19677 Kingsville St · Harper Woods, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Chaming 3-Bedroom Brick Bungalow in Harper WoodsWelcome to this gorgeous 3-bedroom brick bungalow, offering classic curb appeal and a functional layout. Step inside to find real hardwood flooring flowing beautifully through the living room and main-floor bedrooms. The spacious upper-level primary bedroom provides a private retreat with ample room to unwind. The home features a clean, unfinished basement, offering abundant storage space or room for future customization. Outside, a fully fenced-in backyard delivers the perfect private setting for outdoor activities, gardening, or relaxing. Key HighlightsClassic Architecture: Solid brick construction built to last. Interior Details: Genuine hardwood floors and a massive upper-level bedroom. Functional Basics: Public water/sewer, efficient forced-air natural gas heating, and a clean slate in the basement.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Brick bungalow
- Unfinished basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1948; Brick and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Public water; Lot about 0.11 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (8 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (14 x 20); Bedroom 2 (10 x 11); Bedroom 3 (10 x 10)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Harper Woods School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #524 of 540 in MI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.71%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $66,844
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20244 Mccormick St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (+2%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $75 | 76 |
| 11640 Somerset Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,028 (+5%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $68 | 74 |
| 19100 Kingsville St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 972 (-1%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $113 | 74 |
| 11017 Worden St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 961 (-2%) | 0mo | $47,500 | $49 | 74 |
| 10945 Peerless St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 964 (-2%) | 2mo | $54,000 | $56 | 73 |
| 20300 Mccormick St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 940 (-4%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $64 | 69 |
| 11545 Roxbury St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,003 (+2%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $65 | 66 |
| 18905 Woodland St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,023 (+4%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $103 | 55 |
| 18746 Woodside St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 921 (-6%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $119 | 53 |
| 12893 Payton St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (+4%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $74 | 53 |
| 10830 Mckinney St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,066 (+8%) | 1mo | $40,199 | $38 | 48 |
| 9369 Sanilac St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,124 (+14%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $58 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-949
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $34,934
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48225
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,508 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$191 /mo · $2,294/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $264
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19661 Kenosha St Harper Woods, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 19442 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 19365 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 996 | $1,650 | $1.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 19982 McCormick St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $1,200 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 10985 Peerless St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,364 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,245 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,245 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 19152 Woodside St Harper Woods, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 17d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 20461 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,399 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 11d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 10542 Lanark St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,250 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 12d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 12716 Riad St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $1,275 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 10400 Britain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 10370 Britain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,325 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 15909 Maddelein St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,266 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6325 Neff Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 2d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 20015 Lochmoor St Harper Woods, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1006 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 16225 Manning St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1036 | $1,475 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6301 Lodewyck St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,300 | $1.20 | 12d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,500 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,299 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6175 Marseilles St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,475 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,275 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5955 Guilford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 802 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 17d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 16291 Eastburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,364 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5915 Farmbrook St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 16410 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5786 Neff Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,225 | $1.11 | 16d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1018 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$130,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,294 · $191/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,294 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,095
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$2,294
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,448
- − Management
- −$1,448
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $1,191
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$286
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,884/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harper Woods School District
- NCES district ID
- 2617760
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,155
- Composite
- 8.8/100
- National rank
- #9892
- State rank
- #524 of 540 in MI
Livability — Harper Woods
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5054
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harper Woods, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 16,098
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,098
- Household income
- $61,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 410.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 28% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.40%
- Current HPI
- 181.4961
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.10%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+365.9% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-01 Listed $130,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-06-01 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-10 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-08-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-07-02 Price Changed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-07-01 Price Changed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-05-19 Price Changed $144,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-05-19 Price Changed $144,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-05-10 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-05-10 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-02-16 Sold (MLS) $124,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-02-16 Sold (MLS) $124,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-02-01 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-02-01 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-11-29 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-11-29 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-12-03 Sold (MLS) $800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-12-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-11-17 Listed $800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-12-10 Sold (MLS) $800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-11-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-10-10 Listed $800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-08-01 Sold (MLS) $36,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-08-01 Sold (MLS) $36,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-07-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-07-09 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-07-09 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
- 2011-09-23 Sold (MLS) $18,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-09-23 Sold (MLS) $18,900 REALCOMP
- 2011-08-10 Listed $27,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-08-10 Listed $27,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,294 · -36.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…