1030 W Lake Mead Blvd · Las Vegas, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice single family home. Not available for $80,000. Actual undisclosed contract price is much higher. 4X. Check comps
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1965
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $956 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#2 in NV, #1,723 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 82% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,817/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2362% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $80k implies a 357% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.22%
- DSCR
- 3.28
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $42,591
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 50.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.23×
- Total profit
- $94,851
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89106
- Home prices YoY
- -23.5%
- Rents YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,817 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $316/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $956
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 893 W Bartlett Ave Las Vegas, NV | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 717 Van Ert Ave North Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,750 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1655 Otto Merida Ave Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $1,800 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 451 Sand Sage Ave Unit A North Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 986 | $1,350 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2605 Tuskegee St North Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1034 | $1,695 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1209 H St Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $2,200 | $1.96 | 20d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1209 H St Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $2,200 | $1.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1804 Helen Ave Unit N North Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,750 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1927 Helen Ave North Las Vegas, NV | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 400 Duchess Ave North Las Vegas, NV | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,668 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2521 Sierra Luna Ave #101 Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1166 | $1,595 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1956 Vista Malaga St #107 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1113 | $1,337 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2525 Sierra Bello Ave #105 Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1225 | $1,500 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2524 Adelante Ave #106 Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1173 | $2,195 | $1.87 | 2d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1950 Simmons St Las Vegas, NV | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1036 | $1,700 | $1.64 | 43d | 13 | 1.21mi |
| 2200 Carter Cir Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $1,222 | $1.32 | 43d | 8 | 1.41mi |
| 711 E Nelson Ave North Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 661 | $1,205 | $1.82 | 43d | 16 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2022-08-03status Pending
-
2022-08-02$80,000 Active
-
2020-10-03status Pending
-
2020-09-29historical
-
2020-02-26status Pending
-
2016-05-12status Pending
-
2016-05-11historical
-
2016-04-23$80,000 Exclusive Right
-
1969-12-24soldstatus $17,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $316 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $472 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- +$156/yr (+$13/mo · 49.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,803
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$316
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,744
- − Management
- −$1,744
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $10,790
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,589
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,884/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clark County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200060
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,611
- Composite
- 26.48/100
- National rank
- #7211
- State rank
- #11 of 17 in NV
Livability — Las Vegas
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #1723
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Las Vegas, NV
- County
- Clark County · 2,306,105 people
- City population
- 1,643,591
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,565
- Household income
- $42,007
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2362.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,504,101 people
- By 2030
- 2,693,770 · +7.6%
- By 2040
- 3,061,208 · +22.2%
- By 2050
- 3,400,072 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 4,139,522 · +65.3%
- By 2100
- 4,596,916 · +83.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% Black 32% Two or more races 17% White 14% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 37% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+10.7 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.75%
- Current HPI
- 314.4955
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.70%
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+357.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2022-08-03 Pending — GLVAR
- 2022-08-02 Listed $80,000 GLVAR
- 2020-10-03 Pending — GLVAR
- 2020-09-29 Listing Removed — GLVAR
- 2020-02-26 Pending — GLVAR
- 2016-05-12 Pending — GLVAR
- 2016-05-11 Listing Removed — GLVAR
- 2016-04-23 Listed $80,000 GLVAR
- 1969-12-24 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $316 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…