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47a Northtown Cir Multi-family
B- Composite 69.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

47a Northtown Cir · Jackson, MS 39211
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,174 sqft · MultiFamily · 137 Days on market
Built 1982 Good condition $102/sqft · 31% below area Est $174k · 31% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Updated 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath townhouse located in North Jackson with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major roadways. The home features an updated interior with a functional layout, including a comfortable living area, kitchen, and half bath on the main level, with both bedrooms and a full bath upstairs. Ideal for an owner-occupant or investment property in a quiet setting with easy access to I-55 and surrounding areas.

Key facts

  • Built 1982
  • Listed 137 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath multifamily listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.22%
Cash-on-cash
10.44%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,500
List price
$119,900
Delta
-30.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
43 Meadowoods Ter 0.14mi 2/2.0 1,335 (+14%) 3mo $118,000 $88 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$6,544
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$63,090
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39211

Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,419 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$292

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,049
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9B River Oaks Pl Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1012 $1,395 $1.38 23d 1 0.11mi
35 Meadowoods Ter Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1269 $1,450 $1.14 23d 1 0.15mi
50 Northtown Dr Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 871 $1,200 $1.38 13d 15 0.24mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 001G Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,449 $1.15 13d 1 0.25mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 003D Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,199 $1.17 43d 1 0.25mi
2501 River Oaks Blvd Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 980 $1,600 $1.63 13d 6 0.27mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 006H Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,289 $1.26 23d 1 0.28mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 009H Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,179 $1.15 13d 1 0.28mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 014G Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1096 $1,249 $1.14 13d 1 0.28mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 009F Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,319 $1.29 43d 1 0.28mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 029D Jackson, MS 1.0 1.0 750 $1,189 $1.59 43d 1 0.28mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 021A Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,694 $1.13 21d 1 0.28mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 002G Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,644 $1.30 43d 1 0.28mi
51 Northtown Dr Apt 13L Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1096 $1,364 $1.24 43d 1 0.28mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 008E Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,354 $1.32 43d 1 0.28mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 009D Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,179 $1.15 23d 1 0.28mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 001F Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,644 $1.30 13d 1 0.28mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 001B Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,499 $1.19 13d 1 0.28mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 027B Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1096 $1,439 $1.31 13d 1 0.28mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 027G Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1096 $1,279 $1.17 13d 1 0.28mi
51 Northtown Dr Apt 10E Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1096 $1,199 $1.09 13d 1 0.28mi
214 Foxboro Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1224 $1,395 $1.14 13d 1 0.71mi
109 Pine Knoll Dr Ridgeland, MS 1.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 43d 1 0.75mi
109 Pine Knoll Dr Ridgeland, MS 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,350 $1.29 13d 1 0.75mi
109 Pine Knoll Dr Ridgeland, MS 1.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 23d 1 0.75mi
110 Pine Knoll Dr Ridgeland, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 43d 1 0.88mi
601 Northpointe Pkwy Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 910 $1,054 $1.16 13d 2 0.96mi
1620 E County Line Rd Ridgeland, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1126 $1,345 $1.19 13d 7 1.00mi
879 William Blvd Ridgeland, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1117 $1,286 $1.15 13d 7 1.03mi
6675 Old Canton Rd Ridgeland, MS 1.0 1.0 700 $1,024 $1.46 13d 1 1.04mi
6675 Old Canton Rd Ridgeland, MS 1.0 1.0 700 $899 $1.28 23d 1 1.04mi
6675 Old Canton Rd Ridgeland, MS 1.0 1.0 700 $899 $1.28 43d 1 1.04mi
6675 Old Canton Rd Ridgeland, MS 2.0 2.0 905 $1,199 $1.32 21d 1 1.04mi
119 S Canton Club Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1444 $1,595 $1.10 23d 1 1.09mi
875 William Blvd Ridgeland, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 712 $1,289 $1.81 13d 9 1.10mi
1523 E County Line Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 989 $1,235 $1.25 43d 1 1.30mi
6811 Old Canton Rd Ridgeland, MS 2.0 2.0 1365 $1,495 $1.10 43d 1 1.33mi
120 Parkway Dr Jackson, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1076 $1,880 $1.75 13d 15 1.37mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 137 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 132 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 131 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 129 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 128 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 127 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 126 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,900 Active 123 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 121 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 120 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 119 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 118 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    price $119,900 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Updated 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath townhouse located in North Jackson with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major roadways. The home features an updated interior with a functional layout, including a comfortable living area, kitchen, and half bath on the main level, with both bedrooms and a full bath upstairs. Ideal for an owner-occupant or investment property in a quiet setting with easy access to I-55 and surrounding areas.

  18. 2026-02-01
    listed $139,900 Active 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Updated 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath townhouse located in North Jackson with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major roadways. The home features an updated interior with a functional layout, including a comfortable living area, kitchen, and half bath on the main level, with both bedrooms and a full bath upstairs. Ideal for an owner-occupant or investment property in a quiet setting with easy access to I-55 and surrounding areas.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,025
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,798
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,362
− Management
−$1,362
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$1,699
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$408
After-tax cash flow
$3,099/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This updated 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhouse is in excellent condition with a good layout and curb appeal, making it an ideal investment property.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Reorganizing furniture for better flow in living areas — Improved layout can make the home more inviting and functional
  • Both Upgrading light fixtures for a modern look — Modern lighting fixtures can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior ambiance

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Reorganizing furniture for better flow in living areas — Improved layout can make the home more inviting and functional
  • Both Upgrading light fixtures for a modern look — Modern lighting fixtures can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior ambiance

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
23,838
Household income
$69,426
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
736.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.99%
Current HPI
145.5192
Rent YoY
▲ 7.90%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-14.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $119,900 MLSU
  • 2026-02-01 Listed $139,900 MLSU

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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