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1402 22ND St NE #252
C Composite 59.69
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

1402 22ND St NE #252 · Auburn, WA 98002
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,488 sqft · Manufactured · 3 Days on market
Built 1978 Est $131k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this Beautifully updated residence located in the desirable & gated 55+ community of Rio Verde in Auburn! This move-in-ready home offers extensive upgrades throughout, providing comfort & style. Recent improvements include fresh interior paint, a new roof, new hot water tank, new A/C w/ heat pump unit, new luxury hardwood flooring, new light fixtures/switches/wallplates/updated electrical receptacles throughout. Enjoy enhanced indoor air quality with the Remi UV air filter, new flex plumbing, and tastefully updated bathrooms. The kitchen offers plenty of cabinet space w/ a new sink, dishwasher, and microwave. The outdoor living space is equally impressive, featu

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • New hot water tank
  • New a/c

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYUPDATED RESIDENCENEW ROOFNEW HOT WATER TANKNEW A/CLUXURY HARDWOOD FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land lease: $1,364; Listing terms: Cash, Conventional
  • HOA & community: Located in Rio Verde mobile home park; Park approved for sale; Approximately 285 homes in park; Park amenities: BBQs, clubhouse, common area, exercise room, high-speed internet available, laundry, pool, recreational area, RV parking, sauna, security gate, spa/hot tub; Pets allowed: cats and dogs

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Additional park parking available
  • Security: Security gate
  • Utilities: Electric and wood energy sources; Power provided by PSE; Water paid through the park; Sewer paid through the park; Comcast cable and internet connected
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One story; Faces west; Very good condition; Manufactured after 6/15/1976
  • Construction: Metal/vinyl construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Make: MANSFIELD
  • Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Patio/porch/deck; Awnings; Landscaped; Spa/Hot Tub (community); Pool (community)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Engineered hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 bathtub; 2 showers
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump; Stove / free standing heating; Wall furnace; Central air conditioning; Forced air cooling; Heat pump cooling; Wall unit(s)
  • Interior features: Fireplace; Den/Office; Dining room; Entry; Family room; Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Utility room; Skylights; Ceiling fan(s); Double pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $155k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.02%
Cash-on-cash
13.31%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$130,944
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1402 22nd St NE #509 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-3%) 1mo $130,000 $90 93
1402 22nd St NE #29 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,536 (+3%) 5mo $149,500 $97 89
1402 22nd St NE #549 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,459 (-2%) 2mo $70,000 $48 89
1402 22nd St NE #52 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-3%) 6mo $120,000 $83 88
1402 22nd St NE #65 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,535 (+3%) 8mo $86,500 $56 87
1402 22nd St NE #11 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,368 (-8%) 2mo $60,000 $44 84
1402 22nd St NE #402 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-3%) 2mo $115,500 $80 75
1402 22nd St NE #203 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,632 (+10%) 5mo $143,500 $88 73
1402 22nd St NE #27 0.27mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-10%) 0mo $65,000 $48 71
1402 22nd St NE #47 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-3%) 11mo $158,750 $110 67
1402 22nd St NE #127 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,320 (-11%) 4mo $137,500 $104 60
1402 22nd St NE #515 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (+13%) 11mo $221,000 $132 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,677
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$30,378
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98002

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,965 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax est. 1.5%
$194 /mo · $2,325/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$413
Net cashflow
$482

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,356
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2212 O St NE Unit D Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,925 $1.93 21d 1 0.07mi
2025 M St NE Unit 2045 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 1248 $2,095 $1.68 21d 1 0.13mi
2222 L St NE Unit 2222LA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 895 $1,995 $2.23 2d 1 0.16mi
2409 N St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,950 $2.17 14d 1 0.17mi
2414 N St NE Unit C Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1271 $1,950 $1.53 24d 1 0.18mi
2315 L St NE Unit 2315LA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 990 $1,995 $2.02 2d 1 0.22mi
2319 L St NE Unit 2319LB Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 895 $1,995 $2.23 2d 1 0.23mi
2502 M St NE Unit 2502MA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 910 $2,050 $2.25 2d 1 0.23mi
1015 18th St NE Unit 931 935 1001 1007 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,699 $1.89 24d 1 0.25mi
1741 22nd St NE Auburn, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 902 $1,650 $1.83 2d 2 0.26mi
2545 M Pl NE Unit 2545MPC Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 24d 1 0.27mi
2556 M Pl NE Unit 2556MPC Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 19d 1 0.28mi
2602 J St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 897 $1,972 $2.20 2d 10 0.37mi
2317 I St NE Unit 2319 Auburn, WA 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,275 $1.62 24d 1 0.41mi
987 26th Pl NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 939 $1,795 $1.91 24d 1 0.42mi
2441 I St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 910 $1,795 $1.97 14d 1 0.43mi
1413 12th St NE Unit ADU Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,400 $2.40 4d 1 0.49mi
1433 8th St NE Auburn, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1025 $2,244 $2.19 1d 13 0.69mi
31900 104th Ave SE Unit A206 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 1250 $2,000 $1.60 24d 1 0.72mi
634 M St NE Unit 3 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,650 $1.83 24d 1 0.82mi
1314 6th Pl NE Auburn, WA 3.0 1.5 1180 $3,200 $2.71 24d 1 0.84mi
1221 A St NE Auburn, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 741 $1,986 $2.68 1d 14 0.96mi
29 R St NE Unit A Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,695 $1.88 24d 1 1.17mi
515 N Division St Auburn, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,750 $2.50 24d 4 1.27mi
44 5th St NE Apt 4 Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,999 $2.00 24d 1 1.29mi
107 N St SE Unit A Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,750 $1.62 21d 1 1.32mi
225 I St SE Unit 225 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 980 $2,100 $2.14 14d 1 1.47mi
24 Auburn Way S Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,495 $1.50 24d 1 1.47mi
128 E Main St Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 680 $2,425 $3.56 4d 6 1.50mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    remarks 691-char remark
  4. 2026-06-15
    listed $155,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,585
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$2,325
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,887
− Management
−$1,887
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$3,520
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$845
After-tax cash flow
$4,933/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn School District
NCES district ID
5300300
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,048
Composite
46.73/100
National rank
#5240
State rank
#125 of 291 in WA

Livability — Auburn

Score
81/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#1371

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
74,969
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
37,509
Household income
$78,684
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
2202.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -677.96%
Current HPI
298.0849
Rent YoY
▲ 1.51%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+113.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $155,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-30 Sold (MLS) $80,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-17 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-13 Listed $82,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-12-05 Sold (MLS) $72,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-11-03 Listed $72,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…