Multi-family
47a Northtown Cir · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Updated 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath townhouse located in North Jackson with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major roadways. The home features an updated interior with a functional layout, including a comfortable living area, kitchen, and half bath on the main level, with both bedrooms and a full bath upstairs. Ideal for an owner-occupant or investment property in a quiet setting with easy access to I-55 and surrounding areas.
Key facts
- Built 1982
- Listed 137 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath multifamily listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.44%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,500
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -30.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Meadowoods Ter | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,335 (+14%) | 3mo | $118,000 | $88 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $6,544
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $63,090
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39211
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,419 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $292
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9B River Oaks Pl Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 35 Meadowoods Ter Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $1,450 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 50 Northtown Dr Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 871 | $1,200 | $1.38 | 13d | 15 | 0.24mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 001G Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,449 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 003D Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,199 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2501 River Oaks Blvd Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 980 | $1,600 | $1.63 | 13d | 6 | 0.27mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 006H Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,289 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 009H Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,179 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 014G Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,249 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 009F Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,319 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 029D Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,189 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 021A Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,694 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 002G Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,644 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Apt 13L Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,364 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 008E Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,354 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 009D Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,179 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 001F Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,644 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 001B Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,499 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 027B Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,439 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 027G Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,279 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Apt 10E Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,199 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 214 Foxboro Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,395 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 109 Pine Knoll Dr Ridgeland, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 109 Pine Knoll Dr Ridgeland, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 109 Pine Knoll Dr Ridgeland, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 110 Pine Knoll Dr Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 601 Northpointe Pkwy Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $1,054 | $1.16 | 13d | 2 | 0.96mi |
| 1620 E County Line Rd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1126 | $1,345 | $1.19 | 13d | 7 | 1.00mi |
| 879 William Blvd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $1,286 | $1.15 | 13d | 7 | 1.03mi |
| 6675 Old Canton Rd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,024 | $1.46 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6675 Old Canton Rd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $899 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6675 Old Canton Rd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $899 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6675 Old Canton Rd Ridgeland, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 905 | $1,199 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 119 S Canton Club Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,595 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 875 William Blvd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 712 | $1,289 | $1.81 | 13d | 9 | 1.10mi |
| 1523 E County Line Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 989 | $1,235 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 6811 Old Canton Rd Ridgeland, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $1,495 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 120 Parkway Dr Jackson, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1076 | $1,880 | $1.75 | 13d | 15 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $119,900 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Updated 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath townhouse located in North Jackson with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major roadways. The home features an updated interior with a functional layout, including a comfortable living area, kitchen, and half bath on the main level, with both bedrooms and a full bath upstairs. Ideal for an owner-occupant or investment property in a quiet setting with easy access to I-55 and surrounding areas.
-
2026-02-01$139,900 Active 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Updated 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath townhouse located in North Jackson with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major roadways. The home features an updated interior with a functional layout, including a comfortable living area, kitchen, and half bath on the main level, with both bedrooms and a full bath upstairs. Ideal for an owner-occupant or investment property in a quiet setting with easy access to I-55 and surrounding areas.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,025
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,362
- − Management
- −$1,362
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $1,699
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$408
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,099/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This updated 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhouse is in excellent condition with a good layout and curb appeal, making it an ideal investment property.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Reorganizing furniture for better flow in living areas — Improved layout can make the home more inviting and functional
- Both Upgrading light fixtures for a modern look — Modern lighting fixtures can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior ambiance
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Reorganizing furniture for better flow in living areas — Improved layout can make the home more inviting and functional ↑
- Both Upgrading light fixtures for a modern look — Modern lighting fixtures can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior ambiance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,838
- Household income
- $69,426
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 736.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.99%
- Current HPI
- 145.5192
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.90%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-14.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $119,900 MLSU
- 2026-02-01 Listed $139,900 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…