1019 Park Dr · Hope, AR 71801

$35,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 860 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 72 Days on market

Built 1945 0.33 ac lot $41/sqft · 50% below area Est $70k · 50% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Handyman special, flipper, remodelers dream. Central HVAC lights, gas and water work. NEW ROOF 2023. Previously a rent house. Being sold "AS IS WHERE IS"

Key facts

• 0.33 acre lot
• Built 1945
• Listed 72 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($850 rent vs $35k).
• Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#161 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, schools F, crime F.
• Hope School District (town): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #221 of 238 in AR (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Hempstead County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hempstead County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $30k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $32,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.43% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.72%
• Cash-on-cash: 55.09%
• DSCR: 3.45
• GRM: 3.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $69,642
• List price: $35,000
• Delta: -49.74%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 9 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1502 Pecan St	0.65mi	2/1.0	930 (+8%)	8mo	$67,500	$73	50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 53.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.35×
• Total profit: $22,985
• Equity at exit: $5,219

10-year hold

• IRR: 58.5%
• Equity multiple: 6.81×
• Total profit: $56,914
• Equity at exit: $3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71801

• Home prices YoY: -19.5%
• Active inventory: 34
• Price-to-rent: 3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $850 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$184
• Tax from tax record: −$23 /mo · $277/yr
• Insurance: −$15
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$178
• Net cashflow: $450

Break-even live

Break-even rent $280

Max offer price $35,000

Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $8,750
• Closing costs: $1,050
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-03-18
   listed $35,000 Active 163-char remark

   Show marketing remark (163 chars)

   Handyman special, flipper, remodelers dream. Central HVAC lights, gas and water work. NEW ROOF 2023. Previously a rent house. Being sold "AS IS WHERE IS"

2. 2008-07-25
   soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $277 · $23/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $277 · $23/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,194
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,961
• − Property taxes: −$277
• − Insurance: −$175
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$816
• − Management: −$816
• − Depreciation: −$1,018
• Taxable income: $5,133
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,232
• After-tax cash flow: $4,167/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hope School District
• NCES district ID: 0507840
• Math proficiency: 13% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $32,285
• Composite: 13.71/100
• National rank: #9495
• State rank: #221 of 238 in AR

Livability — Hope

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #161
• US rank: #13723

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Hope, AR
• Population (ZIP): 14,907

Population outlook (Hempstead County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 20,807 people
• By 2030: 19,949 · -4.1%
• By 2040: 18,236 · -12.4%
• By 2050: 16,466 · -20.9%
• By 2075: 12,676 · -39.1%
• By 2100: 9,314 · -55.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: White 48% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 17%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Hempstead

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.2% · R 68.9% · Other 2.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.6pp toward R · 2008: -19.1pp · 2024: -39.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -33.22%
• Current HPI: 136.8593
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B

Price history

+16.7% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-18 Listed $35,000 TBOR
• 2008-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $277 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.