852 E Grangeville Blvd #49 · Hanford, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 49 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 50 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 2012
- Listed 109 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Located in Sierra Vistas Estates (mobile home park)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 space); Driveway
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; No additional utilities listed
- Home design: Manufactured home (Double wide) located in a park; Single-story; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Vertical siding; Aluminum skirting; Model: AMB Cove K620
- Exterior features: Private yard; Covered patio; Screened porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Gas range; Free-standing range; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Information not provided
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood / Wood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans; Other cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops; Vaulted ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry room with washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $688 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 3.9% in Hanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#121 in CA, #4,255 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, cost of living F.
- Hanford Joint Union High (urban): math 20% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #765 of 1,400 in CA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 430 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 741 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.84%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $92,560
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 852 E Grangeville Blvd #71 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+11%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $109 | 75 |
| 860 E Grangeville Spc. 113 Blvd | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 924 (-11%) | 0mo | $30,000 | $32 | 71 |
| 860 E Grangeville Blvd #9 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-8%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $89 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $21,649
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $74,076
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93230
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 430
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,901 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $596/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $688
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1823 N 10th Ave Unit 1819 Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1819 N 10th Ave Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| SAND CYN Outside Area (Inside Ca), CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 949 | $2,809 | $2.96 | 13d | 3 | 0.34mi |
| 2144 Beechwood Ct Hanford, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2337 N 10th Ave Hanford, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,795 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2403 Cherrywood Ct Hanford, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $2,450 | $1.87 | 13d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1373 Van Ct Hanford, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 201 E 11th St Unit C Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,295 | $1.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 630 Neville St Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1399 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1920 N 11th Ave Hanford, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 412 Ford St Unit 2 Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,150 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1424 Rodgers Rd Unit 1496 Hanford, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,250 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $135,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-02-12$135,000 Active
-
2026-02-11historical $135,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $596 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,026 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$430/yr (+$36/mo · 72.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 49 unhealthy d/yr today · 50 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,813
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$596
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,825
- − Management
- −$1,825
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $6,402
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,537
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,719/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hanford Joint Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0616500
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,265
- Composite
- 35.8/100
- National rank
- #9626
- State rank
- #765 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Hanford
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #4255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hanford, CA
- County
- Kings County · 107,655 people
- City population
- 69,684
- Metro
- Hanford-Corcoran, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,684
- Household income
- $76,023
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2081.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 147,136 people
- By 2030
- 145,623 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 146,017 · -0.8%
- By 2050
- 145,239 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 131,479 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 103,967 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% White 35% Two or more races 19% Black 5% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.4% · R 60.4% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.9pp toward R · 2008: -14.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+12.2 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+14.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -267.79%
- Current HPI
- 321.3409
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.87%
- Metro
- Hanford-Corcoran, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Listed $135,000 TCMLS
- 2026-02-11 Coming Soon $135,000 TCMLS
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $596 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…