700 W Jourdan St · Newton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Corner Lot Gem with Prime Location! Centrally located 2BR/1BA home on a large corner lot in Newton. Features include an expansive living room suitable for oversized furniture and a spacious eat-in kitchen with an adjacent large laundry/utility room. The 1-car attached garage is connected via a versatile breezeway, ideal for a mudroom or extra storage. Enjoy summer evenings on the classic front porch. Close proximity to local schools and downtown amenities. Move-in ready with functional layout. Minimum 24-hour notice for all showings.
Key facts
- Versatile breezeway
- Prime location
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($983 rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#809 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
- Jasper County CUD 1 (town): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #253 of 620 in IL (top 41%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jasper County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $59k implies a 321% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.86%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,897
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- -19.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.00×
- Total profit
- $49,618
- Equity at exit
- $53,152
- IRR
- 33.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.02×
- Total profit
- $132,571
- Equity at exit
- $114,624
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62448
- Home prices YoY
- 13.4%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $983 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$170 /mo · $2,034/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $273
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $307 | -5% $290 | +0% $273 | +5% $257 | +10% $240 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $196 | -5% $235 | +0% $273 | +5% $312 | +10% $351 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $303 | -0.5pp $288 | base $273 | +0.5pp $258 | +1.0pp $243 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $59,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $59,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $59,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $59,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-22$59,000 Active 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Corner Lot Gem with Prime Location! Centrally located 2BR/1BA home on a large corner lot in Newton. Features include an expansive living room suitable for oversized furniture and a spacious eat-in kitchen with an adjacent large laundry/utility room. The 1-car attached garage is connected via a versatile breezeway, ideal for a mudroom or extra storage. Enjoy summer evenings on the classic front porch. Close proximity to local schools and downtown amenities. Move-in ready with functional layout. Minimum 24-hour notice for all showings.
-
2010-03-01soldstatus $14,000
-
2010-02-24soldstatus $14,000 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Partial roof in 2003, Insulation 2002, Furnace 04
-
2009-03-17$24,000 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Partial roof in 2003, Insulation 2002, Furnace 04
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,034 · $170/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,034 · $170/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,801
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$2,034
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$944
- − Management
- −$944
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $2,562
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$615
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,666/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jasper County CUD 1
- NCES district ID
- 1720380
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,304
- Composite
- 25.82/100
- National rank
- #7358
- State rank
- #253 of 620 in IL
Livability — Newton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #809
- US rank
- #15982
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newton, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,263
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,203 people
- By 2030
- 8,927 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 8,350 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 7,733 · -16.0%
- By 2075
- 6,335 · -31.2%
- By 2100
- 4,960 · -46.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.2) · D 16.8% · R 82.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.6pp · 2024: -65.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.2 2020: R+62.4 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+41.2 2008: R+17.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.86%
- Current HPI
- 201.3868
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+145.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $59,000 CIBR
- 2010-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
- 2010-02-24 Sold (MLS) $14,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-03-17 Listed $24,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2024): $2,034 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…