2651 Leeds Ave · North Charleston, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention all Investor/Rehab/Renovation Buyers - This property is 1 of 30 being sold by the Seller and can be purchased individually or as a group. A fantastic opportunity for investors, owner-occupants, or anyone looking for a renovation project. PLEASE NOTE: Properties are being sold strictly as-is and Seller will make no modifications or repairs. If square footage is important, please measure. Seller has set a call for offers to ensure all interested parties have equal opportunity to preview the homes, so please send your highest and best offer when you submit. * * * DUE TO TROPICAL STORM DEBBY the NEW OFFER DEADLINE is SUNDAY, 8/18/2024 at 11:59PM. * * * Seller will not respond to
Key facts
- Investor buyers
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $189k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#122 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Charleston 01 (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #7 of 80 in SC (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Meeting Street Elementary (math 19% / reading 16%, grade F, #512 of 597 statewide, top 86%, 1,133 students, 100% FRL); Northwoods Middle (math 11% / reading 16%, grade F, #207 of 229 statewide, top 91%, 738 students, 100% FRL); North Charleston High (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #174 of 196 statewide, top 90%, 768 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 44% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Charleston 01 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 205 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,156 units permitted in Charleston County in 2024 (857 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charleston County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $195k implies a 324% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.97%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $295,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2648 Dellwood Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (-4%) | 8mo | $148,900 | $151 | 84 |
| 2666 Leeds Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,055 (+3%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $237 | 84 |
| 4413 Spur St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (+5%) | 4mo | $312,000 | $289 | 75 |
| 2703 Phyllis St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,025 (0%) | 6mo | $316,576 | $309 | 68 |
| 2531 Wecco St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 966 (-6%) | 8mo | $285,000 | $295 | 65 |
| 4000 Gary Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,042 (+2%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $288 | 60 |
| 2666 Bennett Yard Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 892 (-13%) | 9mo | $289,000 | $324 | 60 |
| 2669 Tillman St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (+5%) | 6mo | $76,500 | $71 | 53 |
| 2787 Ranger Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (+10%) | 7mo | $242,500 | $216 | 50 |
| 2832 Ranger Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 950 (-7%) | 11mo | $200,000 | $211 | 47 |
| 4024 Gary Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 924 (-10%) | 6mo | $270,000 | $292 | 46 |
| 2808 Falla Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,150 (+12%) | 8mo | $329,900 | $287 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-7,105
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $47,710
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29405
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 205
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,050 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $406 | -5% $339 | +0% $272 | +5% $204 | +10% $137 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $110 | -5% $191 | +0% $272 | +5% $353 | +10% $434 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $370 | -0.5pp $321 | base $272 | +0.5pp $221 | +1.0pp $170 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2640 Orchid Ave North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,899 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2512 Bennett Yard Rd Unit B North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 834 | $1,800 | $2.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2808 Martha Dr North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $2,250 | $2.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3229 W Montague Ave North Charleston, SC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 946 | $2,601 | $2.75 | 4d | 32 | 0.57mi |
| 2708 Busch Ave North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1025 | $2,100 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2755 Louise Dr North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,800 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4021 Gary Dr North Charleston, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4025 Gary Dr Unit A North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,600 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2741 Ranger Dr North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3925 Hilda St North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2667 Olympia Ave North Charleston, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 899 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2679 Olympia Ave Unit A North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,995 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2679 Oregon Ave North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2645 Oregon Ave North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 916 | $2,300 | $2.51 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3812 W Montague Ave North Charleston, SC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $2,476 | $2.72 | 4d | 43 | 1.16mi |
| 4742 Farmal St North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $2,025 | $1.88 | 4d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2674 Madden Dr North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 858 | $2,200 | $2.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4025 Bamberg Ave Unit 4025-5 North Charleston, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2620 Woodlawn Ave North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $1,695 | $1.90 | 12d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2620 Woodlawn Ave North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $1,695 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2403 Mall Dr North Charleston, SC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 911 | $2,470 | $2.71 | 4d | 20 | 1.41mi |
| 2624 S Allen Dr North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2653 Harvey Ave North Charleston, SC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,035 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2024-09-10status Pending
-
2024-09-10status Active
-
2024-08-24historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-08-01$195,000 Active
-
1989-08-17soldstatus $46,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,925
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,968
- − Management
- −$1,968
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $165
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$40
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,220/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charleston 01
- NCES district ID
- 4501440
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,376
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3018
- State rank
- #7 of 80 in SC
Livability — North Charleston
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #12222
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Charleston, SC
- County
- Charleston County · 366,793 people
- City population
- 108,266
- Metro
- Charleston-North Charleston, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,254
- Household income
- $56,600
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1564.0
Population outlook (Charleston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 480,562 people
- By 2030
- 525,921 · +9.4%
- By 2040
- 612,189 · +27.4%
- By 2050
- 691,627 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 847,979 · +76.5%
- By 2100
- 926,482 · +92.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (57%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Charleston
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.7) · D 51.9% · R 46.3% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: 5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.7 2020: D+12.9 2016: D+7.9 2012: D+2.4 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.19%
- Current HPI
- 372.8886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.36%
- Metro
- Charleston-North Charleston, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+323.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2024-09-10 Pending — Charleston Trident MLS
- 2024-09-10 Relisted — Charleston Trident MLS
- 2024-08-24 Contingent — Charleston Trident MLS
- 2024-08-01 Listed $195,000 Charleston Trident MLS
- 1989-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.9%/yrLatest (2022): $72 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…