32769 Willowbrook Ln · North Ridgeville, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful Updated Condo with lovely view off of the deck. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, attached 2 car garage. Development has two pools, tennis courts, and Rec. Facilities. Appliances are available. Also Available for Lease Purchase. Motivated Seller, SARO.
Key facts
- Hot water tank
- Open concept kitchen
- Hvac
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.3% in North Ridgeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#305 in OH, #4,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- North Ridgeville City (suburban): math 49% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #339 of 656 in OH (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $102k; list at $190k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.12%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $195,487
- List price
- $189,999
- Delta
- -2.81%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-24,598
- Equity at exit
- $28,329
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-12,863
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44039
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,149 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$259 /mo · $3,107/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$269
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $94
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5498 Broad Blvd North Ridgeville, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 6610 Lear Nagle Rd #157 North Ridgeville, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,549 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 30871 Lorain Rd North Olmsted, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1999 | $2,750 | $1.38 | 16d | 1 | 1.23mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $269 · $3,228/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,999 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,999 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,999 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,999 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,999 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,999 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,999 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,999 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,999 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $189,999 1092-char remark
-
2026-04-27$195,000 Active 1092-char remark
-
2011-08-31soldstatus $102,000 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Wonderful Updated Condo with lovely view off of the deck. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, attached 2 car garage. Development has two pools, tennis courts, and Rec. Facilities. Appliances are available. Also Available for Lease Purchase. Motivated Seller, SARO.
-
2011-08-31soldstatus $102,000
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Wonderful Updated Condo with lovely view off of the deck. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, attached 2 car garage. Development has two pools, tennis courts, and Rec. Facilities. Appliances are available. Also Available for Lease Purchase. Motivated Seller, SARO.
-
2010-07-29historical
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Wonderful Updated Condo with lovely view off of the deck. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, attached 2 car garage. Development has two pools, tennis courts, and Rec. Facilities. Appliances are available. Also Available for Lease Purchase. Motivated Seller, SARO.
-
2010-07-29$108,900 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Wonderful Updated Condo with lovely view off of the deck. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, attached 2 car garage. Development has two pools, tennis courts, and Rec. Facilities. Appliances are available. Also Available for Lease Purchase. Motivated Seller, SARO.
-
2009-11-11$114,900
-
2003-09-12soldstatus $125,000
-
2003-09-11soldstatus $125,000
-
2003-08-09$124,900
-
2002-05-29soldstatus $116,250
-
2002-05-29soldstatus $116,300
-
2002-02-27$119,900
-
1998-10-22soldstatus $97,500
-
1995-10-06soldstatus $93,000
-
1995-10-05soldstatus $93,000
-
1987-06-25soldstatus $76,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,107 · $259/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,107 · $259/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,782
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$3,107
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,063
- − Management
- −$2,063
- − HOA
- −$3,228
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$1,798
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$432
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,558/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Ridgeville City
- NCES district ID
- 3904453
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,437
- Composite
- 48.46/100
- National rank
- #2130
- State rank
- #339 of 656 in OH
Livability — North Ridgeville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #305
- US rank
- #4924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Ridgeville, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 36,780
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,780
- Household income
- $96,485
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 207.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.14%
- Current HPI
- 210.6074
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+147.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $189,999 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-27 Listed $195,000 MLSNOW
- 2011-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
- 2011-08-31 Sold (MLS) $102,000 MLSNOW
- 2010-07-29 Listed $108,900 MLSNOW
- 2010-07-29 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2009-11-11 Listed $114,900 MLSNOW
- 2003-09-12 Sold (MLS) $125,000 MLSNOW
- 2003-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2003-08-09 Listed $124,900 MLSNOW
- 2002-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $116,300 Public Records
- 2002-05-29 Sold (MLS) $116,250 MLSNOW
- 2002-02-27 Listed $119,900 MLSNOW
- 1998-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $97,500 Public Records
- 1995-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
- 1995-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
- 1987-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $76,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,107 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…