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3049 S 19th St
B- Composite 65.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.6/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

3049 S 19th St · Abilene, TX 79605
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1955 0.29 ac lot Est $161k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Owner-Agent. Updated South Abilene 2 Bed, 1 Bath with large 1 car garage. Recently completely rewired and new electric panel. Original hardwood floors and colonial trim. Freshly painted inside and out. New front door. New kitchen sink and plumbing fixtures. Not located in the flood zone. Large lot. Workshop-utility room in garage.

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1955

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing terms include Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA Loan, and 1031 Exchange
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking (1 space); Driveway; On-street parking; Attached garage (1 car)
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Property attached: Yes; Subdivision: Sunset Park Add
  • Construction: Built in 1955; Siding exterior; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Lot under 0.5 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1)
  • Flooring: Wood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High-speed internet available; One living area; One dining area; Room count: 2
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.8% in Abilene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, commute F.
  • Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+32.1%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,409 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.03%
Cash-on-cash
9.79%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$160,920
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3049 S 19th St 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,080 (0%) 0mo $149,900 $139 100
1801 Sewell St 0.19mi 2/1.0 1,100 (+2%) 5mo $175,000 $159 84
1725 Woodard St 0.10mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,110 (+3%) 3mo $164,500 $148 83
3134 S 21st St 0.22mi 2/1.0 1,212 (+12%) 1mo $199,999 $165 69
1425 Matador St 0.37mi 2/1.0 1,008 (-7%) 4mo $150,000 $149 68
1718 Marshall St 0.23mi 2/1.0 1,216 (+13%) 2mo $173,000 $142 67
1333 Portland Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 1,149 (+6%) 4mo $140,000 $122 60
1501 Matador St 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 976 (-10%) 7mo $152,500 $156 59
1142 Matador St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,165 (+8%) 2mo $65,000 $56 44
3001 S 27th St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,158 (+7%) 6mo $155,000 $134 43
2050 Fulton St 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,224 (+13%) 3mo $200,000 $163 40
2002 S 20th St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,214 (+12%) 2mo $194,900 $161 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$7,220
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$78,478
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79605

Rents YoY
32.1%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,823 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$249 /mo · $2,986/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$383
Net cashflow
$342

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,389
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $427 -5% $385 +0% $342 +5% $300 +10% $258
Rent -10% $198 -5% $270 +0% $342 +5% $414 +10% $486
Rate -1.0pp $418 -0.5pp $381 base $342 +0.5pp $304 +1.0pp $264

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3173 Hunt St Abilene, TX 3.0 1.5 1300 $2,250 $1.73 45d 1 0.19mi
1934 Portland Ave Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1108 $1,900 $1.71 45d 1 0.30mi
3250 College St Abilene, TX 2.0 1.0 1148 $1,595 $1.39 22d 1 0.49mi
2400 Buffalo Gap Rd Abilene, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $1,000 $1.43 45d 1 0.68mi
3373 S 27th St Abilene, TX 2.0 2.0 1436 $1,700 $1.18 45d 1 0.80mi
1841 S 14th St Abilene, TX 2.0 1.0 750 $1,300 $1.73 22d 1 0.84mi
889 Ross Ave Abilene, TX 2.0 1.0 1223 $1,700 $1.39 22d 1 0.96mi
2301 Post Oak Rd Unit B Abilene, TX 1.0 1.0 945 $1,995 $2.11 22d 1 1.07mi
1651 Palm St Abilene, TX 2.0 1.0 760 $2,500 $3.29 45d 1 1.10mi
1649 Palm St Abilene, TX 2.0 1.0 760 $2,500 $3.29 45d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    historical Active Option Contract
  2. 2026-05-16
    status Active
  3. 2026-02-25
    status Pending
  4. 2026-02-11
    historical Active Option Contract
  5. 2026-01-22
    price $149,900
  6. 2026-01-10
    status Active
  7. 2025-12-31
    historical Active Option Contract
  8. 2025-11-21
    listed $154,900 Active
  9. 2023-01-17
    soldstatus
  10. 2023-01-13
    soldstatus Closed 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Owner-Agent. Updated South Abilene 2 Bed, 1 Bath with large 1 car garage. Recently completely rewired and new electric panel. Original hardwood floors and colonial trim. Freshly painted inside and out. New front door. New kitchen sink and plumbing fixtures. Not located in the flood zone. Large lot. Workshop-utility room in garage.

  11. 2022-12-14
    status Pending 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Owner-Agent. Updated South Abilene 2 Bed, 1 Bath with large 1 car garage. Recently completely rewired and new electric panel. Original hardwood floors and colonial trim. Freshly painted inside and out. New front door. New kitchen sink and plumbing fixtures. Not located in the flood zone. Large lot. Workshop-utility room in garage.

  12. 2022-12-02
    historical Active Option Contract 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Owner-Agent. Updated South Abilene 2 Bed, 1 Bath with large 1 car garage. Recently completely rewired and new electric panel. Original hardwood floors and colonial trim. Freshly painted inside and out. New front door. New kitchen sink and plumbing fixtures. Not located in the flood zone. Large lot. Workshop-utility room in garage.

  13. 2022-11-03
    listed $134,900 Active 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Owner-Agent. Updated South Abilene 2 Bed, 1 Bath with large 1 car garage. Recently completely rewired and new electric panel. Original hardwood floors and colonial trim. Freshly painted inside and out. New front door. New kitchen sink and plumbing fixtures. Not located in the flood zone. Large lot. Workshop-utility room in garage.

  14. 2022-02-18
    soldstatus
  15. 2020-03-10
    soldstatus
  16. 2020-03-10
    soldstatus
  17. 2008-09-29
    soldstatus
  18. 2008-09-26
    soldstatus 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    GREAT HOME W/ ALL MAJOR COMPONENTS IN GREAT SHAPE GREAT AREA & CHEAPER THAN RENT VERY CLEAN & READY FOR NEW OWNER ALL APPLIANCES STAY LARGE LIVING ROOM ALONG W/ NICE SIZED BEDROOMS DON'T MISS YOUR CHANCE AT THIS GREAT PRICE NOT TO MENTION GREAT HOME

  19. 2008-08-23
    historical 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    GREAT HOME W/ ALL MAJOR COMPONENTS IN GREAT SHAPE GREAT AREA & CHEAPER THAN RENT VERY CLEAN & READY FOR NEW OWNER ALL APPLIANCES STAY LARGE LIVING ROOM ALONG W/ NICE SIZED BEDROOMS DON'T MISS YOUR CHANCE AT THIS GREAT PRICE NOT TO MENTION GREAT HOME

  20. 2008-08-20
    listed $47,500 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    GREAT HOME W/ ALL MAJOR COMPONENTS IN GREAT SHAPE GREAT AREA & CHEAPER THAN RENT VERY CLEAN & READY FOR NEW OWNER ALL APPLIANCES STAY LARGE LIVING ROOM ALONG W/ NICE SIZED BEDROOMS DON'T MISS YOUR CHANCE AT THIS GREAT PRICE NOT TO MENTION GREAT HOME

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,986 · $249/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,986 · $249/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,871
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,986
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,750
− Management
−$1,750
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$1,879
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$451
After-tax cash flow
$3,659/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Abilene ISD
NCES district ID
4807440
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,782
Composite
27.71/100
National rank
#6909
State rank
#575 of 826 in TX

Livability — Abilene

Score
75/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#4037

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Abilene, TX
County
Taylor County · 136,672 people
City population
136,672
Metro
Abilene, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,467
Household income
$62,929
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1096.0

Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
145,270 people
By 2030
150,050 · +3.3%
By 2040
159,417 · +9.7%
By 2050
168,883 · +16.3%
By 2075
194,436 · +33.8%
By 2100
203,163 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Taylor

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -181.75%
Current HPI
201.2341
Rent YoY
▲ 32.08%
Metro
Abilene, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+215.6% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-16 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-02-25 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-02-11 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $149,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-10 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-12-31 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $154,900 NTREIS
  • 2023-01-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-01-13 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2022-12-14 Pending NTREIS
  • 2022-12-02 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2022-11-03 Listed $134,900 NTREIS
  • 2022-02-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-03-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-03-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-09-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-09-26 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2008-08-23 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2008-08-20 Listed $47,500 NTREIS

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,986 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…