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4204 Martin Luther King Jr. Hwy
B Composite 70.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$90,000

4204 Martin Luther King Jr. Hwy · Lane, SC 29590
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,800 sqft · SingleFamily · 108 Days on market
Built 1960 0.76 ac lot ↓ 36% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Ranch style home on . 76 acres. Right beside Salters Tabernacle of Praise.

Key facts

  • Ranch style home
  • 0.76 acre lot
  • Built 1960

Tags

RANCH STYLE HOME

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Approximately 1,800 above-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Ceiling fans

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#94 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Williamsburg 01 (rural): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #74 of 80 in SC (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: W.M. Anderson Primary (433 students, 100% FRL); Kingstree High (720 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Williamsburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • Williamsburg County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $81,900 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.25%
Cash-on-cash
14.12%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$33,754
Equity at exit
$44,730
10-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
4.53×
Total profit
$88,944
Equity at exit
$72,448

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29590

Home prices YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,163 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$297

Break-even live

Break-even rent $787
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $359 -5% $328 +0% $297 +5% $265 +10% $234
Rent -10% $205 -5% $251 +0% $297 +5% $342 +10% $388
Rate -1.0pp $342 -0.5pp $319 base $297 +0.5pp $273 +1.0pp $250

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $90,000 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $90,000 Active 100 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 95 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 94 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $90,000 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 89 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 88 DOM
  16. 2026-03-04
    listed $90,000 Active
  17. 2024-11-22
    listed $140,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,953
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,350
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,116
− Management
−$1,116
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$2,261
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$543
After-tax cash flow
$3,016/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Williamsburg 01
NCES district ID
4503780
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$27,663
Composite
15.32/100
National rank
#9328
State rank
#74 of 80 in SC

Livability — Lane

Score
67/100
State rank
#94
US rank
#10510

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,756

Population outlook (Williamsburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,171 people
By 2030
27,247 · -6.6%
By 2040
23,314 · -20.1%
By 2050
19,798 · -32.1%
By 2075
13,336 · -54.3%
By 2100
8,502 · -70.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% White 14% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Scandinavian 1% Arab 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Williamsburg

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.7) · D 60.2% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: 38.2pp · 2024: 21.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.7 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+33.8 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+38.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.83%
Current HPI
117.2125
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-35.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $90,000 RAGPD
  • 2024-11-22 Listed $140,000 RAGPD

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…