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23 Alexis St
B+ Composite 75.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

23 Alexis St · Rochester, NY 14609
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,509 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1916 4,000 sqft lot Est $205k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FRESH AND READY TO GO! THIS 4 BEDROOM, 1 BATH SIDED COLONIAL OFFERS A FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR WITH REFINISHED GLEAMING HARDWOOD FLOORS * SOME NEWER DOUBLE PANE WINDOWS A SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM AND SITTING AREA, SPACIOUS FORMAL DINING ROOM WITH A FULL KNOTTY PINE WALL WITH SHELVING AND PULL OUT DRAWERS * KITCHEN HAS NEWER VINYL FLOORING WITH LOTS OF OAK CABINETRY * OVEN/RANGE AND REFRIGERATOR WILL REMAIN * ROOF NEW IN 2003 * HOT WATER HEATER NEW MAY 2019 * NEWER FURNACE-FEB. 2007- JUST CLEANED & INSPECTED * WASHER & DRYER WILL REMAIN * ATTIC HAS ONE PARTIALLY FINISHED ROOM WITH THE REMAINDER UNFINISHED AND READY FOR YOUR COMPLETION * ENJOY THE OPEN FRONT PORCH ON THE WARM SUMMER EVENINGS TO! PRICED TO SELL NOW, SO DON'T WAIT!

Key facts

  • Soaking tub
  • 8 mini splits
  • On-demand h2o heater

Tags

FINISHED 3RD FLOOR LOFTSOAKING TUBMODERN HIGH END TOILET8 MINI SPLITSBRAND NEW HYBRID H2O HEATERON-DEMAND H2O HEATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: School 33-John James Audubon (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,075 of 2,108 statewide, top 99%, 963 students, 93% FRL); East Lower School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #715 of 729 statewide, top 98%, 304 students, 86% FRL); Edison Career And Technology High School (math 44% / reading 50%, grade D-, #1,007 of 1,100 statewide, top 93%, 1,233 students, 91% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $92k; list at $140k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $139,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.77%
Cash-on-cash
15.97%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,224
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
363 Melville St 0.17mi 4/1.0 1,500 (-1%) 1mo $175,000 $117 90
381 Parsells Ave 0.22mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,529 (+1%) 1mo $110,000 $72 78
322 Grand Ave 0.31mi 4/2.0 1,555 (+3%) 2mo $139,200 $90 75
204 Salisbury St 0.48mi 4/1.5 1,449 (-4%) 1mo $187,460 $129 68
110 Arch St 0.43mi 4/2.0 1,417 (-6%) 2mo $200,000 $141 64
30 Newcomb St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,502 (-0%) 1mo $70,000 $47 55
281 Ellison St 0.43mi 4/3.0 1,350 (-10%) 1mo $184,000 $136 54
34 Woodrow Ave 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,406 (-7%) 1mo $275,000 $196 54
128 5th St 0.73mi 4/1.0 1,606 (+6%) 2mo $62,000 $39 54
230 Laurelton Rd 0.62mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,362 (-10%) 1mo $289,000 $212 47
23 Martinot Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,292 (-14%) 1mo $255,000 $197 43
85 Culver Pkwy 0.61mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,298 (-14%) 1mo $287,500 $221 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$19,824
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
3.61×
Total profit
$102,195
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14609

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,801 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,314/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$521

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,141
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $601 -5% $561 +0% $521 +5% $482 +10% $442
Rent -10% $379 -5% $450 +0% $521 +5% $593 +10% $664
Rate -1.0pp $592 -0.5pp $557 base $521 +0.5pp $485 +1.0pp $448

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
420 Rosewood Ter Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1246 $1,300 $1.04 5d 1 0.29mi
195 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1413 $1,265 $0.90 5d 1 0.34mi
1159 Culver Rd Unit A2 UP Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1313 $1,500 $1.14 45d 1 0.36mi
126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1574 $1,800 $1.14 45d 1 0.40mi
126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1574 $1,800 $1.14 23d 1 0.41mi
52 Frances St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1256 $1,595 $1.27 45d 1 0.59mi
1079 Garson Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1273 $2,100 $1.65 12d 1 0.71mi
47 Priscilla St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1250 $1,900 $1.52 23d 1 0.74mi
147 5th St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1289 $1,950 $1.51 23d 1 0.75mi
108 Bowman St Unit 1 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 45d 1 0.78mi
326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,500 $1.28 4d 1 0.92mi
176 Merwin Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1750 $2,200 $1.26 45d 1 1.17mi
207 Lux St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1728 $2,150 $1.24 12d 1 1.17mi
733 University Ave #3 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,850 $1.32 45d 1 1.20mi
1 Champeney Ter Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1936 $1,650 $0.85 16d 1 1.22mi
59 Clark Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1728 $1,800 $1.04 4d 1 1.41mi
171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1054 $1,775 $1.68 45d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-01-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-13
    listed $139,900 Active
  3. 2020-07-30
    soldstatus $92,000
  4. 2020-07-29
    soldstatus $92,000 Closed Sale or Rented 745-char remark
    Show marketing remark (745 chars)

    FRESH AND READY TO GO! THIS 4 BEDROOM, 1 BATH SIDED COLONIAL OFFERS A FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR WITH REFINISHED GLEAMING HARDWOOD FLOORS * SOME NEWER DOUBLE PANE WINDOWS A SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM AND SITTING AREA, SPACIOUS FORMAL DINING ROOM WITH A FULL KNOTTY PINE WALL WITH SHELVING AND PULL OUT DRAWERS * KITCHEN HAS NEWER VINYL FLOORING WITH LOTS OF OAK CABINETRY * OVEN/RANGE AND REFRIGERATOR WILL REMAIN * ROOF NEW IN 2003 * HOT WATER HEATER NEW MAY 2019 * NEWER FURNACE-FEB. 2007- JUST CLEANED & INSPECTED * WASHER & DRYER WILL REMAIN * ATTIC HAS ONE PARTIALLY FINISHED ROOM WITH THE REMAINDER UNFINISHED AND READY FOR YOUR COMPLETION * ENJOY THE OPEN FRONT PORCH ON THE WARM SUMMER EVENINGS TO! PRICED TO SELL NOW, SO DON'T WAIT!

  5. 2020-06-24
    status Pending Sale 745-char remark
    Show marketing remark (745 chars)

    FRESH AND READY TO GO! THIS 4 BEDROOM, 1 BATH SIDED COLONIAL OFFERS A FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR WITH REFINISHED GLEAMING HARDWOOD FLOORS * SOME NEWER DOUBLE PANE WINDOWS A SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM AND SITTING AREA, SPACIOUS FORMAL DINING ROOM WITH A FULL KNOTTY PINE WALL WITH SHELVING AND PULL OUT DRAWERS * KITCHEN HAS NEWER VINYL FLOORING WITH LOTS OF OAK CABINETRY * OVEN/RANGE AND REFRIGERATOR WILL REMAIN * ROOF NEW IN 2003 * HOT WATER HEATER NEW MAY 2019 * NEWER FURNACE-FEB. 2007- JUST CLEANED & INSPECTED * WASHER & DRYER WILL REMAIN * ATTIC HAS ONE PARTIALLY FINISHED ROOM WITH THE REMAINDER UNFINISHED AND READY FOR YOUR COMPLETION * ENJOY THE OPEN FRONT PORCH ON THE WARM SUMMER EVENINGS TO! PRICED TO SELL NOW, SO DON'T WAIT!

  6. 2020-06-11
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 745-char remark
    Show marketing remark (745 chars)

    FRESH AND READY TO GO! THIS 4 BEDROOM, 1 BATH SIDED COLONIAL OFFERS A FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR WITH REFINISHED GLEAMING HARDWOOD FLOORS * SOME NEWER DOUBLE PANE WINDOWS A SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM AND SITTING AREA, SPACIOUS FORMAL DINING ROOM WITH A FULL KNOTTY PINE WALL WITH SHELVING AND PULL OUT DRAWERS * KITCHEN HAS NEWER VINYL FLOORING WITH LOTS OF OAK CABINETRY * OVEN/RANGE AND REFRIGERATOR WILL REMAIN * ROOF NEW IN 2003 * HOT WATER HEATER NEW MAY 2019 * NEWER FURNACE-FEB. 2007- JUST CLEANED & INSPECTED * WASHER & DRYER WILL REMAIN * ATTIC HAS ONE PARTIALLY FINISHED ROOM WITH THE REMAINDER UNFINISHED AND READY FOR YOUR COMPLETION * ENJOY THE OPEN FRONT PORCH ON THE WARM SUMMER EVENINGS TO! PRICED TO SELL NOW, SO DON'T WAIT!

  7. 2020-06-09
    listed $80,000 Active 745-char remark
    Show marketing remark (745 chars)

    FRESH AND READY TO GO! THIS 4 BEDROOM, 1 BATH SIDED COLONIAL OFFERS A FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR WITH REFINISHED GLEAMING HARDWOOD FLOORS * SOME NEWER DOUBLE PANE WINDOWS A SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM AND SITTING AREA, SPACIOUS FORMAL DINING ROOM WITH A FULL KNOTTY PINE WALL WITH SHELVING AND PULL OUT DRAWERS * KITCHEN HAS NEWER VINYL FLOORING WITH LOTS OF OAK CABINETRY * OVEN/RANGE AND REFRIGERATOR WILL REMAIN * ROOF NEW IN 2003 * HOT WATER HEATER NEW MAY 2019 * NEWER FURNACE-FEB. 2007- JUST CLEANED & INSPECTED * WASHER & DRYER WILL REMAIN * ATTIC HAS ONE PARTIALLY FINISHED ROOM WITH THE REMAINDER UNFINISHED AND READY FOR YOUR COMPLETION * ENJOY THE OPEN FRONT PORCH ON THE WARM SUMMER EVENINGS TO! PRICED TO SELL NOW, SO DON'T WAIT!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,314 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,839 · $153/mo
Expected delta
+$525/yr (+$44/mo · 40.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,612
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,314
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,729
− Management
−$1,729
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$4,235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,016
After-tax cash flow
$5,240/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
40,274
Household income
$64,603
Rent vs Own
36.1% rent · 63.9% own
Severe rent burden
2183.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 15% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.57%
Current HPI
328.7053
Rent YoY
▲ 7.89%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+74.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-22 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $139,900 UNYREIS
  • 2020-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
  • 2020-07-29 Sold (MLS) $92,000 UNYREIS
  • 2020-06-24 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2020-06-11 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2020-06-09 Listed $80,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,314 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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