075
237,876 · +56.4%
By 2100
251,451 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.19%
Current HPI
141.1956
Rent YoY
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $146,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $161,400 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $585 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…