15-64 212th St #252 · New York, NY 11360

$379,999

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 975 sqft · Condo · 64 Days on market

Built 1958 ↓ 11% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +8.4/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.6/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• 1% rule +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.3/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence, located on the 2nd floor, nestled on a beautiful tree-lined street in the desirable Bay Terrace Gardens community. This inviting home offers comfortable living with the convenience of one dedicated parking space and access to a community playground. Ideally located just minutes from the Bay Terrace Shopping Center, library, and elementary and middle schools. Commuters will appreciate easy access to the Express Bus to Manhattan, local buses, Clearview & Cross Island Parkways, and nearby destinations such as Fort Totten, Little Bay Park, and Clearview Golf Course. Monthly maintenance: $1,161.93, which includes real estate taxes and a

Key facts

• Community playground
• Built 1958
• Listed 64 days

Tags

• DEDICATED PARKING SPACE
• COMMUNITY PLAYGROUND
• EASY ACCESS TO EXPRESS BUS
• CLEARVIEW GOLF COURSE

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Assigned parking; Parking fee applies
• Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Trash collection (private); Water connected
• Home design: Stock cooperative; One level (listed level: 2)
• Construction: Brick exterior
• Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
• Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5; Entry level: 2; Stories total: 2
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Formal dining area; Granite counters; Attic with pull stairs; No basement
• Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $380k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-342 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $331k (13.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $289k (23.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $289k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: 219 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $15k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
• Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($357k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $289,142 (23.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.76% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.21%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.86%
• DSCR: 0.83
• GRM: 11.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 4.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.28×
• Total profit: $29,291
• Equity at exit: $176,444

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.21×
• Total profit: $128,474
• Equity at exit: $276,340

Cash invested: $106,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11360

• Home prices YoY: 1.6%
• Active inventory: 219
• Price-to-rent: 11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,891 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,993
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$475 /mo · $5,700/yr
• Insurance: −$158
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$607
• Net cashflow: $-342

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,324

Max offer price $330,530

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $95,000
• Closing costs: $11,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 17 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
16-05 Bell Blvd Unit 1st Floor Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,400	$3.43	24d	1	0.21mi
1670 Bell Blvd Bayside, NY	2.0	1.0–1.5	600	$3,100	$5.17	2d	4	0.25mi
1816 Bell Blvd Bayside, NY	1.0	1.0	1000	$2,500	$2.50	24d	1	0.26mi
1785 215th St Unit 15J Bayside, NY	1.0	1.0	620	$3,500	$5.65	24d	1	0.35mi
1 Bay Club Dr Unit 21W Bayside, NY	1.0	1.0	762	$3,100	$4.07	12d	1	0.39mi
2 Bay Club Dr Bayside, NY	1.0	1.0	780	$4,000	$5.13	24d	1	0.39mi
206-14 Emily Rd Unit 42L Bayside, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,700	$3.86	24d	1	0.40mi
20933 26th Ave Unit 1C Bayside, NY	1.0	1.5	800	$3,000	$3.75	24d	1	0.46mi
23-45 Corporal Kennedy St Unit 1 Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	1000	$2,800	$2.80	24d	1	0.47mi
209-21 26th Ave Unit TB Bayside, NY	1.0	1.0	955	$2,850	$2.98	19d	1	0.48mi
29-04 204th St Unit 1Floor Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,600	$3.71	19d	1	0.88mi
1011 162nd St Whitestone, NY	1.0	1.0	880	$1,800	$2.05	19d	1	1.10mi
3321 Jordan St Flushing, NY	3.0	2.0	1080	$3,900	$3.61	24d	1	1.21mi
33-08 Francis Lewis Blvd Unit 2FL Queens, NY	3.0	1.0	1050	$3,050	$2.90	24d	1	1.27mi
208-12 39th Ave Bayside, NY	3.0	1.0	950	$3,150	$3.32	8d	1	1.44mi
1001 154th St Whitestone, NY	2.0	1.0	900	$3,300	$3.67	24d	1	1.44mi
15719 26th Ave Flushing, NY	2.0	1.0	850	$2,850	$3.35	22d	1	1.44mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-08
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-18
   price $379,999
3. 2026-03-05
   listed $425,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $34,697
• − Mortgage interest: −$21,286
• − Property taxes: −$5,700
• − Insurance: −$1,900
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,776
• − Management: −$2,776
• − Depreciation: −$11,055
• Taxable loss: −$10,795
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,591
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,512/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Queens County · 1,914,869 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 19,469
• Household income: $98,875
• Rent vs Own: 23.6% rent · 76.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 496.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,546,320 people
• By 2030: 2,643,059 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 2,815,563 · +10.6%
• By 2050: 2,944,423 · +15.6%
• By 2075: 3,123,338 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
• Race & ethnicity: White 54% Asian 29% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Estonian 1%
• Foreign-born: 33% · China, South Korea, Canada
• Languages at home: 58% English-only · Chinese 14% Other Indo-European 11% Korean 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.26%
• Current HPI: 204.1422
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-10.6% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-08 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-18 Price Changed $379,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-05 Listed $425,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid