119 Murrell Ave · Somerset, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$71,100
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Great opportunity to buy this one story home built in 1970, located in Somerset, KY. The interior has 1448 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1970
- Listed 171 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $71k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $71k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 3.1% in Somerset — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety B+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Somerset Independent (town): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #42 of 165 in KY (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hopkins Elementary School (math 48% / reading 48%, grade D, #115 of 676 statewide, top 17%, 650 students, 71% FRL); Meece Middle School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #73 of 217 statewide, top 36%, 444 students, 67% FRL); Somerset High School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 521 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 117 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $492 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $104k (59%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.14%
- DSCR
- 2.30
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $170,677
- List price
- $71,100
- Delta
- -58.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 Meece St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 10mo | $180,000 | $150 | 63 |
| 212 Speedway Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 14mo | $178,500 | $149 | 60 |
| 209 W Limestone St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (+9%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $102 | 59 |
| 907 North Main St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,326 (-2%) | 22mo | $196,000 | $148 | 58 |
| 107 Rock Quarry Rd | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,482 (+10%) | 16mo | $100,000 | $67 | 58 |
| 324 North Maple St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+6%) | 22mo | $154,000 | $107 | 56 |
| 123 N Richardson Dr | 0.53mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,244 (-8%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $141 | 56 |
| 311 N Maple St | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 1,489 (+10%) | 10mo | $89,000 | $60 | 54 |
| 109 Hill St. St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (-10%) | 14mo | $220,000 | $181 | 53 |
| 100 Cherry Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,258 (-7%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $147 | 50 |
| 502 Nichols St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,455 (+8%) | 20mo | $165,000 | $113 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $19,244
- Equity at exit
- $10,601
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.83×
- Total profit
- $56,302
- Equity at exit
- $6,147
Cash invested: $19,908 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42503
- Home prices YoY
- -8.4%
- Active inventory
- 293
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,146 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$373
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $233/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $483
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $524 | -5% $504 | +0% $483 | +5% $463 | +10% $443 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $393 | -5% $438 | +0% $483 | +5% $529 | +10% $574 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $519 | -0.5pp $502 | base $483 | +0.5pp $465 | +1.0pp $446 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,775
- Closing costs
- $2,133
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Faith Ct Somerset, KY | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1225 | $1,375 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 706 W Columbia St Somerset, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 709 W Columbia St Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 67 Margaret Rose Ln Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 207 Beecher St Unit 1 Somerset, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,300 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 107 Losey St Unit 2 Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 112 Todd St Unit 2 Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 112 Todd St Unit 4 Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 115 Beecher St Unit A Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 71 Driftwood Cir Apt 2 Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $900 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 19 Driftwood Cir Unit 2 Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $900 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 50 Driftwood Cir Apt 2 Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $900 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 33 Driftwood Cir Apt 1 Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $900 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 108 Hines Addition Somerset, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Great opportunity to buy this one story home built in 1970, located in Somerset, KY. The interior has 1448 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.
-
2026-04-29price $71,100 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Great opportunity to buy this one story home built in 1970, located in Somerset, KY. The interior has 1448 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.
-
2026-04-13price $76,300 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Great opportunity to buy this one story home built in 1970, located in Somerset, KY. The interior has 1448 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.
-
2026-03-27price $76,700 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Great opportunity to buy this one story home built in 1970, located in Somerset, KY. The interior has 1448 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.
-
2026-03-12price $77,100 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Great opportunity to buy this one story home built in 1970, located in Somerset, KY. The interior has 1448 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.
-
2026-02-20price $78,000 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Great opportunity to buy this one story home built in 1970, located in Somerset, KY. The interior has 1448 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.
-
2026-02-05price $79,200 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Great opportunity to buy this one story home built in 1970, located in Somerset, KY. The interior has 1448 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.
-
2026-01-16price $92,800 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Great opportunity to buy this one story home built in 1970, located in Somerset, KY. The interior has 1448 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.
-
2025-12-30price $106,200 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Great opportunity to buy this one story home built in 1970, located in Somerset, KY. The interior has 1448 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.
-
2025-12-11price $137,600 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Great opportunity to buy this one story home built in 1970, located in Somerset, KY. The interior has 1448 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.
-
2025-11-25status Active 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Great opportunity to buy this one story home built in 1970, located in Somerset, KY. The interior has 1448 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.
-
2025-11-24$174,900 Active 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Great opportunity to buy this one story home built in 1970, located in Somerset, KY. The interior has 1448 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.
-
2025-11-24historical 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Great opportunity to buy this one story home built in 1970, located in Somerset, KY. The interior has 1448 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom.
-
2004-07-28soldstatus $74,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $233 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $611 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- +$379/yr (+$32/mo · 162.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,752
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,983
- − Property taxes
- −$233
- − Insurance
- −$356
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,100
- − Management
- −$1,100
- − Depreciation
- −$2,068
- Taxable income
- $4,912
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,179
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,622/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Somerset Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2105430
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,554
- Composite
- 32.42/100
- National rank
- #5727
- State rank
- #42 of 165 in KY
Livability — Somerset
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #208
- US rank
- #10207
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Somerset, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,638
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,414 people
- By 2030
- 65,828 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 65,972 · +0.9%
- By 2050
- 65,108 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 61,647 · -5.8%
- By 2100
- 53,613 · -18.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.2) · D 16.9% · R 82.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -55.4pp · 2024: -65.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.2 2020: R+62.7 2016: R+66.7 2012: R+60.5 2008: R+55.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.16%
- Current HPI
- 294.5958
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-4.4% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $71,100 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $76,300 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $76,700 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $77,100 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $78,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $79,200 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $92,800 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $106,200 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-12-11 Price Changed $137,600 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-11-25 Relisted — Metro Search MLS
- 2025-11-24 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2025-11-24 Listed $174,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2004-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $74,400 Public Records
Property tax history
-10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $233 · +24.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…