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125 Williams St
B- Composite 68.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,999

125 Williams St · Jackson, TN 38301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,430 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 112 Days on market
Built 1930 8,250 sqft lot ↓ 60% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment opportunity!!!! 3 bedrooms, 2 full bath located less than a block from the University of Memphis~ Lambuth Campus and the new Madison Academic High School! Original hardwood flooring. New Paint to exterior/interior. Great rental potential. SOLD AS IS! Call today!

Key facts

  • 8,250 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1930

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Two parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level / single-story
  • Construction: Masonite exterior; Composition/shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Asphalt road access; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main level
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Four total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $758 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 3.5% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#216 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Madison County (urban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #131 of 139 in TN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 247 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,729/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1701% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $53k; list at $100k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,999 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
15.39%
Cash-on-cash
32.48%
DSCR
2.45
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$238,810
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
300 W Deaderick St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+6%) 8mo $284,000 $188 73
205 Morgan St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,508 (+6%) 6mo $280,000 $186 71
221 Wells St 0.34mi 3/2.5 1,442 (+1%) 9mo $275,000 $191 69
225 Linden St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,352 (-6%) 3mo $225,000 $166 66
218 Wells St 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,368 (-4%) 8mo $236,900 $173 65
832 Lambuth Blvd 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-6%) 9mo $225,000 $167 63
431 Arlington Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,297 (-9%) 2mo $182,500 $141 60
119 Otis St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,352 (-6%) 1mo $220,000 $163 54
237 Wells St 0.32mi 3/2.5 1,619 (+13%) 7mo $280,000 $173 51
124 Conger St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,272 (-11%) 5mo $38,500 $30 49
415 Division Ave 0.55mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,614 (+13%) 1mo $194,500 $121 43
23 Stanfill Ln 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,287 (-10%) 9mo $194,900 $151 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$35,937
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
38.3%
Equity multiple
4.93×
Total profit
$110,059
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38301

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
253
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,729 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $502/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$363
Net cashflow
$758

Break-even live

Break-even rent $770
Max offer price $99,999
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $815 -5% $786 +0% $758 +5% $730 +10% $701
Rent -10% $621 -5% $690 +0% $758 +5% $826 +10% $895
Rate -1.0pp $808 -0.5pp $783 base $758 +0.5pp $732 +1.0pp $706

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
102 Jackson Walk Plz Jackson, TN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1082 $2,600 $2.40 44d 1 0.50mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,999 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,999 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,999 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,999 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,999 Active 108 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,999 Active 106 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,999 Active 105 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,999 Active 103 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,999 Active 102 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,999 Active 101 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,999 Active 100 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,999 Active 97 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,999 Active 96 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,999 Active 95 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,999 Active 94 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,999 Active 93 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,999 Active 92 DOM
  18. 2026-05-22
    status Active
  19. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
  20. 2026-03-17
    price $99,999
  21. 2026-02-17
    listed $110,000 Active
  22. 2022-09-07
    soldstatus $53,000
  23. 2022-09-02
    soldstatus $53,000 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Investment opportunity!!!! 3 bedrooms, 2 full bath located less than a block from the University of Memphis~ Lambuth Campus and the new Madison Academic High School! Original hardwood flooring. New Paint to exterior/interior. Great rental potential. SOLD AS IS! Call today!

  24. 2022-05-22
    listed $57,000 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Investment opportunity!!!! 3 bedrooms, 2 full bath located less than a block from the University of Memphis~ Lambuth Campus and the new Madison Academic High School! Original hardwood flooring. New Paint to exterior/interior. Great rental potential. SOLD AS IS! Call today!

  25. 2019-09-18
    soldstatus $25,000 125-char remark
    Show marketing remark (125 chars)

    Lots of charm and character in this 3 BR/2 BA home. Excellent location for walkability. Must see to appreciate the potential.

  26. 2019-03-11
    listed $35,000 125-char remark
    Show marketing remark (125 chars)

    Lots of charm and character in this 3 BR/2 BA home. Excellent location for walkability. Must see to appreciate the potential.

  27. 2010-04-23
    soldstatus $249,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$502 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$710 · $59/mo
Expected delta
+$208/yr (+$17/mo · 41.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,747
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$502
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,660
− Management
−$1,660
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$7,915
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,900
After-tax cash flow
$7,196/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
4702580
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,015
Composite
11.74/100
National rank
#9687
State rank
#131 of 139 in TN

Livability — Jackson

Score
62/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#16488

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, TN
County
Madison County · 87,024 people
City population
87,024
Metro
Jackson, TN
Population (ZIP)
33,536
Household income
$43,227
Rent vs Own
48.9% rent · 51.1% own
Severe rent burden
1701.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,952 people
By 2030
94,264 · -1.8%
By 2040
89,607 · -6.6%
By 2050
84,133 · -12.3%
By 2075
72,215 · -24.7%
By 2100
62,062 · -35.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.3% · R 58.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+12.9 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.26%
Current HPI
162.2273
Rent YoY
▲ 5.19%
Metro
Jackson, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-59.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted CWTAR
  • 2026-05-13 Pending CWTAR
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $99,999 CWTAR
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $110,000 CWTAR
  • 2022-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 2022-09-02 Sold (MLS) $53,000 CWTAR
  • 2022-05-22 Listed $57,000 CWTAR
  • 2019-09-18 Sold (MLS) $25,000 CWTAR
  • 2019-03-11 Listed $35,000 CWTAR
  • 2010-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $249,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $502 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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