950 Main St · Stanhope, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
All information obtained from seller and public records.
Key facts
- 0.65 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1896
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($397/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (1.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#444 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- South Hamilton Community School District (rural): math 77% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #30 of 289 in IA (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hamilton County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 322 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $83k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 322 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.18%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $108,254
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- 10.76%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 695 Alfred St | 0.20mi | 4/1.0 | 1,373 (+7%) | 18mo | $13,000 | $9 | 64 |
| 390 Main St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,178 (-8%) | 5mo | $165,000 | $140 | 57 |
| 345 Bell St | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 1,428 (+11%) | 22mo | $47,000 | $33 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $67,466
- Equity at exit
- $108,015
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.87×
- Total profit
- $197,139
- Equity at exit
- $232,939
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50246
- Home prices YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,177 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$218 /mo · $2,619/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $33
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,900 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-02-24price $119,900
Show marketing remark (56 chars)
All information obtained from seller and public records.
-
2026-02-24price $119,900 56-char remark
Show marketing remark (56 chars)
All information obtained from seller and public records.
-
2026-01-20price $133,500
Show marketing remark (56 chars)
All information obtained from seller and public records.
-
2026-01-20price $133,500 56-char remark
Show marketing remark (56 chars)
All information obtained from seller and public records.
-
2025-07-31$133,900 Active
Show marketing remark (56 chars)
All information obtained from seller and public records.
-
2025-07-31$133,900 Active 56-char remark
Show marketing remark (56 chars)
All information obtained from seller and public records.
-
2019-03-01soldstatus $83,000
-
2019-02-28soldstatus $83,000
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2019-02-28soldstatus $83,000
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2019-01-02$79,900
-
2019-01-02$79,900
-
2015-02-10soldstatus $55,000
-
2014-11-10$65,000
-
2010-03-17soldstatus $47,500
-
2009-11-25soldstatus $19,046
-
2009-11-23soldstatus $19,046
-
2009-07-31$27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,619 · $218/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,619 · $218/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,127
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$2,619
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,130
- − Management
- −$1,130
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable loss
- −$1,556
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$373
- After-tax cash flow
- $770/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Hamilton Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1926640
- Math proficiency
- 77% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,301
- Composite
- 68.02/100
- National rank
- #356
- State rank
- #30 of 289 in IA
Livability — Stanhope
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #444
- US rank
- #9712
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stanhope, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 711
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,602 people
- By 2030
- 14,210 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 13,312 · -8.8%
- By 2050
- 12,469 · -14.6%
- By 2075
- 11,449 · -21.6%
- By 2100
- 10,806 · -26.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 24% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.3) · D 32.8% · R 66.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 1.3pp · 2024: -33.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.3 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+2.7 2008: D+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.83%
- Current HPI
- 194.5067
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+344.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $119,900 CIBOR
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $119,900 DMMLS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $133,500 CIBOR
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $133,500 DMMLS
- 2025-07-31 Listed $133,900 CIBOR
- 2025-07-31 Listed $133,900 DMMLS
- 2019-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 2019-02-28 Sold (MLS) $83,000 DMMLS
- 2019-02-28 Sold (MLS) $83,000 CIBOR
- 2019-01-02 Listed $79,900 DMMLS
- 2019-01-02 Listed $79,900 CIBOR
- 2015-02-10 Sold (MLS) $55,000 CIBOR
- 2014-11-10 Listed $65,000 CIBOR
- 2010-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
- 2009-11-25 Sold (MLS) $19,046 DMMLS
- 2009-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $19,046 Public Records
- 2009-07-31 Listed $27,000 DMMLS
Property tax history
+11.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,619 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…