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18455 Pine Ridge Dr
B+ Composite 77.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$65,000

18455 Pine Ridge Dr · Citronelle, AL 36522
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,746 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1990 0.99 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Large home situated on almost 1 full acre! Bring your skills - this four bedroom home has great potential. One of the two bathrooms is incomplete and many additional repairs will be necessary to make this a great home again. The front living room opens to the kitchen and is adjacent to a large family room. There is plenty of space in this home to spread out. Offering plenty of space for outbuildings or outdoor activities, come take a look and make this house your home. This home is not a foreclosure, however, it is being sold in current "AS IS" condition. The seller will not activate utilities or perform any repairs. Call your favorite realtor to take a look. * Caution - do not tr

Key facts

  • 0.99 acre lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1990

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Not a land lease
  • Financial info: No additional financial details provided
  • HOA & community: Located in Pine Ridge subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with space for 4 vehicles
  • Security: No specific security features listed
  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer; No electric utility specified; No other utilities listed
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1990; Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: No exterior features listed; No fencing; View present

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cabinets with stain finish; Laminate countertops; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $715 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 5.2% in Citronelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#254 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Citronelle High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #261 of 305 statewide, top 87%, 719 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,025 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
19.50%
Cash-on-cash
47.16%
DSCR
3.10
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.2%
Equity multiple
5.45×
Total profit
$80,988
Equity at exit
$58,557
10-year hold
IRR
54.7%
Equity multiple
12.14×
Total profit
$202,737
Equity at exit
$126,281

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36522

Home prices YoY
11.8%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,495 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,170/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$715

Break-even live

Break-even rent $589
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
  17. 2026-05-19
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,170 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,170 · $97/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,934
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,170
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,435
− Management
−$1,435
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$8,038
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,929
After-tax cash flow
$6,654/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Citronelle

Score
61/100
State rank
#254
US rank
#17928

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Citronelle, AL
City population
6,892
Population (ZIP)
6,892

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 18% Two or more races 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 27.55%
Current HPI
260.4914
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $65,000 GCMLS AL

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,170 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…