1402 22ND St NE #252 · Auburn, WA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this Beautifully updated residence located in the desirable & gated 55+ community of Rio Verde in Auburn! This move-in-ready home offers extensive upgrades throughout, providing comfort & style. Recent improvements include fresh interior paint, a new roof, new hot water tank, new A/C w/ heat pump unit, new luxury hardwood flooring, new light fixtures/switches/wallplates/updated electrical receptacles throughout. Enjoy enhanced indoor air quality with the Remi UV air filter, new flex plumbing, and tastefully updated bathrooms. The kitchen offers plenty of cabinet space w/ a new sink, dishwasher, and microwave. The outdoor living space is equally impressive, featu
Key facts
- Gated community
- New hot water tank
- New a/c
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease: $1,364; Listing terms: Cash, Conventional
- HOA & community: Located in Rio Verde mobile home park; Park approved for sale; Approximately 285 homes in park; Park amenities: BBQs, clubhouse, common area, exercise room, high-speed internet available, laundry, pool, recreational area, RV parking, sauna, security gate, spa/hot tub; Pets allowed: cats and dogs
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Additional park parking available
- Security: Security gate
- Utilities: Electric and wood energy sources; Power provided by PSE; Water paid through the park; Sewer paid through the park; Comcast cable and internet connected
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One story; Faces west; Very good condition; Manufactured after 6/15/1976
- Construction: Metal/vinyl construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Make: MANSFIELD
- Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Patio/porch/deck; Awnings; Landscaped; Spa/Hot Tub (community); Pool (community)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Engineered hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 bathtub; 2 showers
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump; Stove / free standing heating; Wall furnace; Central air conditioning; Forced air cooling; Heat pump cooling; Wall unit(s)
- Interior features: Fireplace; Den/Office; Dining room; Entry; Family room; Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Utility room; Skylights; Ceiling fan(s); Double pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $155k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.31%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $130,944
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1402 22nd St NE #509 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-3%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $90 | 93 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #29 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,536 (+3%) | 5mo | $149,500 | $97 | 89 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #549 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,459 (-2%) | 2mo | $70,000 | $48 | 89 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #52 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-3%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $83 | 88 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #65 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,535 (+3%) | 8mo | $86,500 | $56 | 87 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #11 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-8%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $44 | 84 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #402 | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-3%) | 2mo | $115,500 | $80 | 75 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #203 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,632 (+10%) | 5mo | $143,500 | $88 | 73 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #27 | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-10%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $48 | 71 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #47 | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-3%) | 11mo | $158,750 | $110 | 67 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #127 | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (-11%) | 4mo | $137,500 | $104 | 60 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #515 | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+13%) | 11mo | $221,000 | $132 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,677
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $30,378
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98002
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,965 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$194 /mo · $2,325/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $482
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2212 O St NE Unit D Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,925 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2025 M St NE Unit 2045 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $2,095 | $1.68 | 21d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2222 L St NE Unit 2222LA Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,995 | $2.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2409 N St NE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,950 | $2.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2414 N St NE Unit C Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1271 | $1,950 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2315 L St NE Unit 2315LA Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,995 | $2.02 | 2d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2319 L St NE Unit 2319LB Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,995 | $2.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2502 M St NE Unit 2502MA Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $2,050 | $2.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1015 18th St NE Unit 931 935 1001 1007 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,699 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1741 22nd St NE Auburn, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 2d | 2 | 0.26mi |
| 2545 M Pl NE Unit 2545MPC Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2556 M Pl NE Unit 2556MPC Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 19d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2602 J St NE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,972 | $2.20 | 2d | 10 | 0.37mi |
| 2317 I St NE Unit 2319 Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,275 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 987 26th Pl NE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 939 | $1,795 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2441 I St NE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,795 | $1.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1413 12th St NE Unit ADU Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1433 8th St NE Auburn, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1025 | $2,244 | $2.19 | 1d | 13 | 0.69mi |
| 31900 104th Ave SE Unit A206 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 634 M St NE Unit 3 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1314 6th Pl NE Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1180 | $3,200 | $2.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1221 A St NE Auburn, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 741 | $1,986 | $2.68 | 1d | 14 | 0.96mi |
| 29 R St NE Unit A Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 515 N Division St Auburn, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,750 | $2.50 | 24d | 4 | 1.27mi |
| 44 5th St NE Apt 4 Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,999 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 107 N St SE Unit A Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,750 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 225 I St SE Unit 225 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,100 | $2.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 24 Auburn Way S Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 128 E Main St Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 680 | $2,425 | $3.56 | 4d | 6 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 691-char remark
-
2026-06-15$155,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,585
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,325
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,887
- − Management
- −$1,887
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $3,520
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$845
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,933/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300300
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,048
- Composite
- 46.73/100
- National rank
- #5240
- State rank
- #125 of 291 in WA
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1371
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 74,969
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,509
- Household income
- $78,684
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2202.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -677.96%
- Current HPI
- 298.0849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.51%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+113.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $155,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-30 Sold (MLS) $80,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-17 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-13 Listed $82,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-12-05 Sold (MLS) $72,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-11-03 Listed $72,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…