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19677 Kingsville St
C Composite 57.18
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

19677 Kingsville St · Harper Woods, MI 48225
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 983 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1948 4,792 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Chaming 3-Bedroom Brick Bungalow in Harper WoodsWelcome to this gorgeous 3-bedroom brick bungalow, offering classic curb appeal and a functional layout. Step inside to find real hardwood flooring flowing beautifully through the living room and main-floor bedrooms. The spacious upper-level primary bedroom provides a private retreat with ample room to unwind. The home features a clean, unfinished basement, offering abundant storage space or room for future customization. Outside, a fully fenced-in backyard delivers the perfect private setting for outdoor activities, gardening, or relaxing. Key HighlightsClassic Architecture: Solid brick construction built to last. Interior Details: Genuine hardwood floors and a massive upper-level bedroom. Functional Basics: Public water/sewer, efficient forced-air natural gas heating, and a clean slate in the basement.

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Brick bungalow
  • Unfinished basement

Tags

BRICK BUNGALOWHARDWOOD FLOORINGUNFINISHED BASEMENTFULLY FENCED BACKYARDSOLID BRICK CONSTRUCTIONPUBLIC WATER SEWER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1948; Brick and vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Public water; Lot about 0.11 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (8 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (14 x 20); Bedroom 2 (10 x 11); Bedroom 3 (10 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Harper Woods School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #524 of 540 in MI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $128,050 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.71%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$66,844
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20244 Mccormick St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (+2%) 1mo $75,000 $75 76
11640 Somerset Ave 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,028 (+5%) 0mo $70,000 $68 74
19100 Kingsville St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 972 (-1%) 2mo $110,000 $113 74
11017 Worden St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 961 (-2%) 0mo $47,500 $49 74
10945 Peerless St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 964 (-2%) 2mo $54,000 $56 73
20300 Mccormick St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (-1) 940 (-4%) 1mo $60,000 $64 69
11545 Roxbury St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,003 (+2%) 1mo $65,000 $65 66
18905 Woodland St 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,023 (+4%) 1mo $105,000 $103 55
18746 Woodside St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (-1) 921 (-6%) 2mo $110,000 $119 53
12893 Payton St 0.75mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,020 (+4%) 1mo $75,000 $74 53
10830 Mckinney St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,066 (+8%) 1mo $40,199 $38 48
9369 Sanilac St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,124 (+14%) 1mo $65,000 $58 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-949
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$34,934
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48225

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,508 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$191 /mo · $2,294/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$317
Net cashflow
$264

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,174
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19661 Kenosha St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 24d 1 0.11mi
19442 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 17d 1 0.12mi
19365 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 4.0 1.5 996 $1,650 $1.66 14d 1 0.20mi
19982 McCormick St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 866 $1,200 $1.39 3d 1 0.21mi
10985 Peerless St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 4d 1 0.36mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 43d 1 0.38mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 14d 1 0.38mi
19152 Woodside St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 916 $1,500 $1.64 17d 1 0.41mi
20461 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,399 $1.27 14d 1 0.47mi
11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 964 $1,150 $1.19 11d 1 0.54mi
10542 Lanark St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,250 $1.22 43d 1 0.62mi
10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 955 $1,250 $1.31 12d 1 0.65mi
12716 Riad St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,275 $1.31 17d 1 0.69mi
10400 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 890 $1,100 $1.24 43d 1 0.76mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.76mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 17d 1 0.79mi
10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 767 $1,250 $1.63 43d 1 0.90mi
15909 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,266 $1.42 43d 1 0.96mi
10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 3d 1 0.96mi
6325 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 2d 1 0.97mi
20015 Lochmoor St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 1006 $1,500 $1.49 16d 1 0.97mi
16225 Manning St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1036 $1,475 $1.42 43d 1 1.00mi
6301 Lodewyck St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,300 $1.20 12d 1 1.00mi
6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 43d 1 1.01mi
6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,299 $1.18 17d 1 1.04mi
6175 Marseilles St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 1.05mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 3d 1 1.09mi
15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 937 $1,275 $1.36 43d 1 1.13mi
5955 Guilford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 802 $1,400 $1.75 17d 1 1.20mi
16291 Eastburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 24d 1 1.22mi
5915 Farmbrook St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,250 $1.25 24d 1 1.25mi
16410 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,250 $1.47 14d 1 1.28mi
5786 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,225 $1.11 16d 1 1.28mi
15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1018 $1,350 $1.33 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    listed $130,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,294 · $191/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,294 · $191/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,095
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$2,294
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,448
− Management
−$1,448
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$1,191
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$286
After-tax cash flow
$2,884/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harper Woods School District
NCES district ID
2617760
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$46,155
Composite
8.8/100
National rank
#9892
State rank
#524 of 540 in MI

Livability — Harper Woods

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5054

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harper Woods, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
16,098
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
16,098
Household income
$61,750
Rent vs Own
33.8% rent · 66.2% own
Severe rent burden
410.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 28% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.40%
Current HPI
181.4961
Rent YoY
▲ 5.10%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+365.9% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $130,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-08-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-07-02 Price Changed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-07-01 Price Changed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-05-19 Price Changed $144,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-05-19 Price Changed $144,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-05-10 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-05-10 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-16 Sold (MLS) $124,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-02-16 Sold (MLS) $124,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-01 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-02-01 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-11-29 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-11-29 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
  • 2015-12-03 Sold (MLS) $800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-12-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-11-17 Listed $800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-12-10 Sold (MLS) $800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-11-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-10-10 Listed $800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-08-01 Sold (MLS) $36,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-08-01 Sold (MLS) $36,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-07-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-07-09 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-07-09 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-09-23 Sold (MLS) $18,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-09-23 Sold (MLS) $18,900 REALCOMP
  • 2011-08-10 Listed $27,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-08-10 Listed $27,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,294 · -36.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…