523 Enders Ave · Central Bridge, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
With some TLC this four-bedroom, one and a half bath house would make a wonderful home. There is over 1700 sqft of living area with a first floor bedroom, laundry and open concept living, dining and kitchen. This home is serviced by public water and is a short distance to I-88 and the Village of Cobleskill. Sold in as is condition.
Key facts
- Large front room
- Pellet stove
- Outdoor space
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 3 total parking spaces
- Utilities: 100 amp electrical service; Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single family residence
- Construction: Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Metal and asphalt roofing
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Refrigerator; Freezer
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the second level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the second level; One half bathroom on the first level
- Heating & cooling: Pellet stove heating
- Interior features: 9 total rooms; Exterior entry basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $511 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,038 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Cobleskill-Richmondville Central School District (town): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #336 of 590 in NY (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Schoharie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Schoharie County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $79k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.70%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $202,465
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -60.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157 N Main St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (-11%) | 6mo | $187,000 | $122 | 52 |
| 125 Church St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,860 (+8%) | 5mo | $257,000 | $138 | 49 |
| 609 Enders Ave Ave | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,800 (+5%) | 23mo | $120,000 | $67 | 49 |
| 138 S Main St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,779 (+3%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $96 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.42×
- Total profit
- $75,607
- Equity at exit
- $71,169
- IRR
- 39.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.91×
- Total profit
- $197,183
- Equity at exit
- $153,480
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12092
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,408 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,858/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $511
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-25$79,000 Active 1865-char remark
-
2023-10-10soldstatus $37,000 Closed 333-char remark
Show marketing remark (333 chars)
With some TLC this four-bedroom, one and a half bath house would make a wonderful home. There is over 1700 sqft of living area with a first floor bedroom, laundry and open concept living, dining and kitchen. This home is serviced by public water and is a short distance to I-88 and the Village of Cobleskill. Sold in as is condition.
-
2023-07-25status Pending 333-char remark
Show marketing remark (333 chars)
With some TLC this four-bedroom, one and a half bath house would make a wonderful home. There is over 1700 sqft of living area with a first floor bedroom, laundry and open concept living, dining and kitchen. This home is serviced by public water and is a short distance to I-88 and the Village of Cobleskill. Sold in as is condition.
-
2023-05-30$45,000 Active 333-char remark
Show marketing remark (333 chars)
With some TLC this four-bedroom, one and a half bath house would make a wonderful home. There is over 1700 sqft of living area with a first floor bedroom, laundry and open concept living, dining and kitchen. This home is serviced by public water and is a short distance to I-88 and the Village of Cobleskill. Sold in as is condition.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,858 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,858 · $155/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,902
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,858
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,352
- − Management
- −$1,352
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $5,221
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,253
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,875/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cobleskill-Richmondville Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3600010
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,555
- Composite
- 44.83/100
- National rank
- #2734
- State rank
- #336 of 590 in NY
Livability — Central Bridge
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1038
- US rank
- #20517
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Central Bridge, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,423
Population outlook (Schoharie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,080 people
- By 2030
- 27,417 · -5.7%
- By 2040
- 23,835 · -18.0%
- By 2050
- 20,482 · -29.6%
- By 2075
- 14,323 · -50.7%
- By 2100
- 9,636 · -66.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 10% Iranian 9% Romanian 7%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Schoharie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.5) · D 34.7% · R 65.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.2pp toward R · 2008: -14.3pp · 2024: -30.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.5 2020: R+29.0 2016: R+34.7 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+14.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.07%
- Current HPI
- 283.9492
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+75.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Listed $79,000 Global MLS
- 2023-10-10 Sold (MLS) $37,000 Global MLS
- 2023-07-25 Pending — Global MLS
- 2023-05-30 Listed $45,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+11.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,858 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…