11 Brookridge Dr · Blasdell, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NICELY MAINTAINED 2 BEDROOM & 2 FULL BATH DOUBLE WIDE HOME - SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM - MASTER BEDROOM FEATURES A MASTER BATH WITH GARDEN TUB & WALK IN SHOWER - 2ND BEDROOM HAS SLIDING DOORS TO FULL SIZE REAR DECK - GARAGE WITH WORKSHOP AREA & EXTRA WIDE DRIVEWAY ALLOWS PLENTY OF OFF STREET PARKING - PETS ALLOWED
Key facts
- Full ensuite
- Large back deck
- Extra-wide driveway
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease: $870
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; Driveway parking; Approximately 1.5 garage spaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-story (1 story); Double-wide mobile home; Resale condition; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Existing construction
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Deck; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Refrigerator; Country-style kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms; Main level primary bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Separate/formal living room; Country kitchen; Sliding glass door(s)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $870 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 4.5% in Blasdell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#643 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Frontier Central School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #301 of 590 in NY (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $65k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.39%
- DSCR
- 3.55
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $75,712
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Brookridge Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (0%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $52 | 85 |
| 54 N Eaglecrest Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (0%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $65 | 84 |
| 28 N Eaglecrest Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (0%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $55 | 82 |
| 74 Waterview Pkwy | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 1,452 (-0%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $55 | 77 |
| 68 S Eaglecrest Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (0%) | 17mo | $47,100 | $32 | 76 |
| 37 Brookridge Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,352 (-7%) | 8mo | $77,700 | $57 | 73 |
| 15 Waterview Pkwy | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (0%) | 14mo | $54,900 | $38 | 70 |
| 38 Highridge Ter | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,392 (-4%) | 16mo | $48,500 | $35 | 65 |
| 47 Waterview Pkwy | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 1,350 (-7%) | 13mo | $70,000 | $52 | 57 |
| 1 N Roxbury Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,372 (-6%) | 17mo | $48,000 | $35 | 55 |
| 24 W Canyon Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,352 (-7%) | 15mo | $103,000 | $76 | 50 |
| 7 Jean Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,274 (-12%) | 16mo | $55,000 | $43 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.21% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $48,755
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 64.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.16×
- Total profit
- $130,350
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14075
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 262
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,679 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,058/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $870
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4819 Southwestern Blvd Hamburg, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,055 | $1.76 | 1d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4591 Southwestern Blvd Hamburg, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $1,415 | $1.92 | 1d | 12 | 1.15mi |
| 4779 S Park Ave Hamburg, NY | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1287 | $1,875 | $1.46 | 1d | 3 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-05status $65,000 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$65,000 Active
-
2016-05-12soldstatus $20,000 Closed Sale or Rented 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
NICELY MAINTAINED 2 BEDROOM & 2 FULL BATH DOUBLE WIDE HOME - SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM - MASTER BEDROOM FEATURES A MASTER BATH WITH GARDEN TUB & WALK IN SHOWER - 2ND BEDROOM HAS SLIDING DOORS TO FULL SIZE REAR DECK - GARAGE WITH WORKSHOP AREA & EXTRA WIDE DRIVEWAY ALLOWS PLENTY OF OFF STREET PARKING - PETS ALLOWED
-
2016-03-24status Pending Sale 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
NICELY MAINTAINED 2 BEDROOM & 2 FULL BATH DOUBLE WIDE HOME - SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM - MASTER BEDROOM FEATURES A MASTER BATH WITH GARDEN TUB & WALK IN SHOWER - 2ND BEDROOM HAS SLIDING DOORS TO FULL SIZE REAR DECK - GARAGE WITH WORKSHOP AREA & EXTRA WIDE DRIVEWAY ALLOWS PLENTY OF OFF STREET PARKING - PETS ALLOWED
-
2016-02-15status Active 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
NICELY MAINTAINED 2 BEDROOM & 2 FULL BATH DOUBLE WIDE HOME - SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM - MASTER BEDROOM FEATURES A MASTER BATH WITH GARDEN TUB & WALK IN SHOWER - 2ND BEDROOM HAS SLIDING DOORS TO FULL SIZE REAR DECK - GARAGE WITH WORKSHOP AREA & EXTRA WIDE DRIVEWAY ALLOWS PLENTY OF OFF STREET PARKING - PETS ALLOWED
-
2016-01-29status Pending Sale 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
NICELY MAINTAINED 2 BEDROOM & 2 FULL BATH DOUBLE WIDE HOME - SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM - MASTER BEDROOM FEATURES A MASTER BATH WITH GARDEN TUB & WALK IN SHOWER - 2ND BEDROOM HAS SLIDING DOORS TO FULL SIZE REAR DECK - GARAGE WITH WORKSHOP AREA & EXTRA WIDE DRIVEWAY ALLOWS PLENTY OF OFF STREET PARKING - PETS ALLOWED
-
2015-10-15price $25,000 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
NICELY MAINTAINED 2 BEDROOM & 2 FULL BATH DOUBLE WIDE HOME - SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM - MASTER BEDROOM FEATURES A MASTER BATH WITH GARDEN TUB & WALK IN SHOWER - 2ND BEDROOM HAS SLIDING DOORS TO FULL SIZE REAR DECK - GARAGE WITH WORKSHOP AREA & EXTRA WIDE DRIVEWAY ALLOWS PLENTY OF OFF STREET PARKING - PETS ALLOWED
-
2015-10-05price $30,000 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
NICELY MAINTAINED 2 BEDROOM & 2 FULL BATH DOUBLE WIDE HOME - SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM - MASTER BEDROOM FEATURES A MASTER BATH WITH GARDEN TUB & WALK IN SHOWER - 2ND BEDROOM HAS SLIDING DOORS TO FULL SIZE REAR DECK - GARAGE WITH WORKSHOP AREA & EXTRA WIDE DRIVEWAY ALLOWS PLENTY OF OFF STREET PARKING - PETS ALLOWED
-
2015-09-03price $34,900 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
NICELY MAINTAINED 2 BEDROOM & 2 FULL BATH DOUBLE WIDE HOME - SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM - MASTER BEDROOM FEATURES A MASTER BATH WITH GARDEN TUB & WALK IN SHOWER - 2ND BEDROOM HAS SLIDING DOORS TO FULL SIZE REAR DECK - GARAGE WITH WORKSHOP AREA & EXTRA WIDE DRIVEWAY ALLOWS PLENTY OF OFF STREET PARKING - PETS ALLOWED
-
2015-05-28price $39,900 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
NICELY MAINTAINED 2 BEDROOM & 2 FULL BATH DOUBLE WIDE HOME - SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM - MASTER BEDROOM FEATURES A MASTER BATH WITH GARDEN TUB & WALK IN SHOWER - 2ND BEDROOM HAS SLIDING DOORS TO FULL SIZE REAR DECK - GARAGE WITH WORKSHOP AREA & EXTRA WIDE DRIVEWAY ALLOWS PLENTY OF OFF STREET PARKING - PETS ALLOWED
-
2015-05-13$43,900 Active 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
NICELY MAINTAINED 2 BEDROOM & 2 FULL BATH DOUBLE WIDE HOME - SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM - MASTER BEDROOM FEATURES A MASTER BATH WITH GARDEN TUB & WALK IN SHOWER - 2ND BEDROOM HAS SLIDING DOORS TO FULL SIZE REAR DECK - GARAGE WITH WORKSHOP AREA & EXTRA WIDE DRIVEWAY ALLOWS PLENTY OF OFF STREET PARKING - PETS ALLOWED
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,058 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,078 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$20/yr (+$2/mo · 1.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,151
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,058
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,612
- − Management
- −$1,612
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $10,012
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,403
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,043/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Frontier Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611670
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,807
- Composite
- 47.36/100
- National rank
- #2291
- State rank
- #301 of 590 in NY
Livability — Blasdell
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #643
- US rank
- #12059
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,520
- Household income
- $83,383
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 824.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 20% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -261.10%
- Current HPI
- 300.2852
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.21%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+48.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $65,000 WNYREIS
- 2016-05-12 Sold (MLS) $20,000 WNYREIS
- 2016-03-24 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2016-02-15 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2016-01-29 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2015-10-15 Price Changed $25,000 WNYREIS
- 2015-10-05 Price Changed $30,000 WNYREIS
- 2015-09-03 Price Changed $34,900 WNYREIS
- 2015-05-28 Price Changed $39,900 WNYREIS
- 2015-05-13 Listed $43,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,058 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…