CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
418 W 3rd St
B Composite 70.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$112,000

418 W 3rd St · Lonoke, AR 72086
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,910 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1960 0.25 ac lot $59/sqft · 13% below area Est $128k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home has over 1,900 sq. ft. Split floor plan, separate dining room, large living room, laundry room that goes out to the patio and back yard. Sitting on a nice tree shaded corner lot.

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Financing considered: conventional loan or cash

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with side entry for 2 cars
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric (Entergy)
  • Home design: Brick exterior
  • Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Outside storage area; Level, corner lot in a subdivision; Inside city limits

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Gas range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Washer and dryer connections (dryer electric); Gas water heater; Wood-burning site-built fireplace; Sheetrock and paneling walls/ceilings
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer connection; Dryer connection (electric)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.7% in Lonoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#195 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Lonoke School District (town): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #146 of 238 in AR (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 185 units permitted in Lonoke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $774 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lonoke County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
10.44%
Cash-on-cash
14.82%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$128,350
List price
$112,000
Delta
-12.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
220 College St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,762 (-8%) 0mo $190,000 $108 73
416 England St 0.14mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,875 (-2%) 18mo $190,000 $101 66
320 E 4th St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,821 (-5%) 12mo $219,000 $120 64
203 E Ash St 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,843 (-4%) 13mo $205,000 $111 62
215 E 8th St 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,847 (-3%) 14mo $208,500 $113 58
611 College St 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,889 (-1%) 18mo $50,500 $27 56
918 England St 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,712 (-10%) 13mo $172,500 $101 54
520 E 8 St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,827 (-4%) 11mo $236,000 $129 54
304 Conway St 0.55mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,920 (+0%) 16mo $147,000 $77 53
203 Frank T Bunton 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,960 (+3%) 23mo $62,500 $32 52
221 Barker St 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,992 (+4%) 21mo $182,500 $92 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$6,488
Equity at exit
$16,700
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$37,267
Equity at exit
$9,684

Cash invested: $31,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72086

Home prices YoY
-18.4%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,350 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$587
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $541/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$387

Break-even live

Break-even rent $860
Max offer price $112,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $451 -5% $419 +0% $387 +5% $356 +10% $324
Rent -10% $281 -5% $334 +0% $387 +5% $441 +10% $494
Rate -1.0pp $444 -0.5pp $416 base $387 +0.5pp $358 +1.0pp $329

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,000
Closing costs
$3,360
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
202 Rosemary Ln Lonoke, AR 3.0 2.0 1780 $1,350 $0.76 44d 1 0.52mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Under Contract 502-char remark
  2. 2026-05-13
    status Pending (FC, SS, REO) 502-char remark
  3. 2026-05-02
    listed $112,000 New Listing 502-char remark
  4. 2026-02-21
    historical $850
  5. 2026-01-16
    listed $850
  6. 2020-07-24
    soldstatus $104,000
  7. 2020-07-17
    soldstatus $104,000 Sold 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    This spacious 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home has over 1,900 sq. ft. Split floor plan, separate dining room, large living room, laundry room that goes out to the patio and back yard. Sitting on a nice tree shaded corner lot.

  8. 2020-07-16
    status Under Contract 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    This spacious 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home has over 1,900 sq. ft. Split floor plan, separate dining room, large living room, laundry room that goes out to the patio and back yard. Sitting on a nice tree shaded corner lot.

  9. 2020-05-31
    historical Take Backups 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    This spacious 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home has over 1,900 sq. ft. Split floor plan, separate dining room, large living room, laundry room that goes out to the patio and back yard. Sitting on a nice tree shaded corner lot.

  10. 2020-05-25
    listed $105,900 New Listing 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    This spacious 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home has over 1,900 sq. ft. Split floor plan, separate dining room, large living room, laundry room that goes out to the patio and back yard. Sitting on a nice tree shaded corner lot.

  11. 2003-11-13
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$541 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$717 · $60/mo
Expected delta
+$176/yr (+$15/mo · 32.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,200
− Mortgage interest
−$6,274
− Property taxes
−$541
− Insurance
−$560
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,296
− Management
−$1,296
− Depreciation
−$3,258
Taxable income
$2,975
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$714
After-tax cash flow
$3,935/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lonoke School District
NCES district ID
0509060
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,440
Composite
26.28/100
National rank
#7247
State rank
#146 of 238 in AR

Livability — Lonoke

Score
63/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#15446

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lonoke, AR
Population (ZIP)
12,250

Population outlook (Lonoke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
78,072 people
By 2030
80,673 · +3.3%
By 2040
84,977 · +8.8%
By 2050
87,778 · +12.4%
By 2075
91,398 · +17.1%
By 2100
87,858 · +12.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lonoke

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.2% · R 75.8% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.2pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -53.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.7 2020: R+52.8 2016: R+53.3 2012: R+50.9 2008: R+47.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.46%
Current HPI
197.6009
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+124.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $112,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Rental Removed $850 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed for Rent $850 CARMLS
  • 2020-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
  • 2020-07-17 Sold (MLS) $104,000 CARMLS
  • 2020-07-16 Pending CARMLS
  • 2020-05-31 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2020-05-25 Listed $105,900 CARMLS
  • 2003-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $541 · -15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…