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950 Main St
C- Composite 52.01
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,900

950 Main St · Stanhope, IA 50246
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,285 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 322 Days on market
Built 1896 0.65 ac lot $93/sqft · 11% above area Est $108k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

All information obtained from seller and public records.

Key facts

  • 0.65 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1896

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($397/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (1.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#444 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • South Hamilton Community School District (rural): math 77% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #30 of 289 in IA (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hamilton County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 322 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $83k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 322 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.18%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$108,254
List price
$119,900
Delta
10.76%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
695 Alfred St 0.20mi 4/1.0 1,373 (+7%) 18mo $13,000 $9 64
390 Main St 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,178 (-8%) 5mo $165,000 $140 57
345 Bell St 0.23mi 4/2.0 1,428 (+11%) 22mo $47,000 $33 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.1%
Equity multiple
3.01×
Total profit
$67,466
Equity at exit
$108,015
10-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
6.87×
Total profit
$197,139
Equity at exit
$232,939

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50246

Home prices YoY
5.9%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,177 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$218 /mo · $2,619/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$33

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,135
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 322 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 321 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 320 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 319 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 317 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,900 Active 316 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 313 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 312 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 311 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,900 Active 309 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 Active 307 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 306 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 305 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 304 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 303 DOM
  16. 2026-02-24
    price $119,900
    Show marketing remark (56 chars)

    All information obtained from seller and public records.

  17. 2026-02-24
    price $119,900 56-char remark
    Show marketing remark (56 chars)

    All information obtained from seller and public records.

  18. 2026-01-20
    price $133,500
    Show marketing remark (56 chars)

    All information obtained from seller and public records.

  19. 2026-01-20
    price $133,500 56-char remark
    Show marketing remark (56 chars)

    All information obtained from seller and public records.

  20. 2025-07-31
    listed $133,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (56 chars)

    All information obtained from seller and public records.

  21. 2025-07-31
    listed $133,900 Active 56-char remark
    Show marketing remark (56 chars)

    All information obtained from seller and public records.

  22. 2019-03-01
    soldstatus $83,000
  23. 2019-02-28
    soldstatus $83,000
  24. 2019-02-28
    soldstatus $83,000
  25. 2019-01-02
    listed $79,900
  26. 2019-01-02
    listed $79,900
  27. 2015-02-10
    soldstatus $55,000
  28. 2014-11-10
    listed $65,000
  29. 2010-03-17
    soldstatus $47,500
  30. 2009-11-25
    soldstatus $19,046
  31. 2009-11-23
    soldstatus $19,046
  32. 2009-07-31
    listed $27,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,619 · $218/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,619 · $218/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,127
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$2,619
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,130
− Management
−$1,130
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable loss
−$1,556
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$373
After-tax cash flow
$770/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Hamilton Community School District
NCES district ID
1926640
Math proficiency
77% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
82% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$58,301
Composite
68.02/100
National rank
#356
State rank
#30 of 289 in IA

Livability — Stanhope

Score
68/100
State rank
#444
US rank
#9712

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Stanhope, IA
Population (ZIP)
711

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,602 people
By 2030
14,210 · -2.7%
By 2040
13,312 · -8.8%
By 2050
12,469 · -14.6%
By 2075
11,449 · -21.6%
By 2100
10,806 · -26.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 24% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.3) · D 32.8% · R 66.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 1.3pp · 2024: -33.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.3 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+2.7 2008: D+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.83%
Current HPI
194.5067
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+344.1% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $119,900 CIBOR
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $119,900 DMMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $133,500 CIBOR
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $133,500 DMMLS
  • 2025-07-31 Listed $133,900 CIBOR
  • 2025-07-31 Listed $133,900 DMMLS
  • 2019-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 2019-02-28 Sold (MLS) $83,000 DMMLS
  • 2019-02-28 Sold (MLS) $83,000 CIBOR
  • 2019-01-02 Listed $79,900 DMMLS
  • 2019-01-02 Listed $79,900 CIBOR
  • 2015-02-10 Sold (MLS) $55,000 CIBOR
  • 2014-11-10 Listed $65,000 CIBOR
  • 2010-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
  • 2009-11-25 Sold (MLS) $19,046 DMMLS
  • 2009-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $19,046 Public Records
  • 2009-07-31 Listed $27,000 DMMLS

Property tax history

+11.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,619 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…