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5215 Susan St
A- Composite 81.13
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$25,000

5215 Susan St · Flint, MI 48505
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,268 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1956 5,663 sqft lot Est $47k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice investment opportunity with this 3 bedroom 1 bath home with full basement.

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1956

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area approximately 904; Lot size listed as 0.50 acres
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Shingle siding construction
  • Exterior features: Shingle siding; Lot in Crestwood Subdivision; Located north of Pierson and east of Flemming

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $579 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 34.1% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $841 of equity ($173 loan paydown + $668 appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $24,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.10%
Cap rate
34.08%
Cash-on-cash
99.25%
DSCR
5.42
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$46,916
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5913 Glenn Ave 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,272 (+0%) 4mo $35,000 $28 76
5705 Winthrop Blvd 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,375 (+8%) 4mo $55,000 $40 71
1909 Basil Ln 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-5%) 8mo $21,025 $18 65
4911 Birchcrest Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,310 (+3%) 0mo $30,000 $23 62
4319 Greenlawn Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,310 (+3%) 10mo $38,500 $29 57
5714 Suburban Ct 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,426 (+12%) 3mo $63,500 $45 56
609 W Marengo Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,412 (+11%) 7mo $55,000 $39 56
1323 Chatham Dr 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,374 (+8%) 2mo $51,000 $37 56
606 Stewart Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,375 (+8%) 3mo $5,000 $4 50
306 W Bishop Ave 0.68mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,217 (-4%) 5mo $50,000 $41 50
5709 Suburban Ct 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,440 (+14%) 8mo $74,900 $52 50
6611 Sally Ct 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-12%) 2mo $21,420 $19 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.64×
Total profit
$39,509
Equity at exit
$10,785
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.80×
Total profit
$89,583
Equity at exit
$16,275

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48505

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,024 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,060/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$579

Break-even live

Break-even rent $291
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $593 -5% $586 +0% $579 +5% $572 +10% $565
Rent -10% $498 -5% $539 +0% $579 +5% $619 +10% $660
Rate -1.0pp $592 -0.5pp $585 base $579 +0.5pp $573 +1.0pp $566

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5413 DuPont St Flint, MI 4.0 1.5 1038 $900 $0.87 22d 1 0.32mi
5813 Edwards Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1500 $899 $0.60 14d 1 0.42mi
5905 Griggs Dr Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 940 $1,000 $1.06 14d 1 0.51mi
411 W Marengo Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,072 $0.79 14d 1 0.57mi
100 Rosewood Mnr Flint, MI 2.0 1.5 1159 $947 $0.82 14d 1 0.72mi
6802 DuPont St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 22d 1 0.90mi
514 W Alma Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $925 $1.03 14d 1 0.96mi
711 W Dewey St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1011 $925 $0.91 22d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $25,000 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $25,000 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $25,000 Active 38 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $25,000 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $25,000 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $25,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $25,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $25,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $25,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $25,000 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 22 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 21 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $25,000 Active 20 DOM
  18. 2026-05-11
    listed $25,000 Active
  19. 2026-05-10
    listed $25,000 Active 79-char remark
    Show marketing remark (79 chars)

    Nice investment opportunity with this 3 bedroom 1 bath home with full basement.

  20. 2018-07-20
    status Active
  21. 2018-07-19
    historical
  22. 2018-07-19
    historical
  23. 2018-07-19
    status Active
  24. 2018-07-13
    historical
  25. 2018-07-12
    historical
  26. 2018-06-22
    status Active
  27. 2018-06-20
    status Active
  28. 2018-06-13
    historical
  29. 2018-06-13
    historical
  30. 2018-06-04
    listed $12,000 Active
  31. 2018-06-04
    listed $12,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,060 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,060 · $88/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,286
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$1,060
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$983
− Management
−$983
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$7,008
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,682
After-tax cash flow
$5,266/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,032
Household income
$33,283
Rent vs Own
51.7% rent · 48.3% own
Severe rent burden
960.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (79%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 79% White 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.67%
Current HPI
202.4878
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+108.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-10 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-07-20 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-07-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-07-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-07-19 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2018-07-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-07-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-06-22 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-06-20 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2018-06-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-06-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-06-04 Listed $12,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-06-04 Listed $12,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,060 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…