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4152 Delmar Blvd
C+ Composite 64.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.4/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,900

4152 Delmar Blvd · St. Louis, MO 63108
6 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,794 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 134 Days on market
Built 1895 3,977 sqft lot Est $230k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3-story brick home (w/2 lots) in the Central West End with tons of potential! Perfect for flippers, investors or anyone willing to put in some serious sweat equity. Home is livable but needs a major overhaul. Interior features (5) bedrooms and (3) full baths on three levels of living space. Main level has the kitchen, family room & dining room (currently being used as a 6th BR). Family and dining rooms are connected via pocket doors. There is a bathroom off the bedroom and another one off kitchen. 2nd level has (3) bedrooms, a hall bath and a bonus room that could be laundry and/or office. The 3rd level has two large bedrooms. Front and back original staircases, brick fireplace and other original woodwork still in place, just hard to see it all. Deck & partial driveway in back. Sale includes the vacant lot next door ID 4875-9-110.000. Location puts you close to the Grand Arts Center, SLU, the CWE biz district, City Foundry, Locust Business District, downtown and so much more.

Key facts

  • Double lot
  • New roof
  • Redone kitchen

Tags

DOUBLE LOTNEW ROOFREDONE KITCHENREDONE BATHROOMSBASKETBALL OR PICKLEBALL COURTCLOSE TO GRAND ARTS CENTER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $941 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Nahed Chapman New American Aca (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 335 students, 99% FRL); Gateway Middle (math 0% / reading 8%, grade F, #389 of 391 statewide, top 100%, 506 students, 99% FRL); Sumner High (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #520 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 264 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 28638% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $135k; list at $230k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $202,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
11.20%
Cash-on-cash
17.53%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$229,632
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4152 Delmar Blvd 0.00mi 6/3.0 1,794 (0%) 4mo $229,900 $128 90

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$22,885
Equity at exit
$34,279
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$98,029
Equity at exit
$19,878

Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63108

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,974 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,290/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$625
Net cashflow
$941

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,783
Max offer price $229,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,071 -5% $1,006 +0% $941 +5% $875 +10% $810
Rent -10% $706 -5% $823 +0% $941 +5% $1,058 +10% $1,176
Rate -1.0pp $1,056 -0.5pp $999 base $941 +0.5pp $881 +1.0pp $820

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,475
Closing costs
$6,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4125 Chouteau Ave Unit 1031870P St. Louis, MO 3.0–6.0 2.0–4.0 1592 $7,793 $4.89 0d 2 1.25mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-04-04
    historical $800
  2. 2026-03-02
    listed $800
  3. 2026-03-02
    historical $800
  4. 2026-02-21
    listed $800
  5. 2026-02-16
    historical $800
  6. 2026-02-14
    listed $800
  7. 2026-01-06
    status Pending
  8. 2025-10-19
    price $229,900
  9. 2025-10-08
    price $240,000
  10. 2025-09-30
    price $245,000
  11. 2025-09-18
    price $250,000
  12. 2025-09-11
    price $260,000
  13. 2025-09-07
    price $275,000
  14. 2025-08-25
    listed $289,900 Active
  15. 2024-05-29
    soldstatus $135,000
  16. 2024-05-16
    soldstatus Closed 1007-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1007 chars)

    Charming 3-story brick home (w/2 lots) in the Central West End with tons of potential! Perfect for flippers, investors or anyone willing to put in some serious sweat equity. Home is livable but needs a major overhaul. Interior features (5) bedrooms and (3) full baths on three levels of living space. Main level has the kitchen, family room & dining room (currently being used as a 6th BR). Family and dining rooms are connected via pocket doors. There is a bathroom off the bedroom and another one off kitchen. 2nd level has (3) bedrooms, a hall bath and a bonus room that could be laundry and/or office. The 3rd level has two large bedrooms. Front and back original staircases, brick fireplace and other original woodwork still in place, just hard to see it all. Deck & partial driveway in back. Sale includes the vacant lot next door ID 4875-9-110.000. Location puts you close to the Grand Arts Center, SLU, the CWE biz district, City Foundry, Locust Business District, downtown and so much more.

  17. 2024-04-14
    status Pending 1007-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1007 chars)

    Charming 3-story brick home (w/2 lots) in the Central West End with tons of potential! Perfect for flippers, investors or anyone willing to put in some serious sweat equity. Home is livable but needs a major overhaul. Interior features (5) bedrooms and (3) full baths on three levels of living space. Main level has the kitchen, family room & dining room (currently being used as a 6th BR). Family and dining rooms are connected via pocket doors. There is a bathroom off the bedroom and another one off kitchen. 2nd level has (3) bedrooms, a hall bath and a bonus room that could be laundry and/or office. The 3rd level has two large bedrooms. Front and back original staircases, brick fireplace and other original woodwork still in place, just hard to see it all. Deck & partial driveway in back. Sale includes the vacant lot next door ID 4875-9-110.000. Location puts you close to the Grand Arts Center, SLU, the CWE biz district, City Foundry, Locust Business District, downtown and so much more.

  18. 2024-03-03
    price $179,900 1007-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1007 chars)

    Charming 3-story brick home (w/2 lots) in the Central West End with tons of potential! Perfect for flippers, investors or anyone willing to put in some serious sweat equity. Home is livable but needs a major overhaul. Interior features (5) bedrooms and (3) full baths on three levels of living space. Main level has the kitchen, family room & dining room (currently being used as a 6th BR). Family and dining rooms are connected via pocket doors. There is a bathroom off the bedroom and another one off kitchen. 2nd level has (3) bedrooms, a hall bath and a bonus room that could be laundry and/or office. The 3rd level has two large bedrooms. Front and back original staircases, brick fireplace and other original woodwork still in place, just hard to see it all. Deck & partial driveway in back. Sale includes the vacant lot next door ID 4875-9-110.000. Location puts you close to the Grand Arts Center, SLU, the CWE biz district, City Foundry, Locust Business District, downtown and so much more.

  19. 2024-01-14
    listed $199,900 Active 1007-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1007 chars)

    Charming 3-story brick home (w/2 lots) in the Central West End with tons of potential! Perfect for flippers, investors or anyone willing to put in some serious sweat equity. Home is livable but needs a major overhaul. Interior features (5) bedrooms and (3) full baths on three levels of living space. Main level has the kitchen, family room & dining room (currently being used as a 6th BR). Family and dining rooms are connected via pocket doors. There is a bathroom off the bedroom and another one off kitchen. 2nd level has (3) bedrooms, a hall bath and a bonus room that could be laundry and/or office. The 3rd level has two large bedrooms. Front and back original staircases, brick fireplace and other original woodwork still in place, just hard to see it all. Deck & partial driveway in back. Sale includes the vacant lot next door ID 4875-9-110.000. Location puts you close to the Grand Arts Center, SLU, the CWE biz district, City Foundry, Locust Business District, downtown and so much more.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,290 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,230 · $186/mo
Expected delta
+$940/yr (+$78/mo · 72.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,688
− Mortgage interest
−$12,878
− Property taxes
−$1,290
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,855
− Management
−$2,855
− Depreciation
−$6,688
Taxable income
$7,973
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,913
After-tax cash flow
$9,373/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
21,336
Household income
$55,147
Rent vs Own
73.3% rent · 26.7% own
Severe rent burden
2180.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 26% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
85% English-only · Chinese 3% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.22%
Current HPI
225.1081
Rent YoY
▲ 3.10%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.0% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-04 Rental Removed $800 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-03-02 Listed for Rent $800 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-03-02 Rental Removed $800 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-02-21 Listed for Rent $800 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-02-16 Rental Removed $800 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-02-14 Listed for Rent $800 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-01-06 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-19 Price Changed $229,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-08 Price Changed $240,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-30 Price Changed $245,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-18 Price Changed $250,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-11 Price Changed $260,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-07 Price Changed $275,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $289,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2024-05-16 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-14 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-03 Price Changed $179,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-14 Listed $199,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,290 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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