1038 Prouty Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LENDER OWNED PLEASE SUBMIT PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EARNEST MONEY TO BE SENT TO SELLER'S TITLE COMPANY.
Key facts
- New furnace
- New flooring
- Income producing
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking (unspecified)
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels / 2 stories; Not attached to other properties; No common walls
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Other foundation details
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on upper level (two bedrooms listed); Bedroom sizes approximately 11 x 9 and 10 x 10
- Flooring: Carpet flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Total of 6 rooms; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry features listed (details not specified)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($989 rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Marshall Stemm Academy (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,554 of 1,584 statewide, top 100%, 374 students, 0% FRL); Jesup W. Scott High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 736 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $863 of equity ($414 loan paydown + $449 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask is 6205% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.04%
- DSCR
- 2.16
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $69,068
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1127 Harding Dr | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (-1%) | 4mo | $22,000 | $20 | 86 |
| 445 Hiett Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+3%) | 3mo | $33,000 | $29 | 77 |
| 1152 Colton St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,046 (-6%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $62 | 77 |
| 1057 Harding Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,184 (+6%) | 4mo | $98,500 | $83 | 75 |
| 1321 Gordon St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,131 (+2%) | 5mo | $70,600 | $62 | 71 |
| 837 Orchard St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,224 (+10%) | 1mo | $19,000 | $16 | 68 |
| 678 Lorain St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,006 (-10%) | 7mo | $26,000 | $26 | 68 |
| 511 Congress St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,109 (-0%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $50 | 68 |
| 1402 Prouty Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,030 (-8%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $49 | 66 |
| 624 Carlton St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,013 (-9%) | 2mo | $134,888 | $133 | 50 |
| 1461 Ingomar Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,008 (-10%) | 7mo | $79,900 | $79 | 49 |
| 717 Segur Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,188 (+7%) | 2mo | $79,000 | $66 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.75% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $28,592
- Equity at exit
- $19,671
- IRR
- 37.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.24×
- Total profit
- $87,866
- Equity at exit
- $25,551
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43609
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $989 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $939/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $364
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 837 Colburn St Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $700 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 837 Colburn St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1158 | $695 | $0.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 827 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $750 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 771 Orchard St Unit 7715 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $645 | $0.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1418 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2424 Broadway St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,049 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 724 Spencer St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1127 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 532 Carlton St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 523 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,350 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 705 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $900 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2594 Broadway St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $825 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 244 Knower St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $995 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1734 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 319 N Detroit Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1341 | $845 | $0.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 337 Broadway St Unit 201 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1455 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2044 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Coming Soon 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14$59,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $939 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $939 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,868
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$939
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$949
- − Management
- −$949
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $3,632
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$872
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,495/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,404
- Household income
- $42,313
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1603.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Current HPI
- 235.2515
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.80%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+199.5% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Coming Soon $59,900 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $5,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $50,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-02 Rental Removed $645 RENTLY
- 2025-09-21 Price Changed $645 RENTLY
- 2025-05-14 Listed for Rent $950 RENTLY
- 2024-11-12 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2024-10-28 Price Changed $84,900 NORIS
- 2024-10-18 Listed $89,900 NORIS
- 2024-09-27 Coming Soon — NORIS
- 2023-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $199,000 Public Records
- 2023-09-22 Pending — NORIS
- 2023-09-21 Sold (MLS) $50,000 NORIS
- 2023-08-08 Contingent — NORIS
- 2023-08-04 Listed $55,000 NORIS
- 2023-02-13 Sold (MLS) $17,900 NORIS
- 2023-02-03 Pending — NORIS
- 2023-02-01 Listed $17,900 NORIS
- 2023-01-20 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2022-10-19 Price Changed $27,900 NORIS
- 2022-08-01 Listed $29,900 NORIS
- 2020-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $341,500 Public Records
- 2018-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2007-11-15 Sold (MLS) $5,000 NORIS
- 2007-07-13 Listed $5,900 NORIS
- 2005-12-31 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2005-08-27 Listed $47,000 NORIS
- 2004-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
- 2001-08-15 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2001-05-15 Listed $36,000 NORIS
- 1997-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $939 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…