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4008 Voorne St
B- Composite 69.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

4008 Voorne St · North Sarasota, FL 34234
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Other · 59 Days on market
Built 1976

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful completely redone in 2021 Double wide with open floor plan, everything is new windows doors roof all new drywall plumbing electrical literally everything. Consider selling with or without furnishings. Sleeps 8 adults comfortably.

Key facts

  • Built 1976
  • Listed 59 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#349 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: commute D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
11.42%
Cash-on-cash
18.29%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$9,594
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$35,031
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34234

Rents YoY
-3.1%
Active inventory
268
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,980 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$416
Net cashflow
$597

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,224
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $694 -5% $646 +0% $597 +5% $549 +10% $501
Rent -10% $441 -5% $519 +0% $597 +5% $675 +10% $754
Rate -1.0pp $668 -0.5pp $633 base $597 +0.5pp $561 +1.0pp $524

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,900 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-04-20
    listed $139,900 Active 239-char remark
    Show marketing remark (239 chars)

    Beautiful completely redone in 2021 Double wide with open floor plan, everything is new windows doors roof all new drywall plumbing electrical literally everything. Consider selling with or without furnishings. Sleeps 8 adults comfortably.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,757
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,098
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,901
− Management
−$1,901
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$5,252
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,260
After-tax cash flow
$5,906/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sarasota
NCES district ID
1201680
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$51,167
Composite
53.68/100
National rank
#1428
State rank
#7 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Sarasota

Score
72/100
State rank
#349
US rank
#6050

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Sarasota County · 448,376 people
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,986
Household income
$57,288
Rent vs Own
40.5% rent · 59.5% own
Severe rent burden
1306.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
452,380 people
By 2030
474,175 · +4.8%
By 2040
511,577 · +13.1%
By 2050
541,467 · +19.7%
By 2075
604,947 · +33.7%
By 2100
621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Hispanic 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -229.06%
Current HPI
305.6629
Rent YoY
▼ -3.15%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $139,900 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…