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250 Valleybrook Dr
C Composite 59.16
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

250 Valleybrook Dr · Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA 30606
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,671 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1972 0.51 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

U/C prior to publishing.

Key facts

  • 0.51 acre lot
  • Built 1972

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential home; One-story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.51 acres; Located in the Forest Heights subdivision; Driving directions available from Ogelthorpe Ave to Valleybrook

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.3% in Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Clarke County (urban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #146 of 174 in GA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 317 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,172 units permitted in Clarke County in 2024 (876 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clarke County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.25%
Cash-on-cash
10.58%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$355,923
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
250 Valleybrook Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,671 (0%) 1mo $150,000 $90 100
210 Valleybrook Dr 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,780 (+6%) 8mo $490,000 $275 77
255 Hampton Park Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,686 (+1%) 8mo $359,000 $213 66
125 Hampton Park Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,655 (-1%) 5mo $310,000 $187 65
150 Breckenridge Ln 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,508 (-10%) 7mo $372,000 $247 65
108 Elder Rd 0.47mi 3/2.5 1,618 (-3%) 16mo $374,000 $231 57
655 Rivermont Rd 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,580 (-5%) 2mo $380,000 $241 56
115 Westchester Circle Cir 0.45mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,524 (-9%) 0mo $250,000 $164 55
115 Davis Pl 0.63mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,720 (+3%) 6mo $238,000 $138 54
101 Berkeshire Ct 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,746 (+4%) 16mo $358,000 $205 50
240 Pine Forest Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,428 (-14%) 14mo $350,350 $245 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-3,306
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$17,206
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30606

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
317
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,887 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$271 /mo · $3,255/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$396
Net cashflow
$370

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,418
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $455 -5% $413 +0% $370 +5% $328 +10% $285
Rent -10% $221 -5% $296 +0% $370 +5% $445 +10% $519
Rate -1.0pp $446 -0.5pp $408 base $370 +0.5pp $331 +1.0pp $292

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
105 Westchester Dr Athens, GA 2.0 2.5 1206 $1,825 $1.51 44d 2 0.29mi
105 Westchester Dr Athens, GA 2.0 2.5 1206 $1,675 $1.39 14d 3 0.29mi
205 Westchester Dr Athens, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1100 $1,505 $1.37 44d 1 0.35mi
600 Mitchell Bridge Rd #1 Athens, GA 2.0 2.5 1275 $1,900 $1.49 44d 1 0.44mi
255 Ferncliff Dr Athens, GA 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,995 $1.64 22d 1 0.48mi
260 Sherwood Dr Athens, GA 3.0 1.5 1186 $1,700 $1.43 44d 1 0.55mi
888 Horizon Blvd Athens, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1066 $1,795 $1.68 44d 1 0.58mi
700 Mitchell Bridge Rd Athens, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1121 $1,537 $1.37 14d 7 0.78mi
2505 W Broad St Athens, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1370 $2,300 $1.68 14d 5 1.01mi
150 Chateau Ter Athens, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 970 $1,527 $1.57 14d 12 1.08mi
355 The Preserve Dr Athens, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1166 $2,010 $1.72 22d 3 1.10mi
173 Russell Way Athens, GA 4.0 2.5 2218 $2,224 $1.00 44d 1 1.11mi
195 Sycamore Dr Athens, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 909 $1,425 $1.57 14d 8 1.18mi
290 Sunset Dr Athens, GA 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,800 $1.56 44d 1 1.28mi
255 The Preserve Dr Athens, GA 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1036 $1,126 $1.09 14d 7 1.28mi
132 Wood Lake Dr Athens, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,625 $1.81 14d 6 1.32mi
210 Brittany Pointe Ln Athens, GA 4.0 2.0 2000 $3,200 $1.60 22d 1 1.44mi
125 Wood Lake Dr #208 Athens, GA 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,700 $1.01 22d 1 1.45mi
150 The Preserve Dr #1 Athens, GA 2.0 3.0 1856 $2,077 $1.12 22d 1 1.46mi
150 The Preserve Dr Unit 13A Athens, GA 2.0 2.5 1690 $1,795 $1.06 14d 1 1.46mi
150 The Preserve Dr Unit 9C Athens, GA 2.0 2.5 1501 $2,049 $1.37 22d 1 1.46mi
150 The Preserve Dr Athens, GA 2.0 2.5 1720 $2,076 $1.21 22d 2 1.46mi
150 The Preserve Dr Athens, GA 2.0 2.5 1720 $2,037 $1.18 14d 2 1.46mi
317 Epps Bridge Rd Athens, GA 2.0 1.0 1760 $1,250 $0.71 22d 1 1.47mi
315 Epps Bridge Rd Athens, GA 2.0 1.0 1760 $1,150 $0.65 22d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-24
    listed $150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,255 · $271/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,255 · $271/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,642
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$3,255
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,811
− Management
−$1,811
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$2,248
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$540
After-tax cash flow
$3,903/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clarke County
NCES district ID
1301170
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$33,649
Composite
15.51/100
National rank
#9302
State rank
#146 of 174 in GA

Livability — Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA
County
Clarke County · 126,008 people
City population
119,110
Metro
Athens-Clarke County, GA
Population (ZIP)
47,865
Household income
$63,328
Rent vs Own
56.2% rent · 43.8% own
Severe rent burden
3510.0

Population outlook (Clarke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
141,365 people
By 2030
151,724 · +7.3%
By 2040
168,541 · +19.2%
By 2050
184,855 · +30.8%
By 2075
221,736 · +56.9%
By 2100
253,853 · +79.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, Philippines
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clarke

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.3) · D 68.6% · R 30.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+7.0pp toward D · 2008: 31.3pp · 2024: 38.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.3 2020: D+42.1 2016: D+38.0 2012: D+28.9 2008: D+31.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -454.63%
Current HPI
258.4817
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Athens-Clarke County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $150,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+12.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,255 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…