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3420 Bahamas Dr
C Composite 58.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

3420 Bahamas Dr · Mesquite, TX 75150
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1961 7,797 sqft lot Est $240k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Hud home to be sold as-is . Bid deadline: 01-28-07. Case#491-838454, general list date: 12-29-06.

Key facts

  • 7,797 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1961

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.4% in Mesquite — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#358 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, commute F.
  • Mesquite ISD (suburban): math 35% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #536 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Range El (math 24% / reading 25%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 597 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 63% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 186 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
7.52%
Cash-on-cash
4.39%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,096
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3420 Bahamas Dr 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,312 (0%) 1mo $160,000 $122 99
2506 Aloha Dr 0.26mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,308 (-0%) 4mo $245,000 $187 73
2229 Aloha Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,356 (+3%) 2mo $234,900 $173 70
3646 Palm Dr 0.33mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,365 (+4%) 2mo $249,999 $183 65
2501 Bamboo St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-10%) 3mo $219,000 $186 65
3419 Palm Dr 0.11mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,428 (+9%) 3mo $254,999 $179 64
3429 Eastbrook Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,385 (+6%) 2mo $249,000 $180 62
2004 Eastbrook Cir 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,263 (-4%) 0mo $237,500 $188 58
3329 Eastbrook Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,257 (-4%) 5mo $259,900 $207 57
2722 Cumberland Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,246 (-5%) 4mo $254,500 $204 54
2602 Eastridge St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,504 (+15%) 3mo $245,000 $163 40
2525 Belhaven Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,485 (+13%) 0mo $249,900 $168 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.4% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-20,139
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-22,203
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75150

Home prices YoY
-33.8%
Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,892 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$425 /mo · $5,104/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$164

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,685
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3512 Bahamas Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.0 1455 $1,795 $1.23 20d 1 0.09mi
3512 Bahamas Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.0 1455 $1,795 $1.23 11d 1 0.09mi
3512 Bahamas Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.0 1455 $1,795 $1.23 24d 1 0.09mi
3531 Bonita Vista Cir Mesquite, TX 4.0 2.0 1358 $1,950 $1.44 24d 1 0.20mi
3531 Bonita Vista Cir Mesquite, TX 4.0 2.0 1358 $1,950 $1.44 12d 1 0.20mi
3206 Heather Glen Dr Mesquite, TX 4.0 2.0 1708 $4,800 $2.81 1d 1 0.24mi
3703 Byrd Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 1.5 1702 $2,150 $1.26 2d 1 0.26mi
3315 Kensington Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.0 1641 $1,900 $1.16 43d 1 0.44mi
3110 Berkshire Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.0 1755 $2,183 $1.24 7d 1 0.53mi
2808 Belhaven Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 1.5 1199 $1,695 $1.41 1d 1 0.56mi
2021 Aloha Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.0 1556 $2,200 $1.41 43d 1 0.57mi
4244 Flamingo Way Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,150 $1.43 43d 1 0.60mi
4313 Flamingo Way Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.0 1482 $2,200 $1.48 7d 1 0.61mi
4228 Flamingo Way Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.0 1240 $1,898 $1.53 43d 1 0.61mi
2721 Northview Pl Mesquite, TX 4.0 2.5 1512 $2,135 $1.41 43d 1 0.83mi
2721 Northview Pl Mesquite, TX 4.0 2.0 1512 $2,245 $1.48 19d 1 0.83mi
3532 Hilton Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 1.5 1216 $1,690 $1.39 2d 1 0.86mi
4200 U.S. 80 Mesquite, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 787 $1,525 $1.94 2d 132 0.90mi
3404 Gray Dr Mesquite, TX 4.0 2.0 1516 $2,150 $1.42 12d 1 0.91mi
3622 Gray Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.0 1786 $2,200 $1.23 7d 1 0.93mi
1809 Baker Dr Mesquite, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 874 $1,431 $1.64 43d 3 0.95mi
3500 Statler Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.0 1557 $1,895 $1.22 24d 1 0.97mi
8411 La Prada Dr Dallas, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 825 $1,305 $1.58 1d 23 1.04mi
3511 Casa Ridge Dr Mesquite, TX 4.0 1.5 1276 $1,759 $1.38 7d 1 1.05mi
2820 Percheron Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.5 1769 $2,400 $1.36 24d 1 1.05mi
2948 Percheron Dr Unit NA Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.5 1691 $1,995 $1.18 24d 1 1.06mi
8383 La Prada Dr Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 910 $1,545 $1.70 7d 10 1.06mi
2909 Bluets Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.5 1728 $2,000 $1.16 15d 1 1.08mi
2908 Mare Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.5 1722 $2,100 $1.22 43d 1 1.08mi
3017 Percheron Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 3.0 1473 $1,995 $1.35 21d 1 1.08mi
3021 Percheron Dr Unit NA Mesquite, TX 3.0 3.0 1754 $2,299 $1.31 7d 1 1.08mi
3021 Percheron Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 3.0 1754 $2,299 $1.31 17d 1 1.08mi
3412 Beth Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 1.0 1148 $1,795 $1.56 43d 1 1.09mi
2837 Appaloosa Ln Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.5 1837 $2,500 $1.36 43d 1 1.09mi
2920 Bluets Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 3.0 1477 $2,250 $1.52 21d 1 1.09mi
2969 Baneberry Ln Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.5 1716 $2,400 $1.40 7d 1 1.10mi
2941 Baneberry Ln Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.5 1810 $2,500 $1.38 43d 1 1.10mi
3036 Shire Dr Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.5 1691 $2,350 $1.39 12d 1 1.11mi
3004 Baneberry Ln Mesquite, TX 3.0 3.0 1786 $2,445 $1.37 43d 1 1.13mi
2944 Baneberry Ln Mesquite, TX 3.0 2.5 1772 $2,400 $1.35 43d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-04-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-15
    price $160,000
  3. 2026-04-15
    status Active
  4. 2026-04-09
    historical
  5. 2026-04-06
    listed $170,000
  6. 2025-07-24
    soldstatus
  7. 2007-02-15
    soldstatus 98-char remark
    Show marketing remark (98 chars)

    Hud home to be sold as-is . Bid deadline: 01-28-07. Case#491-838454, general list date: 12-29-06.

  8. 2007-01-29
    historical 98-char remark
    Show marketing remark (98 chars)

    Hud home to be sold as-is . Bid deadline: 01-28-07. Case#491-838454, general list date: 12-29-06.

  9. 2006-12-29
    listed $66,000 98-char remark
    Show marketing remark (98 chars)

    Hud home to be sold as-is . Bid deadline: 01-28-07. Case#491-838454, general list date: 12-29-06.

  10. 2004-06-07
    soldstatus
  11. 2004-03-01
    soldstatus
  12. 2004-02-27
    soldstatus 301-char remark
    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    NICE HOUSE W/ SHADDED LOT, UPDATED KIT. HUD HOME TO BE SOLD 'AS-IS', SELLING BROKER COMM UP TO 5%, BLB COMM . 49%, BID DEADLINE 12/22/03, CASE#491-680084 , HUD CONTRACTS/ADDMS, AVAILABILITY & SPECIFIC INSTRUCTIONS AT WWW. FITSTPRE STON. COM OR HUD. GOV OR CALL 800-260-3760.. .. ESCROW:$3,740.00

  13. 2004-01-06
    historical 301-char remark
    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    NICE HOUSE W/ SHADDED LOT, UPDATED KIT. HUD HOME TO BE SOLD 'AS-IS', SELLING BROKER COMM UP TO 5%, BLB COMM . 49%, BID DEADLINE 12/22/03, CASE#491-680084 , HUD CONTRACTS/ADDMS, AVAILABILITY & SPECIFIC INSTRUCTIONS AT WWW. FITSTPRE STON. COM OR HUD. GOV OR CALL 800-260-3760.. .. ESCROW:$3,740.00

  14. 2003-12-18
    listed $70,000 301-char remark
    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    NICE HOUSE W/ SHADDED LOT, UPDATED KIT. HUD HOME TO BE SOLD 'AS-IS', SELLING BROKER COMM UP TO 5%, BLB COMM . 49%, BID DEADLINE 12/22/03, CASE#491-680084 , HUD CONTRACTS/ADDMS, AVAILABILITY & SPECIFIC INSTRUCTIONS AT WWW. FITSTPRE STON. COM OR HUD. GOV OR CALL 800-260-3760.. .. ESCROW:$3,740.00

  15. 1999-09-28
    soldstatus
  16. 1979-06-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,104 · $425/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,104 · $425/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,710
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$5,104
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,817
− Management
−$1,817
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$445
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$107
After-tax cash flow
$2,075/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mesquite ISD
NCES district ID
4830390
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$49,372
Composite
29.06/100
National rank
#6606
State rank
#536 of 826 in TX

Livability — Mesquite

Score
70/100
State rank
#358
US rank
#7743

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mesquite, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
150,788
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
62,738
Household income
$65,440
Rent vs Own
48.6% rent · 51.4% own
Severe rent burden
3609.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 27% Two or more races 21% Black 21% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 42%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -172.95%
Current HPI
338.3934
Rent YoY
▲ 0.40%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+128.6% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $160,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-15 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-04-09 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $170,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-07-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-02-15 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2007-01-29 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2006-12-29 Listed $66,000 NTREIS
  • 2004-06-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-03-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-02-27 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2004-01-06 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2003-12-18 Listed $70,000 NTREIS
  • 1999-09-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1979-06-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,104 · -4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…