1048 Olean Portville Rd · Weston Mills, NY 14760

$75,000

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,896 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1910 0.46 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.5/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This home defines 'good bones', with a genuine classic feel and a gorgeous living room featuring wood beam accented cathedral ceiling and a floor to ceiling stone mantel wood burning fireplace, this beautiful 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has plenty of space to accommodate inside and out. The private yard and huge garage with full workshop area, separate parking for yard and off-road vehicles, and tons of additional attic space for storage, are a wonderful compliment to this property, adding both functionality and value! Bring your modern touch and renovations to this classic home to create a truly standout home designed to your personal specifications and preferences!

Key facts

• Private yard
• 0.46 acre lot
• 4 garage spots

Tags

• PRIVATE YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached garage with electricity and workshop; Driveway parking; 4-car garage
• Utilities: Well water; Septic system; Electricity connected with circuit breakers; Cable available; High-speed internet available
• Home design: Two-story home; Resale property; Pitched shingle roof
• Construction: Frame construction; Copper and PEX plumbing; Block and poured foundation; Existing (previously built) structure
• Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Open porch; Fully fenced yard; Blacktop driveway; Rectangular lot with 120 x 167 dimensions; Main thoroughfare road frontage

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator; Country-style kitchen
• Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
• Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Gas heating with steam system; Zoned heating; Zoned cooling; Wall-mounted cooling units
• Interior features: Country kitchen; Window treatments and drapes; Accessible bedroom; Bedroom on main level; Workshop (interior); Full basement
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
• Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 5.3% in Weston Mills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#667 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Portville Central School District (rural): math 63% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #190 of 590 in NY (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.04% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.92%
• Cash-on-cash: 27.23%
• DSCR: 2.21
• GRM: 4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 21.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.87×
• Total profit: $18,348
• Equity at exit: $11,183

10-year hold

• IRR: 29.5%
• Equity multiple: 3.65×
• Total profit: $55,676
• Equity at exit: $6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14760

• Home prices YoY: -7.7%
• Active inventory: 141
• Price-to-rent: 4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,527 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$393
• Tax from tax record: −$305 /mo · $3,659/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$321
• Net cashflow: $476

Break-even live

Break-even rent $923

Max offer price $75,000

Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,750
• Closing costs: $2,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-09
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-09
   listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $3,659 · $305/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,659 · $305/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,318
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,201
• − Property taxes: −$3,659
• − Insurance: −$375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,465
• − Management: −$1,465
• − Depreciation: −$2,182
• Taxable income: $4,971
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,193
• After-tax cash flow: $4,525/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Portville Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3623640
• Math proficiency: 63% ▲ 1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 65% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $52,207
• Composite: 54.6/100
• National rank: #1337
• State rank: #190 of 590 in NY

Livability — Weston Mills

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #667
• US rank: #12400

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Weston Mills, NY
• City population: 17,272
• Population (ZIP): 17,272

Population outlook (Cattaraugus County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 71,623 people
• By 2030: 67,751 · -5.4%
• By 2040: 59,488 · -16.9%
• By 2050: 51,601 · -28.0%
• By 2075: 35,025 · -51.1%
• By 2100: 21,243 · -70.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 10% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cattaraugus

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+32.8) · D 33.6% · R 66.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -32.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+32.8 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -19.85%
• Current HPI: 237.327
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-09 Pending — UNYREIS
• 2026-05-09 Listed $75,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,659 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.