4152 Delmar Blvd · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3-story brick home (w/2 lots) in the Central West End with tons of potential! Perfect for flippers, investors or anyone willing to put in some serious sweat equity. Home is livable but needs a major overhaul. Interior features (5) bedrooms and (3) full baths on three levels of living space. Main level has the kitchen, family room & dining room (currently being used as a 6th BR). Family and dining rooms are connected via pocket doors. There is a bathroom off the bedroom and another one off kitchen. 2nd level has (3) bedrooms, a hall bath and a bonus room that could be laundry and/or office. The 3rd level has two large bedrooms. Front and back original staircases, brick fireplace and other original woodwork still in place, just hard to see it all. Deck & partial driveway in back. Sale includes the vacant lot next door ID 4875-9-110.000. Location puts you close to the Grand Arts Center, SLU, the CWE biz district, City Foundry, Locust Business District, downtown and so much more.
Key facts
- Double lot
- New roof
- Redone kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $941 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
- Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Nahed Chapman New American Aca (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 335 students, 99% FRL); Gateway Middle (math 0% / reading 8%, grade F, #389 of 391 statewide, top 100%, 506 students, 99% FRL); Sumner High (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #520 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 264 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 28638% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $135k; list at $230k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.53%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $229,632
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4152 Delmar Blvd | 0.00mi | 6/3.0 | 1,794 (0%) | 4mo | $229,900 | $128 | 90 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $22,885
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $98,029
- Equity at exit
- $19,878
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63108
- Home prices YoY
- -33.1%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,974 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,290/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$625
- Net cashflow
- $941
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,071 | -5% $1,006 | +0% $941 | +5% $875 | +10% $810 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $706 | -5% $823 | +0% $941 | +5% $1,058 | +10% $1,176 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,056 | -0.5pp $999 | base $941 | +0.5pp $881 | +1.0pp $820 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4125 Chouteau Ave Unit 1031870P St. Louis, MO | 3.0–6.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1592 | $7,793 | $4.89 | 0d | 2 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-04-04historical $800
-
2026-03-02$800
-
2026-03-02historical $800
-
2026-02-21$800
-
2026-02-16historical $800
-
2026-02-14$800
-
2026-01-06status Pending
-
2025-10-19price $229,900
-
2025-10-08price $240,000
-
2025-09-30price $245,000
-
2025-09-18price $250,000
-
2025-09-11price $260,000
-
2025-09-07price $275,000
-
2025-08-25$289,900 Active
-
2024-05-29soldstatus $135,000
-
2024-05-16soldstatus Closed 1007-char remark
Show marketing remark (1007 chars)
Charming 3-story brick home (w/2 lots) in the Central West End with tons of potential! Perfect for flippers, investors or anyone willing to put in some serious sweat equity. Home is livable but needs a major overhaul. Interior features (5) bedrooms and (3) full baths on three levels of living space. Main level has the kitchen, family room & dining room (currently being used as a 6th BR). Family and dining rooms are connected via pocket doors. There is a bathroom off the bedroom and another one off kitchen. 2nd level has (3) bedrooms, a hall bath and a bonus room that could be laundry and/or office. The 3rd level has two large bedrooms. Front and back original staircases, brick fireplace and other original woodwork still in place, just hard to see it all. Deck & partial driveway in back. Sale includes the vacant lot next door ID 4875-9-110.000. Location puts you close to the Grand Arts Center, SLU, the CWE biz district, City Foundry, Locust Business District, downtown and so much more.
-
2024-04-14status Pending 1007-char remark
Show marketing remark (1007 chars)
Charming 3-story brick home (w/2 lots) in the Central West End with tons of potential! Perfect for flippers, investors or anyone willing to put in some serious sweat equity. Home is livable but needs a major overhaul. Interior features (5) bedrooms and (3) full baths on three levels of living space. Main level has the kitchen, family room & dining room (currently being used as a 6th BR). Family and dining rooms are connected via pocket doors. There is a bathroom off the bedroom and another one off kitchen. 2nd level has (3) bedrooms, a hall bath and a bonus room that could be laundry and/or office. The 3rd level has two large bedrooms. Front and back original staircases, brick fireplace and other original woodwork still in place, just hard to see it all. Deck & partial driveway in back. Sale includes the vacant lot next door ID 4875-9-110.000. Location puts you close to the Grand Arts Center, SLU, the CWE biz district, City Foundry, Locust Business District, downtown and so much more.
-
2024-03-03price $179,900 1007-char remark
Show marketing remark (1007 chars)
Charming 3-story brick home (w/2 lots) in the Central West End with tons of potential! Perfect for flippers, investors or anyone willing to put in some serious sweat equity. Home is livable but needs a major overhaul. Interior features (5) bedrooms and (3) full baths on three levels of living space. Main level has the kitchen, family room & dining room (currently being used as a 6th BR). Family and dining rooms are connected via pocket doors. There is a bathroom off the bedroom and another one off kitchen. 2nd level has (3) bedrooms, a hall bath and a bonus room that could be laundry and/or office. The 3rd level has two large bedrooms. Front and back original staircases, brick fireplace and other original woodwork still in place, just hard to see it all. Deck & partial driveway in back. Sale includes the vacant lot next door ID 4875-9-110.000. Location puts you close to the Grand Arts Center, SLU, the CWE biz district, City Foundry, Locust Business District, downtown and so much more.
-
2024-01-14$199,900 Active 1007-char remark
Show marketing remark (1007 chars)
Charming 3-story brick home (w/2 lots) in the Central West End with tons of potential! Perfect for flippers, investors or anyone willing to put in some serious sweat equity. Home is livable but needs a major overhaul. Interior features (5) bedrooms and (3) full baths on three levels of living space. Main level has the kitchen, family room & dining room (currently being used as a 6th BR). Family and dining rooms are connected via pocket doors. There is a bathroom off the bedroom and another one off kitchen. 2nd level has (3) bedrooms, a hall bath and a bonus room that could be laundry and/or office. The 3rd level has two large bedrooms. Front and back original staircases, brick fireplace and other original woodwork still in place, just hard to see it all. Deck & partial driveway in back. Sale includes the vacant lot next door ID 4875-9-110.000. Location puts you close to the Grand Arts Center, SLU, the CWE biz district, City Foundry, Locust Business District, downtown and so much more.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,290 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,230 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- +$940/yr (+$78/mo · 72.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,688
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$1,290
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,855
- − Management
- −$2,855
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable income
- $7,973
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,913
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,373/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,336
- Household income
- $55,147
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2180.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 26% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Chinese 3% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.22%
- Current HPI
- 225.1081
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.10%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+15.0% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Rental Removed $800 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-03-02 Listed for Rent $800 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-03-02 Rental Removed $800 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-02-21 Listed for Rent $800 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-02-16 Rental Removed $800 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-02-14 Listed for Rent $800 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-01-06 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-19 Price Changed $229,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $240,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $245,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $250,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-11 Price Changed $260,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-07 Price Changed $275,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-25 Listed $289,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2024-05-16 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-14 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-03 Price Changed $179,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-14 Listed $199,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2024): $1,290 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…