125 Williams St · Jackson, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity!!!! 3 bedrooms, 2 full bath located less than a block from the University of Memphis~ Lambuth Campus and the new Madison Academic High School! Original hardwood flooring. New Paint to exterior/interior. Great rental potential. SOLD AS IS! Call today!
Key facts
- 8,250 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level / single-story
- Construction: Masonite exterior; Composition/shingle roof
- Exterior features: Asphalt road access; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main level
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Four total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $758 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 3.5% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#216 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Madison County (urban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #131 of 139 in TN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 247 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,729/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1701% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $100k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.48%
- DSCR
- 2.45
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $238,810
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 W Deaderick St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+6%) | 8mo | $284,000 | $188 | 73 |
| 205 Morgan St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+6%) | 6mo | $280,000 | $186 | 71 |
| 221 Wells St | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 1,442 (+1%) | 9mo | $275,000 | $191 | 69 |
| 225 Linden St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (-6%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $166 | 66 |
| 218 Wells St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (-4%) | 8mo | $236,900 | $173 | 65 |
| 832 Lambuth Blvd | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-6%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $167 | 63 |
| 431 Arlington Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,297 (-9%) | 2mo | $182,500 | $141 | 60 |
| 119 Otis St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (-6%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $163 | 54 |
| 237 Wells St | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 1,619 (+13%) | 7mo | $280,000 | $173 | 51 |
| 124 Conger St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,272 (-11%) | 5mo | $38,500 | $30 | 49 |
| 415 Division Ave | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,614 (+13%) | 1mo | $194,500 | $121 | 43 |
| 23 Stanfill Ln | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,287 (-10%) | 9mo | $194,900 | $151 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $35,937
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 38.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.93×
- Total profit
- $110,059
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38301
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 253
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,729 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $502/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $758
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $815 | -5% $786 | +0% $758 | +5% $730 | +10% $701 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $621 | -5% $690 | +0% $758 | +5% $826 | +10% $895 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $808 | -0.5pp $783 | base $758 | +0.5pp $732 | +1.0pp $706 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Jackson Walk Plz Jackson, TN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1082 | $2,600 | $2.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,999 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $99,999 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,999 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,999 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,999 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,999 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,999 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,999 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,999 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,999 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,999 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,999 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,999 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,999 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,999 Active 93 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $99,999 Active 92 DOM
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2026-05-22status Active
-
2026-05-13status Pending
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2026-03-17price $99,999
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2026-02-17$110,000 Active
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2022-09-07soldstatus $53,000
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2022-09-02soldstatus $53,000 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
Investment opportunity!!!! 3 bedrooms, 2 full bath located less than a block from the University of Memphis~ Lambuth Campus and the new Madison Academic High School! Original hardwood flooring. New Paint to exterior/interior. Great rental potential. SOLD AS IS! Call today!
-
2022-05-22$57,000 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
Investment opportunity!!!! 3 bedrooms, 2 full bath located less than a block from the University of Memphis~ Lambuth Campus and the new Madison Academic High School! Original hardwood flooring. New Paint to exterior/interior. Great rental potential. SOLD AS IS! Call today!
-
2019-09-18soldstatus $25,000 125-char remark
Show marketing remark (125 chars)
Lots of charm and character in this 3 BR/2 BA home. Excellent location for walkability. Must see to appreciate the potential.
-
2019-03-11$35,000 125-char remark
Show marketing remark (125 chars)
Lots of charm and character in this 3 BR/2 BA home. Excellent location for walkability. Must see to appreciate the potential.
-
2010-04-23soldstatus $249,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $502 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $710 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$208/yr (+$17/mo · 41.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,747
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,601
- − Property taxes
- −$502
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,660
- − Management
- −$1,660
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $7,915
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,900
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,196/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 4702580
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,015
- Composite
- 11.74/100
- National rank
- #9687
- State rank
- #131 of 139 in TN
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #216
- US rank
- #16488
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, TN
- County
- Madison County · 87,024 people
- City population
- 87,024
- Metro
- Jackson, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,536
- Household income
- $43,227
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1701.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,952 people
- By 2030
- 94,264 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 89,607 · -6.6%
- By 2050
- 84,133 · -12.3%
- By 2075
- 72,215 · -24.7%
- By 2100
- 62,062 · -35.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.3% · R 58.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+12.9 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.26%
- Current HPI
- 162.2273
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.19%
- Metro
- Jackson, TN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-59.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — CWTAR
- 2026-05-13 Pending — CWTAR
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $99,999 CWTAR
- 2026-02-17 Listed $110,000 CWTAR
- 2022-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-02 Sold (MLS) $53,000 CWTAR
- 2022-05-22 Listed $57,000 CWTAR
- 2019-09-18 Sold (MLS) $25,000 CWTAR
- 2019-03-11 Listed $35,000 CWTAR
- 2010-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $249,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $502 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…