9700 SW Tualatin Rd #5 · Tualatin, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- C
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $591 – $1,051
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
An excellent & convenient location in Tualatin! Well-kept manufactured home with a spacious main bedroom and private bathroom. The property has a spacious back-built room next to it. In the well-known Willow Glen mobile park, a few miles away from I-5. With a fenced yard area for family gatherings. An additional room with private access. Garden with apple tree, grape tree & more! This home has a lot to offer, including proximity to shopping stores, a community park, an animal clinic, a dentist, and more!
Key facts
- Grape tree
- Additional room
- Apple tree
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $619 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 2.6% in Tualatin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#16 in OR, #355 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J (suburban): math 47% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #6 of 58 in OR (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.0%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 242 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 242 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.42%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,609
- List price
- $129,995
- Delta
- -4.14%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9700 SW Tualatin Rd #39 | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 989 (+12%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $152 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $13,091
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $41,746
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,399 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97062
- Rents YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,793 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $731/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $619
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $693 | -5% $656 | +0% $619 | +5% $583 | +10% $546 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $478 | -5% $549 | +0% $619 | +5% $690 | +10% $761 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $685 | -0.5pp $652 | base $619 | +0.5pp $586 | +1.0pp $551 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,499
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9720 SW Tualatin Rd Tualatin, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 8900 SW Sweek Dr Tualatin, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $2,500 | $2.78 | 2d | 24 | 0.41mi |
| 9301 SW Sagert St Tualatin, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1081 | $2,058 | $1.90 | 2d | 9 | 0.75mi |
| 19605 SW Boones Ferry Rd Tualatin, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,779 | $2.51 | 4d | 4 | 0.81mi |
| 19705 SW Boones Ferry Rd Tualatin, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $1,500 | $2.19 | 12d | 6 | 0.83mi |
| 17989 SW 115th Ave Tualatin, OR | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 982 | $1,550 | $1.58 | 24d | 2 | 0.94mi |
| 17987 SW 115th Ave Unit 1 Tualatin, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,475 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 18540 SW Boones Ferry Rd Tualatin, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $1,560 | $2.34 | 5d | 2 | 0.96mi |
| 18480 SW Boones Ferry Rd Portland, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 914 | $1,612 | $1.76 | 3d | 6 | 1.00mi |
| 17979 SW 115th Ave Unit 6 Tualatin, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $1,625 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 10900 SW Gaarde St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,525 | $1.85 | 9d | 4 | 1.04mi |
| 10900 SW Gaarde St Unit 273-16 Tigard, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,575 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 11865 SW Tualatin Rd Tualatin, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1154 | $1,697 | $1.47 | 2d | 19 | 1.08mi |
| 17000 SW Pacific Hwy Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 684 | $1,575 | $2.30 | 45d | 3 | 1.16mi |
| 18049 SW Lower Boones Ferry Rd King City, OR | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $2,742 | $2.81 | 2d | 20 | 1.20mi |
| 7800 SW Sagert St Tualatin, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 693 | $1,793 | $2.59 | 2d | 5 | 1.26mi |
| 16055 SW 108th Ave Tigard, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $1,940 | $2.28 | 9d | 9 | 1.29mi |
| 15870 SW 88th Ave Unit A Tigard, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1013 | $1,745 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 12070 SW Fischer Rd Portland, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,812 | $1.96 | 2d | 9 | 1.37mi |
| 17865 SW Pacific Hwy Tualatin, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $1,970 | $2.03 | 2d | 13 | 1.39mi |
| 8363 SW Durham Rd Unit 06 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,595 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,995 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,995 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,995 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,995 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,995 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,995 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,995 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,995 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,995 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,995 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,995 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,995 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,995 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,995 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-03-06price $129,995 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
An excellent location in Tualatin! Well-kept manufactured home with a spacious main bedroom and private bathroom. A grand living room followed by the dining area! Built in 2018! In the well-known Willow Glen mobile park. With a fenced yard area for family gatherings. An additional room with private access.Garden with an apple tree, a grape tree, and roses! This home offers proximity to shopping, a few miles from I-5, and access to schools, a community park, an animal clinic, a dentist, and more. A must-see property!
-
2026-03-06price $129,995 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
An excellent location in Tualatin! Well-kept manufactured home with a spacious main bedroom and private bathroom. A grand living room followed by the dining area! Built in 2018! In the well-known Willow Glen mobile park. With a fenced yard area for family gatherings. An additional room with private access.Garden with an apple tree, a grape tree, and roses! This home offers proximity to shopping, a few miles from I-5, and access to schools, a community park, an animal clinic, a dentist, and more. A must-see property!
-
2026-01-10price $139,995 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
An excellent & convenient location in Tualatin! Well-kept manufactured home with a spacious main bedroom and private bathroom. The property has a spacious back-built room next to it. In the well-known Willow Glen mobile park, a few miles away from I-5. With a fenced yard area for family gatherings. An additional room with private access. Garden with apple tree, grape tree & more! This home has a lot to offer, including proximity to shopping stores, a community park, an animal clinic, a dentist, and more!
-
2026-01-09price $139,995 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
An excellent location in Tualatin! Well-kept manufactured home with a spacious main bedroom and private bathroom. A grand living room followed by the dining area! Built in 2018! In the well-known Willow Glen mobile park. With a fenced yard area for family gatherings. An additional room with private access.Garden with an apple tree, a grape tree, and roses! This home offers proximity to shopping, a few miles from I-5, and access to schools, a community park, an animal clinic, a dentist, and more. A must-see property!
-
2025-11-26price $149,995 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
An excellent location in Tualatin! Well-kept manufactured home with a spacious main bedroom and private bathroom. A grand living room followed by the dining area! Built in 2018! In the well-known Willow Glen mobile park. With a fenced yard area for family gatherings. An additional room with private access.Garden with an apple tree, a grape tree, and roses! This home offers proximity to shopping, a few miles from I-5, and access to schools, a community park, an animal clinic, a dentist, and more. A must-see property!
-
2025-11-26price $149,995 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
An excellent location in Tualatin! Well-kept manufactured home with a spacious main bedroom and private bathroom. A grand living room followed by the dining area! Built in 2018! In the well-known Willow Glen mobile park. With a fenced yard area for family gatherings. An additional room with private access.Garden with an apple tree, a grape tree, and roses! This home offers proximity to shopping, a few miles from I-5, and access to schools, a community park, an animal clinic, a dentist, and more. A must-see property!
-
2025-10-31historical
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
An excellent & convenient location in Tualatin! Well-kept manufactured home with a spacious main bedroom and private bathroom. The property has a spacious back-built room next to it. In the well-known Willow Glen mobile park, a few miles away from I-5. With a fenced yard area for family gatherings. An additional room with private access. Garden with apple tree, grape tree & more! This home has a lot to offer, including proximity to shopping stores, a community park, an animal clinic, a dentist, and more!
-
2025-10-31$159,995 Active 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
An excellent & convenient location in Tualatin! Well-kept manufactured home with a spacious main bedroom and private bathroom. The property has a spacious back-built room next to it. In the well-known Willow Glen mobile park, a few miles away from I-5. With a fenced yard area for family gatherings. An additional room with private access. Garden with apple tree, grape tree & more! This home has a lot to offer, including proximity to shopping stores, a community park, an animal clinic, a dentist, and more!
-
2025-10-22$159,995 Active 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
An excellent location in Tualatin! Well-kept manufactured home with a spacious main bedroom and private bathroom. A grand living room followed by the dining area! Built in 2018! In the well-known Willow Glen mobile park. With a fenced yard area for family gatherings. An additional room with private access.Garden with an apple tree, a grape tree, and roses! This home offers proximity to shopping, a few miles from I-5, and access to schools, a community park, an animal clinic, a dentist, and more. A must-see property!
-
2025-04-09$159,995 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $731 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,261 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$530/yr (+$44/mo · 72.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone C · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,510
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$731
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,721
- − Management
- −$1,721
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $5,624
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,350
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J
- NCES district ID
- 4112240
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,739
- Composite
- 48.72/100
- National rank
- #2100
- State rank
- #6 of 58 in OR
Livability — Tualatin
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #355
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tualatin, OR
- County
- Washington County · 583,254 people
- City population
- 28,930
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,930
- Household income
- $105,407
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1218.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 674,042 people
- By 2030
- 721,804 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 812,732 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 895,143 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 1,058,806 · +57.1%
- By 2100
- 1,131,692 · +67.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 14% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.0) · D 65.3% · R 31.3% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.1pp · 2024: 34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.0 2020: D+34.6 2016: D+26.7 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+22.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -346.49%
- Current HPI
- 279.0431
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.03%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-18.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $129,995 WVMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $129,995 RMLS
- 2026-01-10 Price Changed $139,995 WVMLS
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $139,995 RMLS
- 2025-11-26 Price Changed $149,995 WVMLS
- 2025-11-26 Price Changed $149,995 RMLS
- 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — WVMLS
- 2025-10-31 Listed $159,995 WVMLS
- 2025-10-22 Listed $159,995 RMLS
- 2025-04-09 Listed $159,995 WVMLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2022): $731 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…