229 Cushing Ave · Johnsonburg, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.9/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom ranch home nestled on a nice piece of property. The main level offers a bright, large living room, an expansive kitchen, and a full bath, with plenty of closet and storage space throughout. The basement is partially finished with a full bath, kitchenette-style area and a workshop plus a sizable open area that could easily be converted into a family room. Additional highlights include a one-stall garage and a yard with plenty of room for landscaping, play, or outdoor entertaining. Call today to set up your appointment this house could be yours to call home!
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1976
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Has garage (1 space); Carport; Asphalt parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential; Single-unit property
- Construction: Block foundation; Below-grade finished area present
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Vinyl siding
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Hot water heat
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($984 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#825 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Johnsonburg Area SD (rural): math 40% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Elk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (9.8% local appreciation)).
- Elk County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (9.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.54%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,141
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -33.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
9.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $50,618
- Equity at exit
- $57,680
- IRR
- 31.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.49×
- Total profit
- $136,404
- Equity at exit
- $123,468
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15845
- Home prices YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $984 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,902/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $251
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-01status $65,000 Pending 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$65,000 Active 598-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,902 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,902 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,808
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,902
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$945
- − Management
- −$945
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $2,160
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$518
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,492/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Johnsonburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212570
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,329
- Composite
- 41.97/100
- National rank
- #3343
- State rank
- #192 of 539 in PA
Livability — Johnsonburg
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #825
- US rank
- #8590
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Johnsonburg, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,109
Population outlook (Elk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,567 people
- By 2030
- 27,172 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 24,111 · -15.6%
- By 2050
- 20,967 · -26.6%
- By 2075
- 15,355 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 10,418 · -63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Slovak 4% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Elk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.0) · D 26.1% · R 73.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -51.3pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -47.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.0 2020: R+45.1 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+15.7 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.82%
- Current HPI
- 177.5221
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — ECBR
- 2026-05-08 Listed $65,000 ECBR
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,902 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…