13 S Conkling St S · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐨𝐫 𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐡𝐨𝐦𝐞 𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐥𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐭𝐨𝐰𝐧! 13 S. Conkling Street offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and approximately 840 sq ft above grade with a full unfinished basement for additional storage or future finishing potential . Classic brick façade and traditional Baltimore layout featuring separate living and dining areas. Natural gas forced air heat, public water and sewer, and fee simple ownership . Property is zoned R-8 (General Residence District) and sits just steps from Eastern Avenue, Patterson Park, shopping, dining, and commuter routes. Ideal opportunity for investor or owner-occupant looking to renovate and build equity. Home
Key facts
- Built 1922
- Listed 87 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 393 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.16%
- DSCR
- 2.74
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $96,907
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- 22.80%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3405 Mount Pleasant Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 888 (+6%) | 8mo | $162,500 | $183 | 67 |
| 3612 Mount Pleasant Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 804 (-4%) | 19mo | $110,000 | $137 | 66 |
| 3910 Mount Pleasant Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 963 (+15%) | 8mo | $122,000 | $127 | 51 |
| 144 N Ellwood Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+14%) | 10mo | $126,000 | $131 | 46 |
| 610 N East Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 896 (+7%) | 19mo | $140,000 | $156 | 44 |
| 530 N Curley St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+14%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $89 | 42 |
| 3205 Esther Pl | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+14%) | 20mo | $78,000 | $81 | 42 |
| 421 Robinson St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+14%) | 13mo | $77,000 | $80 | 40 |
| 3201 Esther Pl | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 960 (+14%) | 24mo | $180,500 | $188 | 36 |
| 717 N Streeper St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+14%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $99 | 34 |
| 433 Robinson St | 0.42mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 960 (+14%) | 11mo | $285,000 | $297 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $45,929
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 39.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.40×
- Total profit
- $113,150
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21224
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 393
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,446 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,058/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$514
- Net cashflow
- $1,087
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,155 | -5% $1,121 | +0% $1,087 | +5% $1,054 | +10% $1,020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $894 | -5% $991 | +0% $1,087 | +5% $1,184 | +10% $1,281 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,147 | -0.5pp $1,118 | base $1,087 | +0.5pp $1,056 | +1.0pp $1,025 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,395 | $2.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3905 Bank St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 909 | $3,290 | $3.62 | 3d | 20 | 0.36mi |
| 4015 Eastern Ave Unit 2L Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 104 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,500 | $2.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3518 Elliott St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1036 | $2,800 | $2.70 | 19d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 517 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,400 | $1.66 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2729 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 437 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2308 Jefferson St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,450 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,468 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,468 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 305 S Collington Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 722 | $2,895 | $4.01 | 18d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 560 Bayview Blvd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1108 | $3,372 | $3.04 | 3d | 25 | 1.07mi |
| 2809 Boston St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1246 | $3,440 | $2.76 | 3d | 11 | 1.10mi |
| 4300 Orchard Ridge Blvd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1021 | $1,809 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2410 E Federal St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 720 | $2,200 | $3.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-04-07status Active
-
2026-03-06historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-21$125,000 Active
-
2018-06-29soldstatus $156,174
-
2010-09-09historical Withdrawn
-
2010-09-08historical
-
2010-08-24price
-
2010-08-21price
-
2010-08-12price
-
2010-08-03Active
-
2010-08-02$63,900
-
2003-09-16soldstatus $27,000
-
2003-08-28historical
-
2003-08-13$29,900
-
2000-11-28soldstatus $49,000
-
2000-04-06soldstatus $6,000
-
2000-03-01historical
-
1999-12-08$19,900
-
1998-01-09soldstatus $18,000
-
1998-01-09soldstatus $50,000
-
1997-06-24historical
-
1997-02-10
-
1995-04-05soldstatus $27,705
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,058 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,058 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,353
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$2,058
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,348
- − Management
- −$2,348
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $11,877
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,850
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,198/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,465
- Household income
- $89,017
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1786.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -332.23%
- Current HPI
- 241.284
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+351.2% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-06 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-21 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $156,174 Public Records
- 2010-09-09 Delisted — MRIS
- 2010-09-08 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-08-24 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2010-08-21 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2010-08-12 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2010-08-03 Listed — MRIS
- 2010-08-02 Listed $63,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-09-16 Sold (MLS) $27,000 MRIS
- 2003-08-28 Delisted — MRIS
- 2003-08-13 Listed $29,900 MRIS
- 2000-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 2000-04-06 Sold (MLS) $6,000 MRIS
- 2000-03-01 Delisted — MRIS
- 1999-12-08 Listed $19,900 MRIS
- 1998-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1998-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-24 Delisted — MRIS
- 1997-02-10 Listed — MRIS
- 1995-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $27,705 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,058 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…