301 W Oak St · New Baden, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Price listed is Starting Bid Only. Bidding starts closing 5/7/2026 @ 5 p.m. Move right into this well-maintained, move-in ready 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch in New Baden, where comfort and functionality come together effortlessly. A sun-filled front living room with a large picture window flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, featuring abundant cabinetry and a convenient pantry. Dual sliding glass doors lead to a concrete patio, extending your living space into the spacious backyard—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. All three bedrooms offer comfortable-sized and generous closet space, including a larger primary bedroom complete with a private half bathroom. A centrally located full bath provides everyday convenience. Additional highlights include an attached two-car garage and a dedicated laundry room. Enjoy peace of mind with major updates already completed, including a newer HVAC system, roof, hot water heater, main sewer line, and vinyl tilt-in windows and patio doors. Recently inspected for occupancy, this home is truly move-in ready and offers lasting value with everyday ease. Property will sell under auction terms and be sold AS- IS, WHERE-IS. Seller, will not make any repairs as a result of any building, occupancy, or environmental inspections. Buyer will be required to sign an Auction Purchase & Sale Agreement if final bid is accepted by Sellers
Key facts
- Large picture window
- Concrete patio
- Abundant cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#564 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Wesclin CUSD 3 (rural): math 24% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #247 of 620 in IL (top 40%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clinton County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.13%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $181,131
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -58.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $19,348
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $57,823
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62265
- Home prices YoY
- -18.7%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,537 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$298 /mo · $3,572/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $492
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 1400-char remark
Show marketing remark (1400 chars)
Price listed is Starting Bid Only. Bidding starts closing 5/7/2026 @ 5 p.m. Move right into this well-maintained, move-in ready 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch in New Baden, where comfort and functionality come together effortlessly. A sun-filled front living room with a large picture window flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, featuring abundant cabinetry and a convenient pantry. Dual sliding glass doors lead to a concrete patio, extending your living space into the spacious backyard—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. All three bedrooms offer comfortable-sized and generous closet space, including a larger primary bedroom complete with a private half bathroom. A centrally located full bath provides everyday convenience. Additional highlights include an attached two-car garage and a dedicated laundry room. Enjoy peace of mind with major updates already completed, including a newer HVAC system, roof, hot water heater, main sewer line, and vinyl tilt-in windows and patio doors. Recently inspected for occupancy, this home is truly move-in ready and offers lasting value with everyday ease. Property will sell under auction terms and be sold AS- IS, WHERE-IS. Seller, will not make any repairs as a result of any building, occupancy, or environmental inspections. Buyer will be required to sign an Auction Purchase & Sale Agreement if final bid is accepted by Sellers
-
2026-05-08status Active 1400-char remark
Show marketing remark (1400 chars)
Price listed is Starting Bid Only. Bidding starts closing 5/7/2026 @ 5 p.m. Move right into this well-maintained, move-in ready 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch in New Baden, where comfort and functionality come together effortlessly. A sun-filled front living room with a large picture window flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, featuring abundant cabinetry and a convenient pantry. Dual sliding glass doors lead to a concrete patio, extending your living space into the spacious backyard—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. All three bedrooms offer comfortable-sized and generous closet space, including a larger primary bedroom complete with a private half bathroom. A centrally located full bath provides everyday convenience. Additional highlights include an attached two-car garage and a dedicated laundry room. Enjoy peace of mind with major updates already completed, including a newer HVAC system, roof, hot water heater, main sewer line, and vinyl tilt-in windows and patio doors. Recently inspected for occupancy, this home is truly move-in ready and offers lasting value with everyday ease. Property will sell under auction terms and be sold AS- IS, WHERE-IS. Seller, will not make any repairs as a result of any building, occupancy, or environmental inspections. Buyer will be required to sign an Auction Purchase & Sale Agreement if final bid is accepted by Sellers
-
2026-03-27$75,000 Active 1400-char remark
Show marketing remark (1400 chars)
Price listed is Starting Bid Only. Bidding starts closing 5/7/2026 @ 5 p.m. Move right into this well-maintained, move-in ready 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch in New Baden, where comfort and functionality come together effortlessly. A sun-filled front living room with a large picture window flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, featuring abundant cabinetry and a convenient pantry. Dual sliding glass doors lead to a concrete patio, extending your living space into the spacious backyard—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. All three bedrooms offer comfortable-sized and generous closet space, including a larger primary bedroom complete with a private half bathroom. A centrally located full bath provides everyday convenience. Additional highlights include an attached two-car garage and a dedicated laundry room. Enjoy peace of mind with major updates already completed, including a newer HVAC system, roof, hot water heater, main sewer line, and vinyl tilt-in windows and patio doors. Recently inspected for occupancy, this home is truly move-in ready and offers lasting value with everyday ease. Property will sell under auction terms and be sold AS- IS, WHERE-IS. Seller, will not make any repairs as a result of any building, occupancy, or environmental inspections. Buyer will be required to sign an Auction Purchase & Sale Agreement if final bid is accepted by Sellers
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,572 · $298/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,572 · $298/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,448
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$3,572
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,476
- − Management
- −$1,476
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $5,166
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,240
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,667/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wesclin CUSD 3
- NCES district ID
- 1739420
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,295
- Composite
- 26.27/100
- National rank
- #7249
- State rank
- #247 of 620 in IL
Livability — New Baden
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #564
- US rank
- #11838
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Baden, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,396
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,663 people
- By 2030
- 37,194 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 35,566 · -5.6%
- By 2050
- 32,950 · -12.5%
- By 2075
- 26,403 · -29.9%
- By 2100
- 19,267 · -48.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.1% · R 75.0% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -51.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.8 2020: R+51.1 2016: R+49.0 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.65%
- Current HPI
- 158.9631
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Listed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2024): $3,572 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…