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399 W Court St
D Composite 42.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$169,900

399 W Court St · Wrightsville, GA 31096
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,614 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 151 Days on market
Built 1948 1.05 ac lot $65/sqft · 6% below area Est $180k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Price House has been a fixture for many years. Located just a couple of minutes from shopping and dining, this house is well located. Interior is spacious and ready for living. Great yard for many happy days.

Key facts

  • 1.05 acre lot
  • Built 1948
  • Listed 150 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-72 ($-867/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (7.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (24.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#419 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Johnson County (rural): math 34% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #79 of 174 in GA (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Johnson County Elementary School (math 46% / reading 35%, grade F, #419 of 1,228 statewide, top 35%, 466 students, 94% FRL); Johnson County Middle School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #249 of 470 statewide, top 55%, 240 students, 95% FRL); Johnson County High School (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 303 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 69% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $44 appreciation (0.0% local appreciation)).
  • Johnson County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,826 (24.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.78%
Cash-on-cash
-1.82%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$180,094
List price
$169,900
Delta
-5.66%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8776 N Marcus St 0.53mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,615 (0%) 9mo $179,900 $69 61
43 Alma St 0.75mi 4/3.0 2,659 (+2%) 9mo $270,000 $102 55
270 S Myrtle Ave 0.49mi 4/2.0 2,780 (+6%) 19mo $73,000 $26 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.03% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-9,405
Equity at exit
$49,552
10-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$8,252
Equity at exit
$59,739

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31096

Home prices YoY
0.0%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,278 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,444/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$-72

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,370
Max offer price $157,132
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $24 -5% $-24 +0% $-72 +5% $-120 +10% $-168
Rent -10% $-173 -5% $-123 +0% $-72 +5% $-22 +10% $29
Rate -1.0pp $13 -0.5pp $-29 base $-72 +0.5pp $-116 +1.0pp $-161

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $169,900 Active 151 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $169,900 Active 150 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 148 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 147 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 146 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 145 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 143 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $169,900 Active 142 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 139 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 138 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 137 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,900 Active 135 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,900 Active 133 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 132 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 131 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 130 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 129 DOM
  18. 2026-01-21
    listed $169,900 New 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    The Price House has been a fixture for many years. Located just a couple of minutes from shopping and dining, this house is well located. Interior is spacious and ready for living. Great yard for many happy days.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,444 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,563 · $130/mo
Expected delta
+$119/yr (+$10/mo · 8.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,339
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,444
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,227
− Management
−$1,227
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$3,868
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$928
After-tax cash flow
$61/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Johnson County
NCES district ID
1303120
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$34,082
Composite
27.59/100
National rank
#6934
State rank
#79 of 174 in GA

Livability — Wrightsville

Score
58/100
State rank
#419
US rank
#20688

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wrightsville, GA
City population
7,307
Population (ZIP)
7,307

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,208 people
By 2030
8,957 · -2.7%
By 2040
8,384 · -8.9%
By 2050
7,889 · -14.3%
By 2075
6,670 · -27.6%
By 2100
5,430 · -41.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 40% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.8% · R 73.1%
2008→2024 swing
-12.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -46.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.4 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+33.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▬ 0.03%
Current HPI
201.8678
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $169,900 GAMLS

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,444 · +21.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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