9606 Devonshire Blvd · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$101,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
AUCTION. List price $106300 with an undisclosed reserve. Affordable fixer upper will require your renovation ideas. Home features 3 beds, 1.5 bath, living/dining combo, open kitchen, and an attached 2 car garage. Home sits on a large lot with ample room for all your outdoor activities. Home will need repairs to include some foundation updates, home is sold as-is with NO property disclosure or inspection reports - NO REPAIRS. Complete all due diligence. Come create your dream space
Key facts
- 7,840 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1961
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Concrete construction
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot approximately 0.18 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances specified
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No built-in appliances listed
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $102k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $102k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 293 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,579/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 1765% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $703 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $68k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.74%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $198,856
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9706 Sibbald Rd | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (-4%) | 10mo | $295,000 | $207 | 76 |
| 5115 Chivalry Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,381 (-7%) | 6mo | $198,000 | $143 | 73 |
| 9664 Devonshire Blvd | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,318 (-11%) | 8mo | $219,900 | $167 | 68 |
| 9408 Little John Rd | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,540 (+4%) | 9mo | $198,500 | $129 | 67 |
| 9035 Devonshire Blvd Blvd | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (+4%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $84 | 62 |
| 5211 Arrowsmith Rd | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,664 (+12%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $99 | 62 |
| 9635 Norfolk Blvd | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,412 (-5%) | 5mo | $189,900 | $134 | 61 |
| 9203 Danville Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,441 (-3%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $160 | 58 |
| 8657 Pine Park Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,403 (-6%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $103 | 54 |
| 8422 Gullege Dr | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,617 (+9%) | 11mo | $117,000 | $72 | 52 |
| 9019 Greenleaf Rd | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,631 (+10%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $156 | 47 |
| 4903 Fredericksburg Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,312 (-12%) | 8mo | $108,600 | $83 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $7,306
- Equity at exit
- $15,164
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $25,300
- Equity at exit
- $8,793
Cash invested: $28,476 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32208
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 293
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,579 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$533
- Tax from tax record
- −$227 /mo · $2,724/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $445
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $502 | -5% $474 | +0% $445 | +5% $416 | +10% $387 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $320 | -5% $382 | +0% $445 | +5% $507 | +10% $570 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $496 | -0.5pp $471 | base $445 | +0.5pp $418 | +1.0pp $392 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,425
- Closing costs
- $3,051
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9436 Gisborne Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,440 | $1.52 | 21d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 9340 Sibbald Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,606 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4935 Portsmouth Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,163 | $1.30 | 11d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 9561 Norfolk Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 934 | $1,350 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 9206 Greenleaf Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 888 | $1,400 | $1.58 | 18d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4819 Arrowsmith Rd Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4737 Portsmouth Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,148 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 8367 Tubman Ct Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1398 | $1,790 | $1.28 | 18d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 9348 Culpeper Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,195 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4662 Roanoke Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,195 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4643 Williamsburg Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,496 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 8119 Siskin Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 18d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 8119 Siskin Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 8036 Mattox Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,480 | $1.28 | 17d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4895 Churchill Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 9658 Gibson Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 977 | $1,225 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 10373 Marsh Hawk Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1868 | $2,020 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8645 Samona Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4334 Woodley Creek Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1634 | $2,100 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8534 Addison Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,995 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 8509 Addison Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $1,675 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3848 Soutel Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,541 | $1.25 | 8d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8516 Bermuda Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,625 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 7623 John F Kennedy Dr E Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,501 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5689 Kellar Cir Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $2,371 | $1.54 | 2d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3636 Turton Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $2,100 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $101,700 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $101,700 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $101,700 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $101,700 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $102,300 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $102,300
-
2026-04-30price $102,900
-
2026-04-15price $105,100
-
2026-04-07status Active
-
2026-03-17status Pending
-
2026-03-02price $105,700
-
2026-03-01status Active
-
2026-02-13status Pending
-
2026-01-07price $106,300
-
2025-12-16price $116,000
-
2025-11-25price $128,500
-
2025-11-05price $140,700
-
2025-10-20price $157,200
-
2025-09-30$169,600 Active
-
2006-02-13soldstatus $116,900
-
1998-09-25soldstatus $60,000
-
1992-12-17soldstatus $57,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,724 · $227/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,724 · $227/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,949
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,697
- − Property taxes
- −$2,724
- − Insurance
- −$508
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,516
- − Management
- −$1,516
- − Depreciation
- −$2,959
- Taxable income
- $4,029
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$967
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,370/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,699
- Household income
- $41,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1765.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.56%
- Current HPI
- 217.9706
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.36%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+76.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $102,300 realMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $102,900 realMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $105,100 realMLS
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-03-17 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $105,700 realMLS
- 2026-03-01 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-02-13 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $106,300 realMLS
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $116,000 realMLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $128,500 realMLS
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $140,700 realMLS
- 2025-10-20 Price Changed $157,200 realMLS
- 2025-09-30 Listed $169,600 realMLS
- 2006-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $116,900 Public Records
- 1998-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1992-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $57,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,724 · +14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…