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97046 Katfish
C+ Composite 60.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$256,000

97046 Katfish · Yulee, FL 32097
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,050 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 2005 0.52 ac lot Est $480k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your dream home in Pirates Wood! This delightful 3-bed, 2.5-bath home offers 2,050 square feet of comfort and elegance. Built in 2005 on a generous 0.52-acre lot, relish cozy living with hardwood floors, a kitchen peninsula, and fairly recently updated roof and HVAC (2017). Enjoy the serene neighborhood ambiance while still being conveniently located near all the amenities, including the community boat ramp, pool and clubhouse. Coastal living awaits you here! Seller would like buyers to be prequalified by a preferred lender, Summit Mortgage Corporation NMLS #1041. Contact Susan Lazcano. No obligation to use lender.

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • 0.52 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

LARGE LOTKITCHEN OPENS TO LIVING ROOMGENEROUS SIZED BACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $256k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-123 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (8.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (3.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $234k (8.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.2% in Yulee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#605 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Nassau (town): math 74% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #4 of 73 in FL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 601 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 953 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Nassau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $256k implies a 1180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $234,319 (8.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.94%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$479,700
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
88083 Maybourne Rd 0.58mi 3/2.0 2,016 (-2%) 11mo $472,000 $234 61
97472 Pirates Point Rd 0.40mi 3/3.0 2,207 (+8%) 15mo $785,000 $356 52
97295 Laffites Way 0.43mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,932 (-6%) 12mo $350,000 $181 51
97071 Laffites Way 0.52mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,244 (+10%) 6mo $420,000 $187 46
97125 Pirates Point Rd 0.35mi 3/2.5 2,320 (+13%) 23mo $535,000 $231 40
97020 Landing Trl 0.64mi 3/3.0 2,240 (+9%) 18mo $1,205,000 $538 36
88137 Maybourne Rd 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,320 (+13%) 10mo $580,000 $250 35
96893 Blackrock Rd 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,320 (+13%) 23mo $452,500 $195 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$131,531
Equity at exit
$230,625
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
6.49×
Total profit
$393,321
Equity at exit
$497,352

Cash invested: $71,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32097

Home prices YoY
19.5%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
601
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,461 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,342
Tax from tax record
$551 /mo · $6,612/yr
Insurance
$107
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$517
Net cashflow
$-123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,616
Max offer price $234,319
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $22 -5% $-50 +0% $-123 +5% $-195 +10% $-268
Rent -10% $-317 -5% $-220 +0% $-123 +5% $-26 +10% $72
Rate -1.0pp $6 -0.5pp $-58 base $-123 +0.5pp $-189 +1.0pp $-257

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,000
Closing costs
$7,680
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
97122 Yorkshire Dr Yulee, FL 4.0 2.0 2522 $2,640 $1.05 5d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-04-25
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-14
    listed $256,000 Active
  3. 2025-12-30
    listed $5,000 Active
  4. 2024-04-18
    historical 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    Welcome to your dream home in Pirates Wood! This delightful 3-bed, 2.5-bath home offers 2,050 square feet of comfort and elegance. Built in 2005 on a generous 0.52-acre lot, relish cozy living with hardwood floors, a kitchen peninsula, and fairly recently updated roof and HVAC (2017). Enjoy the serene neighborhood ambiance while still being conveniently located near all the amenities, including the community boat ramp, pool and clubhouse. Coastal living awaits you here! Seller would like buyers to be prequalified by a preferred lender, Summit Mortgage Corporation NMLS #1041. Contact Susan Lazcano. No obligation to use lender.

  5. 2024-04-02
    listed $419,000 Active 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    Welcome to your dream home in Pirates Wood! This delightful 3-bed, 2.5-bath home offers 2,050 square feet of comfort and elegance. Built in 2005 on a generous 0.52-acre lot, relish cozy living with hardwood floors, a kitchen peninsula, and fairly recently updated roof and HVAC (2017). Enjoy the serene neighborhood ambiance while still being conveniently located near all the amenities, including the community boat ramp, pool and clubhouse. Coastal living awaits you here! Seller would like buyers to be prequalified by a preferred lender, Summit Mortgage Corporation NMLS #1041. Contact Susan Lazcano. No obligation to use lender.

  6. 2007-12-15
    historical
  7. 2007-06-15
    listed $337,000
  8. 2004-10-08
    soldstatus $20,000
  9. 1991-07-24
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,612 · $551/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,612 · $551/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,527
− Mortgage interest
−$14,340
− Property taxes
−$6,612
− Insurance
−$2,078
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,362
− Management
−$2,362
− Depreciation
−$7,447
Taxable loss
−$5,674
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,362
After-tax cash flow
$-111/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nassau
NCES district ID
1201350
Math proficiency
74% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,267
Composite
59.79/100
National rank
#899
State rank
#4 of 73 in FL

Livability — Yulee

Score
66/100
State rank
#605
US rank
#11615

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yulee, FL
County
Nassau County · 67,729 people
City population
26,700
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
26,700
Household income
$93,161
Rent vs Own
19.8% rent · 80.2% own
Severe rent burden
404.0

Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,419 people
By 2030
92,679 · +4.8%
By 2040
99,257 · +12.3%
By 2050
103,378 · +16.9%
By 2075
109,726 · +24.1%
By 2100
107,006 · +21.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nassau

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.9) · D 26.1% · R 73.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -46.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.9 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+48.6 2008: R+43.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 49.35%
Current HPI
301.9299
Rent YoY
▲ 2.88%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1180.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $256,000 realMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
  • 2024-04-18 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2024-04-02 Listed $419,000 realMLS
  • 2007-12-15 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2007-06-15 Listed $337,000 realMLS
  • 2004-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 1991-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,612 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…