55 Hawk Rd · Corinth, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover the potential this 3.38-acre property in the Corinth School District has to offer! Tucked away in a peaceful setting and surrounded by beautiful hardwoods, this parcel already features a cabin that could make the perfect weekend getaway, hunting retreat, or future camp. A cleared and level area is already in place for a potential home site, giving you a head start on building your dream home. Enjoy privacy, nature, and endless possibilities while still being conveniently located within the Corinth School District. Property currently does not have a well, septic, or power brought back to the site. Looking for even more opportunity? This property can also be purchased as a package de
Key facts
- 3.38 acre property
- Potential home site
- 3.38 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amounts reported
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking for 3 vehicles
- Home design: Cabin property; Fixer condition; Living area approximately 400
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Shingle (asphalt) roof
- Exterior features: Secluded, private and wooded setting; Located on a steep slope with mountain views; Road frontage (374 ft)
Interior
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the first level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first level
- Interior features: One room total
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 37.7% vs local median 3.2% in Corinth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#514 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Corinth Central School District (town): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #448 of 590 in NY (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 37.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 112.28%
- DSCR
- 6.00
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.91×
- Total profit
- $121,778
- Equity at exit
- $49,548
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.61×
- Total profit
- $286,555
- Equity at exit
- $106,853
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12846
- Home prices YoY
- 16.1%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,342 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,177/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$492
- Net cashflow
- $1,441
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $55,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-01$55,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,177 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,177 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,106
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,177
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,248
- − Management
- −$2,248
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $17,476
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,194
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,096/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corinth Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3608370
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,143
- Composite
- 39.4/100
- National rank
- #3968
- State rank
- #448 of 590 in NY
Livability — Corinth
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #514
- US rank
- #9140
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,007
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,372 people
- By 2030
- 60,491 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 55,616 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 50,437 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 40,843 · -34.5%
- By 2100
- 31,159 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Lithuanian 10% German 5%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+10.6 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 46.73%
- Current HPI
- 336.2179
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $55,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,177 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…