399 W Court St · Wrightsville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Price House has been a fixture for many years. Located just a couple of minutes from shopping and dining, this house is well located. Interior is spacious and ready for living. Great yard for many happy days.
Key facts
- 1.05 acre lot
- Built 1948
- Listed 150 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-72 ($-867/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (7.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (24.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#419 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Johnson County (rural): math 34% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #79 of 174 in GA (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Johnson County Elementary School (math 46% / reading 35%, grade F, #419 of 1,228 statewide, top 35%, 466 students, 94% FRL); Johnson County Middle School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #249 of 470 statewide, top 55%, 240 students, 95% FRL); Johnson County High School (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 303 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 69% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $44 appreciation (0.0% local appreciation)).
- Johnson County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.82%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $180,094
- List price
- $169,900
- Delta
- -5.66%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8776 N Marcus St | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,615 (0%) | 9mo | $179,900 | $69 | 61 |
| 43 Alma St | 0.75mi | 4/3.0 | 2,659 (+2%) | 9mo | $270,000 | $102 | 55 |
| 270 S Myrtle Ave | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 2,780 (+6%) | 19mo | $73,000 | $26 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.03% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-9,405
- Equity at exit
- $49,552
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $8,252
- Equity at exit
- $59,739
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31096
- Home prices YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,278 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,444/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $-72
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $24 | -5% $-24 | +0% $-72 | +5% $-120 | +10% $-168 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-173 | -5% $-123 | +0% $-72 | +5% $-22 | +10% $29 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $13 | -0.5pp $-29 | base $-72 | +0.5pp $-116 | +1.0pp $-161 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $169,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $169,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $169,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-01-21$169,900 New 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
The Price House has been a fixture for many years. Located just a couple of minutes from shopping and dining, this house is well located. Interior is spacious and ready for living. Great yard for many happy days.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,444 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,563 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$119/yr (+$10/mo · 8.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,339
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,444
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,227
- − Management
- −$1,227
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$3,868
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$928
- After-tax cash flow
- $61/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Johnson County
- NCES district ID
- 1303120
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,082
- Composite
- 27.59/100
- National rank
- #6934
- State rank
- #79 of 174 in GA
Livability — Wrightsville
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #419
- US rank
- #20688
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wrightsville, GA
- City population
- 7,307
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,307
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,208 people
- By 2030
- 8,957 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 8,384 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 7,889 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 6,670 · -27.6%
- By 2100
- 5,430 · -41.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 40% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.8% · R 73.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -46.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.4 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+33.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▬ 0.03%
- Current HPI
- 201.8678
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-21 Listed $169,900 GAMLS
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,444 · +21.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…