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302 E Prospect Ter
B- Composite 66.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

302 E Prospect Ter · Freeport, IL 61032
6 bd · 4.0 ba · — sqft · Other · 104 Days on market
Built 1892

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity! This well-maintained duplex features a 2 bed/1 bath unit on the first floor and a 1 bed/1 bath unit on the second floor. Perfect for investors or owner-occupants looking to live in one unit and rent the other. Recent updates include new siding and updated gutters (2022). Roof is in good condition. Don’t miss your chance to make this property yours today!

Key facts

  • New siding
  • Updated gutters
  • Built 1892

Tags

WELL MAINTAINED DUPLEXNEW SIDINGUPDATED GUTTERSROOF IN GOOD CONDITION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $573 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 5.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#302 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, commute F, employment F.
  • Freeport SD 145 (town): math 11% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #565 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 197 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7 units permitted in Stephenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stephenson County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $110k implies a 340% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1892 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $100,009 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1892 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.55%
Cash-on-cash
22.35%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$62,531
List price
$109,900
Delta
75.75%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$18,687
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
3.06×
Total profit
$63,262
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61032

Home prices YoY
-19.5%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,632 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,130/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$573

Break-even live

Break-even rent $907
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1219 1/2 S Chicago Ave Freeport, IL 5.0 2.0 2672 $1,625 $0.61 43d 1 0.16mi
1776 S Hance Dr Unit 1776 Freeport, IL 5.0 2.0 $1,695 43d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 104 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 103 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 102 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 101 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 99 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $109,900 Active 98 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 93 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 92 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,900 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 88 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 87 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 86 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 85 DOM
  16. 2026-03-11
    listed $109,900 Active 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! This well-maintained duplex features a 2 bed/1 bath unit on the first floor and a 1 bed/1 bath unit on the second floor. Perfect for investors or owner-occupants looking to live in one unit and rent the other. Recent updates include new siding and updated gutters (2022). Roof is in good condition. Don’t miss your chance to make this property yours today!

  17. 2026-03-06
    listed $109,900 Active 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! This well-maintained duplex features a 2 bed/1 bath unit on the first floor and a 1 bed/1 bath unit on the second floor. Perfect for investors or owner-occupants looking to live in one unit and rent the other. Recent updates include new siding and updated gutters (2022). Roof is in good condition. Don't miss your chance to make this property yours today!

  18. 2025-11-21
    historical
  19. 2025-11-11
    listed Active
  20. 2025-10-28
    historical
  21. 2025-10-07
    price $115,000
  22. 2025-10-07
    price
  23. 2025-08-31
    price
  24. 2025-08-31
    price $120,000
  25. 2025-07-28
    listed Active
  26. 2022-03-24
    soldstatus $25,000
  27. 2022-03-08
    soldstatus $25,000 Closed
  28. 2022-02-15
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  29. 2022-02-14
    status Active Under Contract
  30. 2021-12-15
    status Active
  31. 2021-12-08
    status Active Under Contract (Do Not Show)
  32. 2021-11-29
    listed $35,000 Active
  33. 2021-08-21
    status Active Under Contract (Do Not Show)
  34. 2021-08-20
    historical
  35. 2021-08-19
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,130 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,813 · $151/mo
Expected delta
+$682/yr (+$57/mo · 60.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,585
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,130
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,567
− Management
−$1,567
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$5,419
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,300
After-tax cash flow
$5,576/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Freeport SD 145
NCES district ID
1715900
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,803
Composite
9.89/100
National rank
#9821
State rank
#565 of 620 in IL

Livability — Freeport

Score
72/100
State rank
#302
US rank
#5927

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Freeport, IL
Population (ZIP)
29,072

Population outlook (Stephenson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,802 people
By 2030
39,487 · -5.5%
By 2040
34,534 · -17.4%
By 2050
29,693 · -29.0%
By 2075
21,196 · -49.3%
By 2100
14,596 · -65.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stephenson

2024 margin
R (+19.4) · D 39.5% · R 58.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: 6.7pp · 2024: -19.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.4 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+4.6 2008: D+6.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.75%
Current HPI
163.677
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+214.0% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $109,900 NWIAR
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $109,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-21 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-11 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-28 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed $115,000 NWIAR
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-31 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-31 Price Changed $120,000 NWIAR
  • 2025-07-28 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2022-03-08 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-15 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-14 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-15 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-08 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-29 Listed $35,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-21 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-20 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-19 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+16.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,130 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…