214 Dogwood Dr · Sunset Beach, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$290,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable home in the much sought after development of Seaside Station. Easy access to the beach, restaurants, businesses, medical. etc. NO HOA. Three bedroom, 2 bath, conditioned sunroom, 2 nice storage sheds. Home is being sold furnished with a few exceptions.
Key facts
- Close to restaurants
- Inviting front porch
- Natural light
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: Sb-Mh-1
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel, on-site unpaved parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story (one level); Entry level: 1
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Shingle roof; Built on a 0.21-acre lot (approx. 60 x 150)
- Exterior features: Porch; Storm door(s); Storage structure; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Range; Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Ceiling fan(s); Storm windows; Window coverings; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in hall
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($926/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (21.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $229k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.3% in Sunset Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#257 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing B+, cost of living B; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jessie Mae Monroe Elementary (math 43% / reading 41%, grade F, #633 of 1,410 statewide, top 48%, 394 students, 99% FRL); Shallotte Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 674 students, 100% FRL); West Brunswick High (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $250k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.14%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $206,541
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 Live Oak Dr SW | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+8%) | 20mo | $258,500 | $184 | 65 |
| 528 Live Oak Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,457 (+12%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $137 | 54 |
| 537 Magnolia Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (+11%) | 12mo | $144,900 | $101 | 44 |
| 524 Live Oak Dr | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,129 (-13%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $159 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-42,208
- Equity at exit
- $43,240
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-30,959
- Equity at exit
- $25,074
Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28468
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,292 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,521
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,105/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$481
- Net cashflow
- $77
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $241 | -5% $159 | +0% $77 | +5% $-5 | +10% $-87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-104 | -5% $-13 | +0% $77 | +5% $168 | +10% $258 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $223 | -0.5pp $151 | base $77 | +0.5pp $2 | +1.0pp $-74 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,500
- Closing costs
- $8,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 495 Great Oak Cir Sunset Beach, NC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1501 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1790 Queen Anne Unit 1 Sunset Beach, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1701 | $2,150 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $290,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $290,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $290,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $290,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $290,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $290,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $290,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $290,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $290,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $290,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 638-char remark
-
2026-06-07$290,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,105 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,378 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,273/yr (+$106/mo · 115.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,507
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,245
- − Property taxes
- −$1,105
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,201
- − Management
- −$2,201
- − Depreciation
- −$8,436
- Taxable loss
- −$4,130
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$991
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,917/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brunswick County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700420
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,494
- Composite
- 39.23/100
- National rank
- #4011
- State rank
- #82 of 178 in NC
Livability — Sunset Beach
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #257
- US rank
- #11344
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sunset Beach, NC
- County
- Brunswick County · 131,536 people
- City population
- 5,154
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,154
- Household income
- $83,358
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 80.0
Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,111 people
- By 2030
- 165,705 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 188,494 · +23.9%
- By 2050
- 206,228 · +35.6%
- By 2075
- 237,876 · +56.4%
- By 2100
- 251,451 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -259.35%
- Current HPI
- 124.6475
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+93.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $290,000 Hive MLS
- 2022-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-27 Sold (MLS) $250,000 Hive MLS
- 2022-05-09 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2022-05-02 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2022-04-30 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2022-04-25 Listed $250,000 Hive MLS
- 2006-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,105 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…