5747 W Missouri Ave #20 · Glendale, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 4 parking spots
- Community pool
- Built 1972
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease of $1,020 per month; Association fee includes: other (see remarks); Community pool
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 open parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold ownership
- Construction: Construction materials: other; Roof: other; Building area reported by owner
- Exterior features: Gravel/stone front; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in gas oven; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Possible 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heating present (type: other); Cooling present (type: other)
- Interior features: Pantry; Full bathroom in primary bedroom; Built-in gas oven
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.5% vs local median 3.5% in Glendale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AZ, #3,235 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F.
- Phoenix Union High School District (4286) (urban): math 10% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 249 in AZ (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Alhambra High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #281 of 381 statewide, top 75%, 2,282 students, 86% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.38%
- DSCR
- 3.73
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $113,100
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5747 W Missouri Ave #191 | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,364 (+5%) | 13mo | $120,000 | $88 | 73 |
| 5747 W Missouri Ave #8 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 10mo | $57,000 | $40 | 71 |
| 5747 W Missouri Ave #157 | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,405 (+8%) | 13mo | $134,350 | $96 | 68 |
| 5747 W Missouri Ave #171 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-12%) | 15mo | $99,700 | $87 | 60 |
| 5747 W Missouri Ave #205 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (+12%) | 22mo | $110,000 | $76 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $36,949
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 60.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.20×
- Total profit
- $80,126
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85301
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Rents YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 215
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,478 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $825/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $788
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5045 N 58th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $1,399 | $1.70 | 1d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5631 W Colter St Glendale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $1,599 | $1.81 | 1d | 5 | 0.21mi |
| 5601 W Missouri Ave Glendale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,500 | $1.48 | 1d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 5039 N 57th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $2,403 | $3.00 | 1d | 15 | 0.29mi |
| 6024 W Oregon Ave Unit C Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,249 | $1.31 | 1d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 6012 W Oregon Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $1,299 | $1.33 | 1d | 2 | 0.39mi |
| 6060 W Colter St Glendale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1706 | $1,650 | $0.97 | 2d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 5755 N 59th Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 878 | $1,393 | $1.59 | 1d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5755 N 59th Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 878 | $1,593 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5740 N 59th Ave Unit 2 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 926 | $1,320 | $1.43 | 1d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5750 N 59th Ave Unit 2 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,242 | $1.38 | 1d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5819 N 59th Dr Glendale, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5857 W Coolidge St Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $1,695 | $1.00 | 1d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 6077 N 60th Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,798 | $1.91 | 24d | 2 | 0.83mi |
| 5947 W Rose Ln Unit 5947-21 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,170 | $1.30 | 1d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6231 N 59th Ave Unit 51 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 1d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4424 N 53rd Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 1d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4337 N 53rd Ln Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,450 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4337 N 53rd Ln Unit B1 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,310 | $1.40 | 1d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4429 N 53rd Ln Unit 4 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 1d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4429 N 53rd Ln Unit 3 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 1d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4418 N 53rd Ln Apt 3 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 1d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4714 N 49th Dr Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1697 | $2,030 | $1.20 | 1d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4545 N 67th Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1339 | $2,300 | $1.72 | 10d | 2 | 1.21mi |
| 6240 N 63rd Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 758 | $1,263 | $1.67 | 1d | 10 | 1.23mi |
| 6541 W Keim Dr Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,499 | $1.67 | 10d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 6301 N 64th Dr Glendale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 796 | $1,499 | $1.88 | 1d | 3 | 1.26mi |
| 5830 N 67th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 802 | $1,299 | $1.62 | 1d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6755 W Montebello Ave Glendale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $1,795 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5736 N 68th Dr Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,399 | $1.37 | 1d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6231 N 67th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 802 | $1,248 | $1.56 | 1d | 4 | 1.43mi |
| 4717 N 47th Dr Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1573 | $1,695 | $1.08 | 18d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5421 W Indian School Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,709 | $1.69 | 1d | 25 | 1.45mi |
| 4412 N 67th Ave Unit 2 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $55,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $59,000
-
2026-04-08$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥112°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,739
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$825
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,419
- − Management
- −$1,419
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $9,120
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,189
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,264/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This manufactured home is in average condition with cosmetic repairs needed. Painting the exterior and replacing weathered siding would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Metal siding — Weathered appearance
- Minor Exterior paint — Needs touch-up
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace metal siding — Improves durability and appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Metal siding · Weathered appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Exterior paint · Needs touch-up | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace metal siding — Improves durability and appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Phoenix Union High School District (4286)
- NCES district ID
- 0406330
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,055
- Composite
- 10.63/100
- National rank
- #9773
- State rank
- #224 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Glendale
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #3235
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glendale, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 294,586
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 68,178
- Household income
- $53,827
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3741.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 37% White 22% Black 8% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 57% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 46% English-only · Spanish 48% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.49%
- Current HPI
- 427.3069
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.98%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
-9.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $59,000 ARMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $65,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…